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Can preoperative and postoperative CA19-9 levels predict survival and early recurrence in patients with resectable hilar cholangiocarcinoma?

ABSTRACT: To investigate the predictive values of preoperative and postoperative serum CA19-9 levels on survival and other prognostic factors including early recurrence in patients with resectable hilar cholangiocarcinoma.In univariate analysis, increased preoperative and postoperative CA19-9 levels in the light of different cut-off points (37, 100, 150, 200, 400, 1000 U/ml) were significantly associated with poor survival outcomes, of which the cut-off point of 150 U/ml showed the strongest predictive value (both P < 0.001). Preoperative to postoperative increase in CA19-9 level was also correlated with poor survival outcome (P < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, preoperative CA19-9 level > 150 U/ml was significantly associated with lymph node metastasis (OR = 3.471, 95% CI 1.216-9.905; P = 0.020) and early recurrence (OR = 8.280, 95% CI 2.391-28.674; P = 0.001). Meanwhile, postoperative CA19-9 level > 150 U/ml was also correlated with early recurrence (OR = 4.006, 95% CI 1.107-14.459; P = 0.034).Ninety-eight patients who had undergone curative surgery for hilar cholangiocarcinoma between 1995 and 2014 in our institution were selected for the study. The correlations of preoperative and postoperative serum CA19-9 levels on the basis of different cut-off points with survival and various tumor factors were retrospectively analyzed with univariate and multivariate methods.In patients with resectable hilar cholangiocarcinoma, serum CA19-9 predict survival and early recurrence. Patients with increased preoperative and postoperative CA19-9 levels have poor survival outcomes and higher tendency of early recurrence.

SUBMITTER: Wang JK

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5542190 | biostudies-other | 2017 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other

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Project description:ObjectiveTo predict the very early recurrence (VER) of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) based on TLSs and MVI status, and further perform prognosis stratifications.MethodsA total of 160, 51 ICC patients from two institutions between May 2012 and July 2022 were retrospectively included as training, external validation cohort. Clinical, radiological and pathological variables were evaluated and collected. Univariate and multivariate analysis were applied to select the significant factors related to VER of ICC. The factors selected were combined to perform stratification of overall survival (OS) using the Kaplan-Meier method with the log-rank test.ResultsOverall, 39 patients (24.4%) had VER, whereas 121 (75.6%) did not (non-VER group). In the training cohort, the median OS was 40.5 months (95% CIs: 33.2-47.7 months). The VER group showed significantly worse OS than the non-VER group (median OS: 14.8, 95% CI:11.6-18.0 months vs. 53.4, 34.3-72.6 months; p<0.001), and it was confirmed in the validation cohort (median OS: 22.1, 95% CI: 8.8-35.4 months vs. 40.1, 21.2-59.0 months; p = 0.003). According to the univariate analysis, four variables were significantly different between the VER group and non-VER group (TLSs status, p = 0.028; differentiation, p = 0.023; MVI status, p = 0.012; diameter, p = 0.028). According to the multivariate analysis, MVI-positive status was independently associated with a higher probability of VER (odds ratio [OR], 2.5; 95% CIs,1.16-5.18; p = 0.018), whereas intra-tumoral TLSs-positive status was associated with lower odds of VER (OR, 0.43; 95% CIs, 0.19-0.97; p = 0.041). Based on the TLSs and MVI status, patients of ICC were categorized into four groups: TLSs-positive and MVI-negative (TP/MN); TLSs-negative and MVI-negative (TN/MN); TLSs-positive and MVI-positive (TP/MP), TLSs-negative and MVI-positive groups (TN/MP). In the training cohort, the four groups could be correlated with OS significantly (p<0.001), and it was confirmed in the validation cohort (p<0.001).ConclusionIntra-tumoral TLSs and MVI status are independent predictive factors of VER after surgery, based on which immunovascular stratifications are constructed and associated with OS significantly of resectable intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.

Project description:BackgroundLiver resection is the most effective treatment for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. Recurrent disease is frequent; however, recurrence patterns are ill-defined and prognostic models are lacking.Study designA primary cohort of 189 patients who underwent resection for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma was used for recurrence patterns analysis within and after 24 months. Based on independent factors for disease-free survival identified in Cox regression analysis, preoperative and postoperative models were developed using a recursive partitioning method. Models were externally validated using a multicenter cohort of 522 resected patients (Association Française de Chirurgie intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma study group).ResultsRecurrence within 24 months most often involved the liver (82.7%), and most recurrences after 24 months were strictly extrahepatic (61.1%). In multivariable analysis of the primary cohort, independent preoperative factors for disease-free survival were tumor size and multifocality (based on imaging); tumor size, multifocality, vascular invasion, and lymph node metastases (based on pathology) were independent postoperative factors. The preoperative model allowed patient classification into low-risk and high-risk groups for recurrence. In the validation cohort (n = 522), high-risk patients had a greater likelihood of recurrence (hazard ratio = 2.17; 95% CI, 1.74-2.72; p < 0.001). The postoperative model included tumor size, vascular invasion, and positive nodal disease on pathology and classified patients in low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups in the primary cohort. As compared with low-risk patients in the validation cohort, intermediate- and high-risk patients were more likely to experience recurrence (hazard ratio = 1.9; 95% CI, 1.41-2.47; p < 0.001 and hazard ratio = 2.99; 95% CI, 2.08-4.31; p < 0.001, respectively).ConclusionsRecurrence patterns are time dependent. Both models as developed and validated in this study classified patients in distinct recurrence risk groups, which can guide treatment recommendations.

Project description:Introduction: The emerging field of "radiomics" has considerable potential in disease diagnosis, pathologic grading, prognosis evaluation, and prediction of treatment response. We aimed to develop a novel radiomics nomogram based on radiomics features and clinical characteristics that could preoperatively predict early recurrence (ER) of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) after partial hepatectomy. Methods: A predictive model was developed from a training cohort comprising 139 ICC patients diagnosed between January 2010 and June 2014. Radiomics features were extracted from arterial-phase image of contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging. Feature selection and construction of a "radiomics signature" were through Spearman's rank correlation and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression. Combined with clinical characteristics, a radiomics nomogram was developed with multivariable logistic regression. Performance of the nomogram was evaluated with regard to discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. An independent validation cohort involving 70 patients recruited from July 2014 to March 2016 was used to evaluate the utility of the nomogram developed. Results: The radiomics signature, consisting of nine features, differed significantly between ER patients and non-ER patients in training and validation cohorts. The area under the curve (AUC) of the radiomics signature in training and validation cohorts was 0.82 (confidence interval [CI], 0.74-0.88) and 0.77 (95% CI, 0.65-0.86), respectively. The AUC of the radiomics nomogram combining the radiomics signature and clinical stage in the two cohorts was 0.90 (95%CI, 0.83-0.94) and 0.86 (95% CI, 0.76-0.93), respectively. Decision curve analysis confirmed the clinical usefulness of the radiomics nomogram. Conclusion: The non-invasive radiomics nomogram developed using the radiomics signature and clinical stage could be used to predict ER of ICC after partial hepatectomy.

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Can preoperative and postoperative CA19-9 levels predict survival and early recurrence in patients with resectable hilar cholangiocarcinoma?

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