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Risk of stroke and heart failure attributable to atrial fibrillation in middle-aged and elderly people: Results from a five-year prospective cohort study of Japanese community dwellers.

ABSTRACT: The relative and absolute risks of stroke and heart failure attributable to atrial fibrillation (AF) have not been sufficiently examined.A prospective study of 23,731 community-dwelling Japanese individuals was conducted. Participants were divided into two groups based on the presence or absence of prevalent AF (n = 338 and n = 23,393, respectively). Excess events (EE) due to AF and relative risks (RRs) determined using the non-AF group as the reference for incident stroke and heart failure were estimated using Poisson regression stratified by age groups (middle-aged: 40-69 years old; elderly: 70 years of age or older) after adjustment for sex and age.There were 611 cases of stroke and 98 cases of heart failure during the observation period (131,088 person-years). AF contributed to a higher risk of stroke both in middle-aged individuals (EE 10.4 per 1000 person-years; RR 4.88; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.88-8.29) and elderly individuals (EE 18.3 per 1000 person-years; RR 3.05; 95% CI, 2.05-4.54). AF also contributed to a higher risk of heart failure in middle-aged individuals (EE 3.7 per 1000 person-years; RR 8.18; 95% CI, 2.41-27.8) and elderly individuals (EE 15.4 per 1000 person-years; RR 7.82; 95% CI, 4.11-14.9). Results obtained from multivariate-adjusted analysis were similar (stroke: EE 8.9 per 1000 person-years; RR 4.40; 95% CI, 2.57-7.55 in middle-aged and EE 17.4 per 1000 person-years; RR 2.97; 95% CI, 1.99-4.43 in elderly individuals; heart failure: EE 3.1 per 1000 person-years; RR 7.22; 95% CI, 2.06-25.3 in middle-aged and EE 14.1 per 1000 person-years; RR 7.41; 95% CI, 3.86-14.2 in elderly individuals).AF increased the risk of stroke by the same magnitude as that reported previously in Western countries. AF increased the RR of heart failure more than that in Western populations.

SUBMITTER: Ohsawa M

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5549250 | biostudies-other | 2017 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other

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Project description:BackgroundAtrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia that is associated with high morbidity and mortality. The prevalence of AF increases with age and the elderly constitute a vulnerable cohort for higher stroke and bleeding complications.MethodsA total of 2163 adult consecutive patients with AF in 19 hospitals and 11 outpatient clinics in Jordan were enrolled in the Jordan AF study from May 2019 to January 2021. The clinical characteristics, demographics, and risk profiles of the elderly patients (≥80 years old) were compared to the younger patients (<80 years old).ResultsOf 2163 patients, 379 (17.5%) constituted the elderly group. The elderly group had higher prevalence of hypertension (79.9% vs 73.5%, p=0.01), lower prevalence of smoking (5.0% vs 15.2%, p<0.001) and lower body mass index (28.1 ± 5.5 kg/m2 vs 29.8 ± 6.2 kg/m2, p<0.001) compared with younger patients. They also had more strokes or systemic emboli (25.6% vs 14.7%, p<0.001), heart failure (30.3% vs 22.9%, p=0.002), pulmonary hypertension (30.6% vs 24.8%, p=0.02), and chronic kidney disease (13.5% vs 8.3%, p=0.002). The elderly cohort had higher mean CHA2DS2-VASc (5.0 ± 1.5 vs 3.6 ± 1.8, p<0.001) and HAS-BLED scores (2.2 ± 1.1 vs 1.5 ± 1.1, p<0.001) compared to younger group. Among 370 elderly with non-valvular AF (NVAF), oral anticoagulant agents (OACs) were prescribed for 278 (84.2%) of eligible high-risk patients. Of the 1402 younger patients with NVAF, OACs were prescribed for 1133 (84.3%) of eligible patients. Direct oral anticoagulant agents (DOACs) were more frequently used in the elderly compared to the young (72.3% vs 62.3%, p<0.001).ConclusionElderly Middle Eastern AF patients have worse baseline clinical profiles and higher risk scores compared to younger patients. The majority of the elderly were prescribed guideline directed OACs, with higher use of DOACs than the younger cohort.Clinical studies registrationThe study is registered on clinicaltrials.gov (unique identifier number NCT03917992).

Project description:Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs), such as rivaroxaban, reduce the risk of stroke and systemic embolism in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). However, it is still unclear whether the stroke reduction benefit outweighs the bleeding risk in elderly Japanese patients with NVAF. The Xarelto Post-Authorization Safety and Effectiveness Study in Japanese Patients with Atrial Fibrillation (XAPASS) was a real-world, prospective observational, post-marketing surveillance study on the safety and effectiveness of rivaroxaban in Japanese clinical practice. This sub-analysis evaluated the clinical outcomes of elderly patients aged???75 years. At the 1-year follow-up, there were 4,685 (48.91%) and 4,893 (51.09%) patients aged???75 and?<?75 years, respectively. Safety and effectiveness outcomes were compared between patients aged???75 years and those aged?<?75 years, and among 3 elderly sub-populations (age ranges: 75-79, 80-84, and???85 years). Patients aged???75 years had higher rates of major bleeding [2.22 vs. 1.35 events per 100 patient-years, hazard ratio (HR) 1.63, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.17-2.28] and composite of stroke (ischemic or hemorrhagic)/non-central nervous system (non-CNS) systemic embolism (SE)/myocardial infarction (MI) (2.41 vs. 1.21 events per 100 patient-years, HR 1.97, 95% CI 1.40-2.77) compared to patients aged?<?75 years. Intracranial hemorrhage rates were?<?1 event per 100 patient-years in both groups (0.85 vs. 0.59 events per 100 patient-years, HR 1.43, 95% CI 0.85-2.40). Kaplan-Meier curves of major bleeding and stroke/non-CNS SE/MI showed that no significant differences of cumulative event rates were identified among the 3 elderly sub-populations. Stepwise Cox regression analyses revealed that creatinine clearance (CrCl) (<50 mL/min), hepatic impairment, and hypertension were specific predictors for major bleeding and no specific predictors were found for stroke/non-CNS SE/MI in patients aged???75 years. In conclusion, safety and effectiveness event rates were higher in patients aged???75 years compared with those aged?<?75 years, yet, no distinct differences were observed among the 3 elderly sub-populations.

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Risk of stroke and heart failure attributable to atrial fibrillation in middle-aged and elderly people: Results from a five-year prospective cohort study of Japanese community dwellers.

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