Dataset Information

Regulation of snow-fed rivers affects flow regimes more than climate change.

ABSTRACT: River flow is mainly controlled by climate, physiography and regulations, but their relative importance over large landmasses is poorly understood. Here we show from computational modelling that hydropower regulation is a key driver of flow regime change in snow-dominated regions and is more important than future climate changes. This implies that climate adaptation needs to include regulation schemes. The natural river regime in snowy regions has low flow when snow is stored and a pronounced peak flow when snow is melting. Global warming and hydropower regulation change this temporal pattern similarly, causing less difference in river flow between seasons. We conclude that in snow-fed rivers globally, the future climate change impact on flow regime is minor compared to regulation downstream of large reservoirs, and of similar magnitude over large landmasses. Our study not only highlights the impact of hydropower production but also that river regulation could be turned into a measure for climate adaptation to maintain biodiversity on floodplains under climate change.Global warming and hydropower regulations are major threats to future fresh-water availability and biodiversity. Here, the authors show that their impact on flow regime over a large landmass result in similar changes, but hydropower is more critical locally and may have potential for climate adaptation in floodplains.

SUBMITTER: Arheimer B

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5498529 | biostudies-other | 2017 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other

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Regulation of snow-fed rivers affects flow regimes more than climate change.

Arheimer B B Donnelly C C Lindström G G

Nature communications 20170705 1

River flow is mainly controlled by climate, physiography and regulations, but their relative importance over large landmasses is poorly understood. Here we show from computational modelling that hydropower regulation is a key driver of flow regime change in snow-dominated regions and is more important than future climate changes. This implies that climate adaptation needs to include regulation schemes. The natural river regime in snowy regions has low flow when snow is stored and a pronounced pe ...[more]

PMID: 28680129

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Project description:Snow avalanches cause fatalities and economic loss worldwide and are one of the most dangerous gravitational hazards in mountainous regions. Various flow behaviors have been reported in snow avalanches, making them challenging to be thoroughly understood and mitigated. Existing popular numerical approaches for modeling snow avalanches predominantly adopt depth-averaged models, which are computationally efficient but fail to capture important features along the flow depth direction such as densification and granulation. This study applies a three-dimensional (3D) material point method (MPM) to explore snow avalanches in different regimes on a complex real terrain. Flow features of the snow avalanches from release to deposition are comprehensively characterized for identification of the different regimes. In particular, brittle and ductile fractures are identified in the different modeled avalanches shortly after their release. During the flow, the analysis of local snow density variation reveals that snow granulation requires an appropriate combination of snow fracture and compaction. In contrast, cohesionless granular flows and plug flows are mainly governed by expansion and compaction hardening, respectively. Distinct textures of avalanche deposits are characterized, including a smooth surface, rough surfaces with snow granules, as well as a surface showing compacting shear planes often reported in wet snow avalanche deposits. Finally, the MPM modeling is verified with a real snow avalanche that occurred at Vallée de la Sionne, Switzerland. The MPM framework has been proven as a promising numerical tool for exploring complex behavior of a wide range of snow avalanches in different regimes to better understand avalanche dynamics. In the future, this framework can be extended to study other types of gravitational mass movements such as rock/glacier avalanches and debris flows with implementation of modified constitutive laws.Supplementary informationThe online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10346-021-01692-8.

Dataset Information

Regulation of snow-fed rivers affects flow regimes more than climate change.

Publications

Regulation of snow-fed rivers affects flow regimes more than climate change.

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