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Risk factors for new-onset atrial fibrillation on the general adult ICU: protocol for a systematic review.

ABSTRACT: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia in the critical care environment. New-onset AF is associated with increased mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) length of stay. Observational studies have identified several epidemiological and disease severity-related factors associated with developing new-onset AF on the ICU. However, there are limited data on the modifiable risk factors in the general adult ICU population.We describe a protocol for a systematic review of modifiable and non-modifiable risk factors for new-onset AF in the general adult ICU population. The results of this review will aid the development of risk prediction tools and inform future research into AF prevention on the ICU.Medical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System Online, Excerpta Medica database and the Cochrane Library, including Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials will be searched for studies that assess the association of patient variables, investigation results, interventions and diagnoses associated with subsequent new-onset AF on the ICU.Only studies involving adult patients admitted to non-service-specific ICUs will be included. We will extract data relating to the statistical association between reversible and non-reversible factors and AF, the quality of the studies and the generalisability of the results. This systematic review will be reported according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses.This proposed systematic review will be based on published data, and therefore ethical approval is not required. The findings of this study will be disseminated through publication in a peer reviewed journal and will be presented at conferences.CRD42017074221.

SUBMITTER: Bedford J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6129085 | biostudies-other | 2018 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other

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Risk factors for new-onset atrial fibrillation on the general adult ICU: protocol for a systematic review.

Bedford Jonathan J Harford Mirae M Petrinic Tatjana T Young J Duncan JD Watkinson Peter J PJ

BMJ open 20180904 9

<h4>Introduction</h4>Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia in the critical care environment. New-onset AF is associated with increased mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) length of stay. Observational studies have identified several epidemiological and disease severity-related factors associated with developing new-onset AF on the ICU. However, there are limited data on the modifiable risk factors in the general adult ICU population.We describe a protocol for a systematic review of ...[more]

PMID: 30181189

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Project description:BackgroundPostoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is the most common cardiac dysrhythmia to occur after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). However, the risk factors for new-onset POAF after CABG during the perioperative period have yet to be clearly defined. Accordingly, the aim of our systematic review was to evaluate the perioperative predictors of new-onset POAF after isolated CABG.MethodOur review methods adhered to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guideline. We searched seven electronic databases (PubMed, Embase, CINAHL, PsycArticles, Cochrane, Web of Science, and SCOPUS) to identify all relevant English articles published up to January 2020. Identified studies were screened independently by two researchers for selection, according to predefined criteria. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale was used to evaluate the quality of studies retained.ResultsAfter screening, nine studies were retained for analysis, including 4798 patients, of whom 1555 (32.4%) experienced new-onset POAF after CABG. The incidence rate of new-onset POAF ranged between 17.3% and 47.4%. The following risk factors were identified: old age (p < 0.001), a high preoperative serum creatinine level (p = 0.001), a low preoperative hemoglobin level (p = 0.007), a low left ventricle ejection fraction in Asian patients (p = 0.001), essential hypertension (p < 0.001), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (p = 0.010), renal failure (p = 0.009), cardiopulmonary bypass use (p = 0.002), perfusion time (p = 0.017), postoperative use of inotropes (p < 0.001), postoperative renal failure (p = 0.001), and re-operation (p = 0.005). All studies included in the analysis were of good quality.ConclusionsThe risk factors identified in our review could be used to improve monitoring of at-risk patients for early detection and treatment of new-onset POAF after CABG, reducing the risk of other complications and negative clinical outcomes.

Project description:CONTEXT:Although the heritability of atrial fibrillation (AF) is established, the contribution of familial AF to predicting new-onset AF remains unknown. OBJECTIVE:To determine whether familial occurrence of AF is associated with new-onset AF beyond established risk factors. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS:The Framingham Heart Study, a prospective community-based cohort study started in 1948. Original and Offspring Cohort participants were aged at least 30 years, were free of AF at the baseline examination, and had at least 1 parent or sibling enrolled in the study. The 4421 participants in this analysis (mean age, 54 [SD, 13] years; 54% women) were followed up through December 31, 2007. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES:Incremental predictive value of incorporating different features of familial AF (any familial AF, premature familial AF [onset ?65 years old], number of affected relatives, and youngest age of onset in a relative) into a risk model for new-onset AF. RESULTS:Across 11,971 examinations during the period 1968-2007, 440 participants developed AF. Familial AF occurred among 1185 participants (26.8%) and premature familial AF occurred among 351 participants (7.9%). Atrial fibrillation occurred more frequently among participants with familial AF than without familial AF (unadjusted absolute event rates of 5.8% and 3.1%, respectively). The association was not attenuated by adjustment for AF risk factors (multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio, 1.40; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13-1.74) or reported AF-related genetic variants. Among the different features of familial AF examined, premature familial AF was associated with improved discrimination beyond traditional risk factors to the greatest extent (traditional risk factors, C statistic, 0.842 [95% CI, 0.826-0.858]; premature familial AF, C statistic, 0.846 [95% CI, 0.831-0.862]; P = .004). Modest changes in integrated discrimination improvement were observed with premature familial AF (2.1%). Net reclassification improvement (assessed using 8-year risk thresholds of <5%, 5%-10%, and >10%) did not change significantly with premature familial AF (index statistic, 0.011; 95% CI, -0.021 to 0.042; P = .51), although categoryless net reclassification was improved (index statistic, 0.127; 95% CI, 0.064-0.189; P = .009). CONCLUSIONS:In this cohort, familial AF was associated with an increased risk of AF that was not attenuated by adjustment for AF risk factors including genetic variants. Assessment of premature familial AF was associated with a very slight increase in predictive accuracy compared with traditional risk factors.

