Dataset Information

Toenail mineral concentration and risk of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, results from the Golestan Cohort Study.

ABSTRACT: Studies conducted in China linked selenium deficiency to higher risk of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), but this has not been widely tested outside that selenium-deficient region. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between selenium and other mineral concentrations in toenails and risk of ESCC in a region with high incidence rates. In this nested case-control study, we identified 222 cases of ESCC from the Golestan Cohort Study, Iran, which has followed up 50,045 participants since enrollment (2004-2008). We randomly selected one control for each case matched by age and sex, using incidence density sampling. We used toenail samples collected at baseline to measure the concentration of selenium, zinc, chromium, mercury, and scandium using instrumental neutron activation analysis. Multivariate adjusted logistic regression models were used to estimate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals. Median nail selenium, zinc, chromium, and mercury levels were 1.01, 74.59, 0.77, and 0.018 ?g/g in cases and 1.02, 75.71, 0.71, and 0.023 ?g/g in controls, respectively. The adjusted odds ratios comparing each fourth quartile of mineral status versus the first quartile were as follows: selenium = 0.78 (95% CI, 0.41-1.49); zinc=0.80 (95% CI, 0.42-1.53); chromium = 0.91 (95% CI, 0.46-1.80); and mercury=0.61 (95% CI, 0.27-1.38), and all trend tests were non-significant. The nail selenium concentration in our controls reflects relatively high selenium status. No evidence of association between selenium or chromium concentrations in toenails and the risk of ESCC was detected in this population.

SUBMITTER: Hashemian M

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5727321 | biostudies-other | 2017 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other

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Toenail mineral concentration and risk of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, results from the Golestan Cohort Study.

Hashemian Maryam M Murphy Gwen G Etemadi Arash A Poustchi Hossein H Brockman John D JD Kamangar Farin F Pourshams Akram A Khoshnia Masoud M Gharavi Abdolsamad A Dawsey Sanford M SM Brennan Paul J PJ Boffetta Paolo P Hekmatdoost Azita A Malekzadeh Reza R Abnet Christian C CC

Cancer medicine 20171110 12

Studies conducted in China linked selenium deficiency to higher risk of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), but this has not been widely tested outside that selenium-deficient region. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between selenium and other mineral concentrations in toenails and risk of ESCC in a region with high incidence rates. In this nested case-control study, we identified 222 cases of ESCC from the Golestan Cohort Study, Iran, which has followed up 50,045 ...[more]

PMID: 29125237

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Project description:BackgroundThere are rare prediction models for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) for rural Chinese population. We aimed to develop and validate a prediction model for ESCC based on a cohort study for the population.MethodsData of 115,686 participants were collected from esophageal cancer (EC) early diagnosis and treatment of cancer program as derivation cohort while data of 54,750 participants were collected as validation cohort. Risk factors considered included age, sex, smoking status, alcohol drinking status, body mass index (BMI), tea drinking status, marital status, annual household income, source of drinking water, education level, and diet habit. Cox proportional hazards model was used to develop ESCC prediction model at 5 years. Calibration ability, discrimination ability, and decision curve analysis were analyzed in both derivation and validation cohort. A score model was developed based on prediction model.ResultsOne hundred eighty-six cases were diagnosed during 556,949.40 person-years follow-up in the derivation cohort while 120 cases from 277,302.70 in the validation cohort. Prediction model included the following variables: age, sex, alcohol drinking status, BMI, tea drinking status, and fresh fruit. The model had good discrimination and calibration performance: R 2, D statistic, and Harrell's C statistic of prediction model were 43.56%, 1.70, and 0.798 in derivation cohort and 45.19%, 1.62, and 0.787 in validation cohort. The calibration analysis showed good coherence between predicted probabilities and observed probabilities while decision curve analysis showed clinical usefulness. The score model was as follows: age (3 for 45-49 years old; 4 for 50-54 years old; 7 for 55-59 years old; 9 for 60-64 years; 10 for 65-69 years), sex (5 for men), BMI (1 for ≤25), alcohol drinking status (2 for alcohol drinkers), tea drinking status (2 for tea drinkers), and fresh fruit (2 for never) and showed good discrimination ability with area under the curve and its 95% confidence interval of 0.792 (0.761,0.822) in the deviation cohort and 0.773 (0.736,0.811) in the validation cohort. The calibration analysis showed great coherence between predicted probabilities and observed probabilities.ConclusionsWe developed and validated an ESCC prediction model using cohort study with good discrimination and calibration capability which can be used for EC screening for rural Chinese population.

Dataset Information

Toenail mineral concentration and risk of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, results from the Golestan Cohort Study.

Publications

Toenail mineral concentration and risk of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, results from the Golestan Cohort Study.

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