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Multiple risk factor control, mortality and cardiovascular events in type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease: a population-based cohort study.

ABSTRACT: OBJECTIVES:This study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of multiple risk factor control (MRFC) at reducing mortality and cardiovascular events in diabetes and chronic kidney disease (CKD) in clinical practice. DESIGN:Population-based cohort study. SETTING:Primary care database in the UK, linked with inpatient and mortality data. PARTICIPANTS:Participants aged 40-79 years with type 2 diabetes and valid serum creatinine measurements, including 11?431 participants with CKD (estimated glomerular filtration rate: eGFR 15-59?mL/min/1.73?m2) and 36?429 participants with non-CKD (eGFR ?60?mL/min/1.73?m2). EXPOSURES:MRFC consisted of four components: Haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) <53?mmol/mol (<7.0%), blood pressure <140/90?mm Hg, total cholesterol <5?mmol/L and no smoking. The main exposure variable was the number of risk factors controlled at baseline. OUTCOME MEASURES:All-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the overall participants. Cardiovascular events, including coronary heart disease and stroke, in participants limited to those without a history of cardiovascular diseases at baseline. RESULTS:In participants with CKD, 37% or 13% met three or four MRFC criteria, respectively. Increasing numbers of risk factors controlled were associated with lower relative hazards for all outcomes studied compared with those meeting no or one criterion. For participants with CKD meeting four criteria, the adjusted HR for all-cause mortality was 0.60 (95% CI 0.53 to 0.69) and the adjusted subdistribution HR for cardiovascular mortality was 0.60 (95% CI 0.50 to 0.70), considering a competing risk of non-cardiovascular death. Participants meeting four criteria also had lower relative hazards for coronary heart disease (adjusted subdistribution HR 0.73, 95%?CI 0.59 to 0.91) and stroke (0.63, 95% CI 0.45 to 0.89), considering death as a competing risk. CONCLUSIONS:MRFC may lower the increased risks for mortality and cardiovascular events in people with diabetes and CKD. Further research is needed to evaluate appropriateness of MRFC according to individual participants' health status for improved management of cardiovascular risks in this population.

SUBMITTER: Hamada S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5942470 | biostudies-other | 2018 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other

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Multiple risk factor control, mortality and cardiovascular events in type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease: a population-based cohort study.

Hamada Shota S Gulliford Martin C MC

BMJ open 20180508 5

<h4>Objectives</h4>This study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of multiple risk factor control (MRFC) at reducing mortality and cardiovascular events in diabetes and chronic kidney disease (CKD) in clinical practice.<h4>Design</h4>Population-based cohort study.<h4>Setting</h4>Primary care database in the UK, linked with inpatient and mortality data.<h4>Participants</h4>Participants aged 40-79 years with type 2 diabetes and valid serum creatinine measurements, including 11 431 participants wit ...[more]

