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Reproductive Risk Factors and Coronary Heart Disease in the Women's Health Initiative Observational Study.

ABSTRACT: Reproductive factors provide an early window into a woman's coronary heart disease (CHD) risk; however, their contribution to CHD risk stratification is uncertain.In the Women's Health Initiative Observational Study, we constructed Cox proportional hazards models for CHD including age, pregnancy status, number of live births, age at menarche, menstrual irregularity, age at first birth, stillbirths, miscarriages, infertility ?1 year, infertility cause, and breastfeeding. We next added each candidate reproductive factor to an established CHD risk factor model. A final model was then constructed with significant reproductive factors added to established CHD risk factors. Improvement in C statistic, net reclassification index (or net reclassification index with risk categories of <5%, 5 to <10%, and ?10% 10-year risk of CHD), and integrated discriminatory index were assessed. Among 72?982 women (CHD events, n=4607; median follow-up,12.0 [interquartile range, 8.3-13.7] years; mean [standard deviation] age, 63.2 [7.2] years), an age-adjusted reproductive risk factor model had a C statistic of 0.675 for CHD. In a model adjusted for established CHD risk factors, younger age at first birth, number of still births, number of miscarriages, and lack of breastfeeding were positively associated with CHD. Reproductive factors modestly improved model discrimination (C statistic increased from 0.726 to 0.730; integrated discriminatory index, 0.0013; P<0.0001). Net reclassification for women with events was not improved (net reclassification index events, 0.007; P=0.18); and, for women without events, net reclassification was marginally improved (net reclassification index nonevents, 0.002; P=0.04) CONCLUSIONS: Key reproductive factors are associated with CHD independently of established CHD risk factors, very modestly improve model discrimination, and do not materially improve net reclassification.

SUBMITTER: Parikh NI

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4889516 | biostudies-other | 2016 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other

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Reproductive Risk Factors and Coronary Heart Disease in the Women's Health Initiative Observational Study.

Parikh Nisha I NI Jeppson Rebecca P RP Berger Jeffrey S JS Eaton Charles B CB Kroenke Candyce H CH LeBlanc Erin S ES Lewis Cora E CE Loucks Eric B EB Parker Donna R DR Rillamas-Sun Eileen E Ryckman Kelli K KK Waring Molly E ME Schenken Robert S RS Johnson Karen C KC Edstedt-Bonamy Anna-Karin AK Allison Matthew A MA Howard Barbara V BV

Circulation 20160419 22

<h4>Background</h4>Reproductive factors provide an early window into a woman's coronary heart disease (CHD) risk; however, their contribution to CHD risk stratification is uncertain.<h4>Methods and results</h4>In the Women's Health Initiative Observational Study, we constructed Cox proportional hazards models for CHD including age, pregnancy status, number of live births, age at menarche, menstrual irregularity, age at first birth, stillbirths, miscarriages, infertility ≥1 year, infertility caus ...[more]

PMID: 27143682

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Project description:BackgroundClinical trials of postmenopausal hormone therapy (HT) have shown increased risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) in the first few years after initiation of therapy and no overall benefit.MethodsThis nested case-control study evaluates a range of inflammatory, lipid, thrombotic, and genetic markers for their association with CHD in the 4 years after randomization and assesses whether any of these markers modified or mediated the initially increased risk associated with HT in postmenopausal women aged 50 to 79 years at baseline. Conjugated equine estrogens, 0.625 mg/d, or placebo was given to 10 739 hysterectomized women, and the same estrogen plus medroxyprogesterone acetate, 2.5 mg/d, was given to 16 608 women with an intact uterus.ResultsIn multivariate-adjusted analyses of 359 cases and 820 controls in the combined trials, baseline levels of 12 of the 23 biomarkers studied were associated with CHD events: interleukin 6, matrix metalloproteinase 9, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, total cholesterol, triglycerides, D-dimer, factor VIII, von Willebrand factor, leukocyte count, homocysteine, and fasting insulin. Biomarkers tended to be more strongly associated with CHD in the initial 2 years after randomization. The genetic polymorphism glycoprotein IIIa leu33pro was significantly associated with CHD. Baseline low-density lipoprotein cholesterol interacted significantly with HT so that women with higher levels were at higher risk for CHD when given HT (P = .03 for interaction). The levels of several biomarkers were changed by HT, but these changes did not seem to be associated with future CHD events.ConclusionsSeveral thrombotic, inflammatory, and lipid biomarkers were associated with CHD events in postmenopausal women, but only low-density lipoprotein cholesterol modified the effect of HT. Further research is needed to identify the mechanisms by which HT increases the risk of CHD.Trial registrationclinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT00000611.

Project description:Background and Purpose- We examine the association between self-reported consumption of artificially sweetened beverages (ASB) and stroke and its subtypes, coronary heart disease, and all-cause mortality in a cohort of postmenopausal US women. Methods- The analytic cohort included 81 714 women from the Women's Health Initiative Observational Study, a multicenter longitudinal study of the health of 93 676 postmenopausal women of ages 50 to 79 years at baseline who enrolled in 1993 to 1998. This prospective study had a mean follow-up time of 11.9 years (SD of 5.3 years.) Participants who completed a follow-up visit 3 years after baseline were included in the study. Results- Most participants (64.1%) were infrequent consumers (never or <1/week) of ASB, with only 5.1% consuming ≥2 ASBs/day. In multivariate analyses, those consuming the highest level of ASB compared to never or rarely (<1/wk) had significantly greater likelihood of all end points (except hemorrhagic stroke), after controlling for multiple covariates. Adjusted models indicated that hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals were 1.23 (1.02-1.47) for all stroke; 1.31 (1.06-1.63) for ischemic stroke; 1.29 (1.11-1.51) for coronary heart disease; and 1.16 (1.07-1.26) for all-cause mortality. In women with no prior history of cardiovascular disease or diabetes mellitus, high consumption of ASB was associated with more than a 2-fold increased risk of small artery occlusion ischemic stroke hazard ratio =2.44 (95% confidence interval, 1.47-4.04.) High consumption of ASBs was associated with significantly increased risk of ischemic stroke in women with body mass index ≥30; hazard ratio =2.03 (95% confidence interval, 1.38-2.98). Conclusions- Higher intake of ASB was associated with increased risk of stroke, particularly small artery occlusion subtype, coronary heart disease, and all-cause mortality. Although requiring replication, these new findings add to the potentially harmful association of consuming high quantities of ASB with these health outcomes.

Dataset Information

Reproductive Risk Factors and Coronary Heart Disease in the Women's Health Initiative Observational Study.

Publications

Reproductive Risk Factors and Coronary Heart Disease in the Women's Health Initiative Observational Study.

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