Project description:BACKGROUND:New onset atrial fibrillation is the most commonly encountered arrhythmia in critically unwell patients with a reported incidence of 4% to 29%. The occurrence of new onset atrial fibrillation may precipitate acute heart failure and lead to thromboembolic complications as well as being associated with increased in-hospital and in intensive care unit (ICU) mortality. Despite being common, much of our current knowledge regarding the treatment of new onset atrial fibrillation comes from patients with chronic atrial fibrillation or post cardiac surgery. It is unclear if management strategies in these patient cohorts can be applied to new onset atrial fibrillation in the general ICU. This protocol for a systematic review and network meta-analysis aims to address this uncertainty and define what is the most effective management strategy for the treatment of new onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) in acutely unwell adult patients. METHODS:In this systematic review and network meta-analysis, we plan to search electronic databases (Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials [CENTRAL], MEDLINE, EMBASE, Science Citation Index Expanded on Web of Science and relevant trial registries) for relevant randomised and non-randomised trials. Citations will be reviewed by title, abstract and full text by two independent reviewers and disagreement resolved by discussion and a third independent reviewer, if necessary. The Cochrane Risk of Bias tool will be used to assess risk of bias in randomised trials and the Risk of Bias in Nonrandomised Studies of Interventions (ROBINS-I) tool will be used for non-randomised studies. Statistical analysis will be carried out using R package meta and netmeta. We will first conduct a pairwise meta-analysis. If conditions for indirect comparison are satisfied and suitable data are available, we will conduct network meta-analysis using frequentist methodology. Treatments will be ranked according to efficacy with associated P-scores. We will assess the quality of the evidence in the pairwise using GRADE methodology and network meta-analysis comparisons in the CINeMA module in R package meta. DISCUSSION:Our review will be the first to assess direct and indirect evidence to assess the efficacy and rank the treatments available for new onset atrial fibrillation in critically unwell patients. Our review findings will be applicable to the care of people in a range of acute settings including, ICU, the emergency department and acute medical units. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION:PROSPERO registry number: CRD42019121739.

Project description:BackgroundNew-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is associated with an accelerated decline in lung function, and a significant increase in mortality rate. A deeper understanding of the risk factors for new-onset AF during COPD will provide insights into the relationship between COPD and AF and guide clinical practice. This systematic review and meta-analysis is designed to identify risk factors for new-onset AF in patients with COPD, and to formulate recommendations for preventing AF in COPD patients that will assist clinical decision making.MethodsPubMed, Embase, Web of Science and Cochrane Library databases were searched for studies, which reported the results of potential risk factors for new-onset AF in COPD patients.ResultsTwenty studies involving 8,072,043 participants were included. Fifty factors were examined as potential risk factors for new-onset AF during COPD. Risk factors were grouped according to demographics, comorbid conditions, and COPD- and cardiovascular-related factors. In quantitative analysis, cardiovascular- and demographic-related factors with a greater than 50% increase in the odds of new-onset AF included age (over 65 years and over 75 years), acute care encounter, coronary artery disease, heart failure and congestive heart failure. Only one factor is related to the reduction of odds by more than 33.3%, which is black race (vs white). In qualitative analysis, the comparison of the risk factors was conducted between COPD-associated AF and non-COPD-associated AF. Cardiovascular-related factors for non-COPD-associated AF were also considered as risk factors for new-onset AF during COPD; however, the influence tended to be stronger during COPD. In addition, comorbid factors identified in non-COPD-associated AF were not associated with an increased risk of AF during COPD.ConclusionsNew-onset AF in COPD has significant demographic characteristics. Older age (over 65 years), males and white race are at higher risk of developing AF. COPD patients with a history of cardiovascular disease should be carefully monitored for new-onset of AF, and appropriate preventive measures should be implemented. Even patients with mild COPD are at high risk of new-onset AF. This study shows that risk factors for new-onset AF during COPD are mainly those associated with the cardiovascular-related event and are not synonymous with comorbid factors for non-COPD-associated AF. The pathogenesis of COPD-associated AF may be predominantly related to the cardiac dysfunction caused by the chronic duration of COPD, which increases the risk of cardiovascular-related factors and further increases the risk of AF during COPD.Prospero registration numberCRD42019137758.

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Risk factors for new-onset atrial fibrillation on the general adult ICU: protocol for a systematic review.

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Risk factors for new-onset atrial fibrillation on the general adult ICU: protocol for a systematic review.

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