PMID: 29739781

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Project description:ObjectiveTo identify the optimal estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at which to initiate dialysis in people with advanced chronic kidney disease.DesignNationwide observational cohort study.SettingNational Swedish Renal Registry of patients referred to nephrologists.ParticipantsPatients had a baseline eGFR between 10 and 20 mL/min/1.73 m2 and were included between 1 January 2007 and 31 December 2016, with follow-up until 1 June 2017.Main outcome measuresThe strict design criteria of a clinical trial were mimicked by using the cloning, censoring, and weighting method to eliminate immortal time bias, lead time bias, and survivor bias. A dynamic marginal structural model was used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios and absolute risks for five year all cause mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events (composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, or non-fatal stroke) for 15 dialysis initiation strategies with eGFR values between 4 and 19 mL/min/1.73 m2 in increments of 1 mL/min/1.73 m2. An eGFR between 6 and 7 mL/min/1.73 m2 (eGFR6-7) was taken as the reference.ResultsAmong 10 290 incident patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (median age 73 years; 3739 (36%) women; median eGFR 16.8 mL/min/1.73 m2), 3822 started dialysis, 4160 died, and 2446 had a major adverse cardiovascular event. A parabolic relation was observed for mortality, with the lowest risk for eGFR15-16. Compared with dialysis initiation at eGFR6-7, initiation at eGFR15-16 was associated with a 5.1% (95% confidence interval 2.5% to 6.9%) lower absolute five year mortality risk and 2.9% (0.2% to 5.5%) lower risk of a major adverse cardiovascular event, corresponding to hazard ratios of 0.89 (95% confidence interval 0.87 to 0.92) and 0.94 (0.91 to 0.98), respectively. This 5.1% absolute risk difference corresponded to a mean postponement of death of 1.6 months over five years of follow-up. However, dialysis would need to be started four years earlier. When emulating the intended strategies of the Initiating Dialysis Early and Late (IDEAL) trial (eGFR10-14 v eGFR5-7) and the achieved eGFRs in IDEAL (eGFR7-10 v eGFR5-7), hazard ratios for all cause mortality were 0.96 (0.94 to 0.99) and 0.97 (0.94 to 1.00), respectively, which are congruent with the findings of the randomised IDEAL trial.ConclusionsVery early initiation of dialysis was associated with a modest reduction in mortality and cardiovascular events. For most patients, such a reduction may not outweigh the burden of a substantially longer period spent on dialysis.

Project description:BackgroundOutcomes of diabetes screening in contemporary, multi-ethnic populations are unknown. We examined the association of prior outpatient diabetes screening with the risks of cardiovascular events and mortality in Ontario, Canada.MethodsWe conducted a population-based cohort study using administrative databases among adults aged ≥ 20 years with incident diabetes diagnosed during 2014-2016. The exposure was outpatient diabetes screening performed within 3 years prior to diabetes diagnosis. The co-primary outcomes were (1) a composite of all-cause mortality and hospitalization for myocardial infarction, stroke, coronary revascularization, and (2) all-cause mortality (followed up until 2018). We calculated standardized rates of each outcome and conducted cause-specific hazard modelling to determine the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of the outcomes, adjusting for prespecified confounders and accounting for the competing risk of death.ResultsWe included 178,753 Ontarians with incident diabetes (70.2% previously screened). Individuals receiving prior screening were older (58.3 versus 53.4 years) and more likely to be women (49.6% versus 40.0%) than previously unscreened individuals. Individuals receiving prior screening had relatively lower standardized event rates than those without prior screening across all outcomes (composite: 12.8 versus 18.1, mortality: 8.2 versus 11.1 per 1000 patient-years). After multivariable adjustment, prior screening was associated with 34% and 32% lower risks of the composite (HR 0.66, 0.63-0.69) and mortality (0.68, 0.64-0.72) outcomes. Among those receiving prior screening, a result in the prediabetes range was associated with lower risks of the composite (0.82, 0.77-0.88) and mortality (0.71, 0.66-0.78) outcomes than a result in the normoglycemic range.ConclusionsPreviously screened individuals with diabetes had lower risks of cardiovascular events and mortality versus previously unscreened individuals. Better risk assessment tools are needed to support wider and more appropriate uptake of diabetes screening, especially among young adults.

