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Trajectories of body mass index before the diagnosis of cardiovascular disease: a latent class trajectory analysis.

ABSTRACT: Patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD) are a heterogeneous group regarding their body mass index (BMI) levels at the time of diagnosis. To address the heterogeneity of CVD, we examined the trajectories of change in body mass index (BMI) and in other cardio-metabolic risk factors before CVD diagnosis. The study included 6126 participants from the prospective population-based Rotterdam Study, followed over 22 years with clinical examinations every 4 years. Latent class trajectory analysis and mixed-effect models were used to develop trajectories of BMI and other cardio-metabolic risk factors respectively. During follow-up, 1748 participants developed CVD, among whom we identified 3 distinct BMI trajectories. The majority of participants (n = 1534, 87.8 %) had steady BMI levels during follow-up, comprising the "stable weight" group. This group showed decrease in mean high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol over time. The second group, the "progressive weight gain" group (n = 112, 6.4 %), showed a progressive increase in BMI levels. In this group, mean waist circumference increased, mean HDL cholesterol decreased and mean fasting glucose levels were fluctuating over follow-up. In the third group, the "progressive weight loss" group (n = 102, 5.8 %), BMI levels decreased during follow-up. This group showed a decrease in mean waist circumference and in fasting glucose. In conclusion, the majority of individuals who developed CVD had a stable weight during follow-up, suggesting that BMI alone is not a good indicator for identifying middle-aged and elderly individuals at high risk of CVD. Waist circumference, HDL cholesterol, and glucose trajectories differed between the identified BMI subgroups, further highlighting that CVD is a heterogeneous disease with different pathophysiological pathways.

SUBMITTER: Dhana K

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4956703 | biostudies-other | 2016 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other

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Trajectories of body mass index before the diagnosis of cardiovascular disease: a latent class trajectory analysis.

Dhana Klodian K van Rosmalen Joost J Vistisen Dorte D Ikram M Arfan MA Hofman Albert A Franco Oscar H OH Kavousi Maryam M

European journal of epidemiology 20160308 6

Patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD) are a heterogeneous group regarding their body mass index (BMI) levels at the time of diagnosis. To address the heterogeneity of CVD, we examined the trajectories of change in body mass index (BMI) and in other cardio-metabolic risk factors before CVD diagnosis. The study included 6126 participants from the prospective population-based Rotterdam Study, followed over 22 years with clinical examinations every 4 years. Latent class trajectory analysis and ...[more]

PMID: 26955830

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Project description:What is already known about this subjectRates of childhood obesity have increased since the mid-1970s. Research into behavioural determinants has focused on physical inactivity and unhealthy diets. Cross-sectional studies indicate an association between psychological stress experienced by parents and obesity in pre-adolescents.What this study addsWe provide evidence of a prospective association between parental psychological stress and increased weight gain in pre-adolescents. Family-level support for those experiencing chronic stress might help promote healthy diet and exercise behaviours in children.ObjectiveWe examined the impact of parental psychological stress on body mass index (BMI) in pre-adolescent children over 4 years of follow-up.MethodsWe included 4078 children aged 5-10 years (90% were between 5.5 and 7.5 years) at study entry (2002-2003) in the Children's Health Study, a prospective cohort study in southern California. A multi-level linear model simultaneously examined the effect of parental stress at study entry on the attained BMI at age 10 and the slope of change across annual measures of BMI during follow-up, controlled for the child's age and sex. BMI was calculated based on objective measurements of height and weight by trained technicians following a standardized procedure.ResultsA two standard deviation increase in parental stress at study entry was associated with an increase in predicted BMI attained by age 10 of 0.287 kg m(-2) (95% confidence interval 0.016-0.558; a 2% increase at this age for a participant of average attained BMI). The same increase in parental stress was also associated with an increased trajectory of weight gain over follow-up, with the slope of change in BMI increased by 0.054 kg m(-2) (95% confidence interval 0.007-0.100; a 7% increase in the slope of change for a participant of average BMI trajectory).ConclusionsWe prospectively demonstrated a small effect of parental stress on BMI at age 10 and weight gain earlier in life than reported previously. Interventions to address the burden of childhood obesity should address the role of parental stress in children.

Project description:Background: Limited evidence suggests an association between prenatal exposure to traffic pollution and greater adiposity in childhood, but the time window during which growth may be most affected is not known. Methods: We studied 1,649 children in Project Viva, a Boston-area pre-birth cohort. We used spatiotemporal models to estimate prenatal residential air pollution exposures and geographic information systems to estimate neighborhood traffic density and roadway proximity. We used weight and stature measurements at clinical and research visits to estimate a BMI trajectory for each child with mixed-effects natural cubic spline models. In primary analyses, we examined associations of residential PM2.5 and black carbon (BC) exposures during the third trimester and neighborhood traffic density and home roadway proximity at birth address with (1) estimated BMI at 6 month intervals through 10 years of age, (2) magnitude and timing of BMI peak and rebound, and (3) overall BMI trajectory. In secondary analyses, we examined associations of residential PM2.5 and BC exposures during the first and second trimesters with BMI outcomes. Results: Median (interquartile range; IQR) concentration of residential air pollution during the third trimester was 11.4 (1.7) ?g/m3 for PM2.5 and 0.7 (0.3) ?g/m3 for BC. Participants had a median (IQR) of 13 (7) clinical or research BMI measures from 0 to 10 years of age. None of the traffic pollution exposures were significantly associated with any of the BMI outcomes in covariate-adjusted models, although effect estimates were in the hypothesized direction for neighborhood traffic density and home roadway proximity. For example, greater neighborhood traffic density [median (IQR) 857 (1,452) vehicles/day x km of road within 100 m of residential address at delivery] was associated with a higher BMI throughout childhood, with the strongest associations in early childhood [e.g., per IQR increment natural log-transformed neighborhood traffic density, BMI at 12 months of age was 0.05 (-0.03, 0.13) kg/m2 higher and infancy peak BMI was 0.05 (-0.03, 0.14) kg/m2 higher]. Conclusions: We found no evidence for a persistent effect of prenatal exposure to traffic pollution on BMI trajectory from birth through mid-childhood in a population exposed to modest levels of air pollution.

Dataset Information

Trajectories of body mass index before the diagnosis of cardiovascular disease: a latent class trajectory analysis.

Publications

Trajectories of body mass index before the diagnosis of cardiovascular disease: a latent class trajectory analysis.

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