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High turnover drives prolonged persistence of influenza in managed pig herds.

ABSTRACT: Pigs have long been hypothesized to play a central role in the emergence of novel human influenza A virus (IAV) strains, by serving as mixing vessels for mammalian and avian variants. However, the key issue of viral persistence in swine populations at different scales is ill understood. We address this gap using epidemiological models calibrated against seroprevalence data from Dutch finishing pigs to estimate the 'critical herd size' (CHS) for IAV persistence. We then examine the viral phylogenetic evidence for persistence by comparing human and swine IAV. Models suggest a CHS of approximately 3000 pigs above which influenza was likely to persist, i.e. orders of magnitude lower than persistence thresholds for IAV and other acute viruses in humans. At national and regional scales, we found much stronger empirical signatures of prolonged persistence of IAV in swine compared with human populations. These striking levels of persistence in small populations are driven by the high recruitment rate of susceptible piglets, and have significant implications for management of swine and for overall patterns of genetic diversity of IAV.

SUBMITTER: Pitzer VE

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4938081 | biostudies-other | 2016 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other

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High turnover drives prolonged persistence of influenza in managed pig herds.

Pitzer Virginia E VE Aguas Ricardo R Riley Steven S Loeffen Willie L A WL Wood James L N JL Grenfell Bryan T BT

Journal of the Royal Society, Interface 20160601 119

Pigs have long been hypothesized to play a central role in the emergence of novel human influenza A virus (IAV) strains, by serving as mixing vessels for mammalian and avian variants. However, the key issue of viral persistence in swine populations at different scales is ill understood. We address this gap using epidemiological models calibrated against seroprevalence data from Dutch finishing pigs to estimate the 'critical herd size' (CHS) for IAV persistence. We then examine the viral phylogen ...[more]

PMID: 27358277

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Project description:Shiga toxin (Stx)-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) is a zoonotic pathogen with the ability to cause severe diseases like hemorrhagic colitis (HC) and hemolytic uremic syndrome (HUS). Shiga toxin (Stx) is the key virulence factor in STEC and can be classified into two types, Stx1 and Stx2, and different subtypes. Stx2k is a newly reported Stx2 subtype in E. coli strains from diarrheal patients, animals, and raw meats exclusively in China so far. To understand the reservoir of Stx2k-producing E. coli (Stx2k-STEC), we investigated Stx2k-STEC strains in goat herds and examined their genetic characteristics using whole-genome sequencing. A total of 448 STEC strains were recovered from 2,896 goat fecal samples, and 37.95% (170/448) were Stx2k-STEC. Stx2k-STEC strains of serotype O93:H28 and sequence type 4038 (ST4038) were the most predominant and were detected over several years. Notably, 55% of Stx2k-STEC strains carried the heat-labile toxin (LT)-encoding gene (elt) defining enterotoxigenic E. coli (ETEC), thereby exhibiting the hybrid STEC/ETEC pathotype. Stx2k-converting prophage genomes clustered into four groups and exhibited high similarity within each group. Strains from patients, raw meat, sheep, and goats were intermixed distributed in the phylogenetic tree, indicating the risk for cross-species spread of Stx2k-STEC and pathogenic potential for humans. Further studies are required to investigate the Stx2k-STEC strains in other reservoirs and to understand the mechanism of persistence in these hosts. IMPORTANCE Strains of the recently reported Stx2k-STEC have been circulating in a variety of sources over time in China. Here, we show a high prevalence of Stx2k-STEC in goat herds. More than half of the strains were of the hybrid STEC/ETEC pathotype. Stx2k-STEC strains of predominant serotypes have been widespread in the goat herds over several years. Stx2k-converting prophages have exhibited a high level of similarity across geographical regions and time and might be maintained and transmitted horizontally. Given that goat-derived Stx2k-STEC strains share similar genetic backbones with patient-derived strains, the high prevalence of Stx2k-STEC in goats suggests that there is a risk of cross-species spread and that these strains may pose pathogenetic potential to humans. Our study thus highlights the need to monitor human Stx2k-STEC infections in this region and, by extension, in other geographic locations.

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High turnover drives prolonged persistence of influenza in managed pig herds.

Publications

High turnover drives prolonged persistence of influenza in managed pig herds.

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