Project description:BackgroundPeople with kidney failure have a high incidence of major surgery, though the risk of perioperative outcomes at a population-level is unknown. Our objective was to estimate the proportion of people with kidney failure that experience acute myocardial infarction (AMI) or death within 30 days of major non-cardiac surgery, based on surgery type.MethodsIn this retrospective population-based cohort study, we used administrative health data to identify adults from Alberta, Canada with major surgery between April 12,005 and February 282,017 that had preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFRs) < 15 mL/min/1.73m2 or received chronic dialysis. The index surgical procedure for each participant was categorized within one of fourteen surgical groupings based on Canadian Classification of Health Interventions (CCI) codes applied to hospitalization administrative datasets. We estimated the proportion of people that had AMI or died within 30 days of the index surgical procedure (with 95% confidence intervals [CIs]) following logistic regression, stratified by surgery type.ResultsOverall, 3398 people had a major surgery (1905 hemodialysis; 590 peritoneal dialysis; 903 non-dialysis). Participants were more likely male (61.0%) with a median age of 61.5 years (IQR 50.0-72.7). Within 30 days of surgery, 272 people (8.0%) had an AMI or died. The probability was lowest following ophthalmologic surgery at 1.9% (95%CI: 0.5, 7.3) and kidney transplantation at 2.1% (95%CI: 1.3, 3.2). Several types of surgery were associated with greater than one in ten risk of AMI or death, including retroperitoneal (10.0% [95%CI: 2.5, 32.4]), intra-abdominal (11.7% [8.7, 15.5]), skin and soft tissue (12.1% [7.4, 19.1]), musculoskeletal (MSK) (12.3% [9.9, 15.5]), vascular (12.6% [10.2, 15.4]), anorectal (14.7% [6.3, 30.8]), and neurosurgical procedures (38.1% [20.3, 59.8]). Urgent or emergent procedures had the highest risk, with 12.1% experiencing AMI or death (95%CI: 10.7, 13.6) compared with 2.6% (1.9, 3.5) following elective surgery.ConclusionsAfter major non-cardiac surgery, the risk of death or AMI for people with kidney failure varies significantly based on surgery type. This study informs our understanding of surgery type and risk for people with kidney failure. Future research should focus on identifying high risk patients and strategies to reduce these risks.

Project description:ObjectiveTo quantify associations of chronic kidney disease stages with major cardiovascular disease and non-vascular mortality in the general adult population.DesignProspective population based cohort study.SettingReykjavik, Iceland.Participants16 958 people aged 33-81 years without manifest vascular disease and with available information on stage of chronic kidney disease (defined by both estimated glomerular filtration rate and urinary protein) at study entry.Main outcome measuresHazard ratios for time to major coronary heart disease outcomes and mortality.Results1210 (7%) of participants had chronic kidney disease at entry. During a median follow-up of 24 years, 4010 coronary heart disease outcomes, 559 deaths from stroke, and 3875 deaths from non-vascular causes were recorded. Compared with the reference group (estimated glomerular filtration rate 75-89 ml/min/1.73 m(2) and no proteinuria), people with lower renal function within the normal range of glomerular filtration rate did not have significantly higher risk of coronary heart disease. By contrast, in 1210 (7%) participants with chronic kidney disease at entry, hazard ratios for coronary heart disease, adjusted for several conventional cardiovascular risk factors, were 1.55 (95% confidence interval 1.02 to 2.35) for stage 1, 1.72 (1.30 to 2.24) for stage 2, 1.39 (1.22 to 1.58) for stage 3a, 1.90 (1.22 to 2.96) for stage 3b, and 4.29 (1.78 to 10.32) for stage 4. Information on chronic kidney disease increased discrimination and reclassification indices for coronary heart disease when added to conventional risk factors (P<0.01). The incremental gain provided by chronic kidney disease was lower than that provided by diabetes or smoking (C index increases of 0.0015, 0.0024, and 0.0124 respectively). Hazard ratios with chronic kidney disease were 0.97 (0.82 to 1.15) for cancer mortality and 1.26 (1.07 to 1.50) for other non-vascular mortality.ConclusionsIn people without manifest vascular disease, even the earliest stages of chronic kidney disease are associated with excess risk of subsequent coronary heart disease. Assessment of chronic kidney disease in addition to conventional risk factors modestly improves prediction of risk for coronary heart disease in this population. Further studies are needed to investigate associations between chronic kidney disease and non-vascular mortality from causes other than cancer.

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Dataset Information

Multiple risk factor control, mortality and cardiovascular events in type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease: a population-based cohort study.

Publications

Multiple risk factor control, mortality and cardiovascular events in type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease: a population-based cohort study.

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