Dataset Information

Non-invasive tests for the detection of oesophageal varices in compensated cirrhosis: systematic review and meta-analysis.

ABSTRACT: Conclusive data on the accuracy and clinical applicability of non-invasive screening tests for oesophageal varices (OV) in patients with compensated cirrhosis remain lacking. We conducted this study to identify currently available tests, estimate their diagnostic performance and then exemplify how these could be utilized in clinical practice.A systematic literature search was performed to identify all primary studies that reported accuracy using oesophagogastroduodenoscopy (OGD) as the gold standard. Sources searched included Ovid MEDLINE, Ovid EMBASE and The Cochrane Library databases.Twenty-one studies with a total of 2471 patients were identified. Several tests were evaluated in more than three studies. Platelet count/spleen diameter ratio (PSR) had the highest summary area under the curve for detection of any size OV of 0.85 (95% confidence interval 0.78-0.92). At a cut-off of 909 (n?=?4 studies) and prevalence rates of 10, 20, 30, 40 and 50% for OV, PSR screening correctly avoided the need for OGD in 70, 62, 55, 47 and 39% of patients, respectively.PSR appears to be the most accurate and validated non-invasive screening test for OV in patients with compensated cirrhosis. At a cut-off of 909, PSR could be clinically useful to avoid OGDs in a significant proportion of patients.

SUBMITTER: Sami SS

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6047293 | biostudies-other | 2018 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other

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Non-invasive tests for the detection of oesophageal varices in compensated cirrhosis: systematic review and meta-analysis.

Sami Sarmed S SS Harman David D Ragunath Krish K Böhning Dankmar D Parkes Julie J Guha Indra Neil IN

United European gastroenterology journal 20180322 6

<h4>Introduction</h4>Conclusive data on the accuracy and clinical applicability of non-invasive screening tests for oesophageal varices (OV) in patients with compensated cirrhosis remain lacking. We conducted this study to identify currently available tests, estimate their diagnostic performance and then exemplify how these could be utilized in clinical practice.<h4>Materials and methods</h4>A systematic literature search was performed to identify all primary studies that reported accuracy using ...[more]

PMID: 30023058

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Project description:BackgroundVarious non-invasive markers predicting hepatic fibrosis are poor predictors of esophageal variceal bleeding (EVB). Elastography performs well but resource-limited. Controversy for small EV prevention also exists. We aim to investigate if a non-invasive marker could predict subsequent EVB within 1 and 2 years in patients with compensated liver cirrhosis (CLC), initial small EV without red-color sign (RCS), without use of non-selective beta-blockers (NSBB) and endoscopic variceal ligation (EVL). This marker would also be tested if it could help reduce use of NSBB, thereby avoiding potential side effects and saving medical costs.MethodsIn this retrospective cohort study, 6,803 CLC patients fulfilling the inclusion-exclusion criteria were enrolled between 2001 and 2018, and were followed-up for 1 year, 2 years. The primary outcomes were subsequent EVB within 1 and 2 years of enrollment. Another 281 CLC patients with NSBB use were compared for additional outcome analysis.ResultsIn total, 539 patients and 710 patients experienced EVB within 1 year and 2 years, respectively. The fibrosis index (FI) with cut-off value of 3.95 showed a negative predictive value (NPV) of 94.3% and an area under receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) of 62.95% for predicting subsequent EVB within 1 year. The EVB and mortality of patients with FI <3.95 and not taking NSBB were significantly lower than those of the other 3 groups. Similar results were demonstrated within 2 years.ConclusionsIn CLC patients with initial small EV and no RCS, low FI scores showed a high NPV and moderate AUROC in predicting subsequent EVB and mortalities, signifying clinically non-significant portal hypertension. Patients with low FI scores and not taking NSBB had significantly lowest EVB and mortality. The medical cost savings for cutting NSBB in these patients would be estimated at least $3 million per year in the U.S. Further randomized control trial study needed to validate this screening tool.

Dataset Information

Non-invasive tests for the detection of oesophageal varices in compensated cirrhosis: systematic review and meta-analysis.

Publications

Non-invasive tests for the detection of oesophageal varices in compensated cirrhosis: systematic review and meta-analysis.

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