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Predicting Relapse in Patients With Medulloblastoma by Integrating Evidence From Clinical and Genomic Feature

ABSTRACT: Despite significant progress in the molecular understanding of medulloblastoma, stratification of risk in patients remains a challenge. Focus has shifted from clinical parameters to molecular markers, such as expression of specific genes and selected genomic abnormalities, to improve accuracy of treatment outcome prediction. Here, we show how integration of high-level clinical and genomic features or risk factors, including disease subtype, can yield more comprehensive, accurate, and biologically interpretable prediction models for relapse versus no-relapse classification. We also introduce a novel Bayesian nomogram indicating the amount of evidence that each feature contributes on a patient-by-patient basis. The training set consisted of 96 samples for which relapse status at 30 months post-treatment was known. Matched normal blood samples were collected through the COG Tumor Bank (protocol ACNS02B3) and from Children's Hospital Boston under institutional review board approval. The test set included 78 samples: 47 samples from our original study6 not used for training, 16 samples from Kool et al,33 and 15 samples from the COG Tumor Bank. All training and test samples correspond to patients at least 3 years old treated with conventional chemotherapy, surgical resection, and craniospinal irradiation. In the test set, 15 samples (Children's Oncology Group Tumor Bank) were processed as described above. Of those 15, a total of six have DNA copy number data. Another set of 47 samples was taken from the data set from Pomeroy et al. (Affymetrix Hu6800; Affymetrix). None of those samples had DNA copy number data. The remaining 16 samples, all with DNA copy number data, came from Kool et al. (Affymetrix U133; Affymetrix).

ORGANISM(S): Homo sapiens

PROVIDER: GSE201583 | GEO | 2022/04/28

REPOSITORIES: GEO

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Project description:The clinical and cytogenetic features associated with T-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia (T-ALL) are not predictive of early treatment failure. Based on the hypothesis that microarrays might identify patients who fail therapy, we used the Affymetrix U133 Plus 2.0 chip and prediction analysis of microarrays (PAM) to profile 50 newly diagnosed patients who were treated in the Children's Oncology Group (COG) T-ALL Study 9404. We identified a 116-member genomic classifier that could accurately distinguish all 6 induction failure (IF) cases from 44 patients who achieved remission; network analyses suggest a prominent role for genes mediating cellular quiescence. Seven genes were similarly upregulated in both the genomic classifier for IF patients and T-ALL cell lines having acquired resistance to neoplastic agents, identifying potential target genes for further study in drug resistance. We tested whether our classifier could predict IF within 42 patient samples obtained from COG 8704 and, using PAM to define a smaller classifier for the U133A chip, correctly identified the single IF case and patients with persistently circulating blasts. Genetic profiling may identify T-ALL patients who are likely to fail induction and for whom alternate treatment strategies might be beneficial. This SuperSeries is composed of the following subset Series:; GSE14613: Microarray analyses of induction failure in T-ALL (COG study 8704); GSE14615: Microarray analyses of induction failure in T-ALL (COG study 9404) Experiment Overall Design: Refer to individual Series Experiment Overall Design: This was a case-controlled, retrospectively designed study. We performed expression profiles on 92 patients with T-ALL treated on Children's Oncology Group studies 8704 (42 patients) and 9404 (50 patients). Experiment Overall Design: Expression profiles were obtained from patients with newly diagnosed T-ALL. NR = no response (induction failure); F= failure (relapse); C= Complete Continous Remission.

Project description:PAPER 1:"Identification of novel subgroups of high-risk pediatric precursor B acute lymphoblastic leukemia (B-ALL) by unsupervised microarray analysis: clinical correlates and therapeutic implications. A Children's Oncology Group (COG) study." ABSTRACT We examined gene expression profiles of pre-treatment specimens from 207 patients from the COG P9906 study to identify signatures of children with high risk B-precursor acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) and to determine whether the resulting clusters are associated with either specific clinical features or treatment response characteristics. Four unsupervised clustering methods were utilized to classify patients into similar groups. The different clustering algorithms showed significant overlap in cluster membership. Two clusters contained all cases with either t(1;19)(q23;p13) translocations or MLL rearrangements. The other six clusters were novel and had no recurring chromosomal abnormalities or distinctive clinical features. Members of two of these novel clusters had significant survival differences when compared to the overall 4-year relapse-free survival (RFS) of 61%. These included clusters of patients with either significantly better (94.7%) or worse (21.0%) RFS at 4 years. Children of Hispanic/Latino ethnicity were disproportionately present in the poor outcome cluster. The poor outcome cluster represents a novel biologically distinctive subset of B-precursor ALL that may occur at least as frequently as BCR/ABL. Further molecular characterization of this cluster may lead to the discovery of genomic abnormalities that can be targeted to improve the currently dismal outcome for children with this gene signature. The Sample data have also been used in another study: PAPER 2: "Gene expression classifiers for minimal residual disease and relapse free survival improve outcome prediction and risk classification in children with high risk acute lymphoblastic leukemia. A Children's Oncology Group study". ABSTRACT Background. Nearly 25% of children with B-precursor ALL present with "high-risk" disease (HR-ALL) that is resistant to current therapies. Gene expression profiling may yield molecular classifiers for outcome prediction that can be used to improve risk classification and therapeutic targeting. Methods. Expression profiles were obtained in pre-treatment leukemic samples from 207 uniformly treated children with HR-ALL. Relapse free survival (RFS) was 61% at 4 years and flow cytometric measures of minimal residual disease (MRD) at the end of induction (day 29) were predictive of outcome (P<0.001). Molecular classifiers predictive of RFS and MRD were developed using extensive cross-validation procedures. Results. A 38 gene molecular risk classifier predictive of RFS (MRC-RFS) distinguished two groups in HR-ALL with different relapse risks: low (4 yr RFS: 81%, n=109) vs. high (4 yr RFS: 50%, n=98) (P<0.0001). In multivariate analysis, the best predictor combined MRC-RFS and day 29 flow MRD data, classifying children into low (87% RFS), intermediate (62% RFS), or high risk (29% RFS) groups (P<0.0001). A 21 gene molecular classifier predictive of MRD could effectively substitute for day 29 flow MRD, yielding a combined classifier that similarly distinguished three risk groups at pre-treatment (low: 82% RFS; intermediate: 63% RFS; and high risk: 45% RFS) (P<0.0001). This combined molecular classifier was further validated on an independent cohort of 84 children with HR-ALL (P = 0.006). Conclusions. Molecular classifiers predictive of RFS and MRD can be used to distinguish distinct prognostic groups within HR-ALL, significantly improving risk classification schemes and the ability to prospectively identify children at diagnosis who will respond to or fail current treatment regimens. NOTE: Due to Children's Oncology Group (COG) restrictions, outcome and MRD data cannot be provided as part of the covariate data for this dataset at the present time. If you would like to arrange individual access to this data, please contact COG or the PI of this study, Dr. Cheryl Willman, at the University of New Mexico Cancer Center (cwillman@unm.edu) to arrange a collaboration. Unsupervised clustering and supervised risk classification analyses of 207 diagnostic samples and associated clinical covariate data. See the Summary for greater details. The data were analyzed using Microarray Suite version 5.0 (MAS 5.0) in the Affymetrix Gene Chip Operating Software Version 1.4. Probe masking was used (see 9906_TT207_Affymetrix_probe_mask.msk, linked below as a supplementary file). Otherwise all Affymetrix default parameter settings were used. Global scaling as the normalization method, with the default target intensity of 500, was used.

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Predicting Relapse in Patients With Medulloblastoma by Integrating Evidence From Clinical and Genomic Feature

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