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The Validation Set for the initial development of the 95GC in 2011.

ABSTRACT: Our aim to develop the 95GC (gene classifier) was to make an accurate diagnostic system using gene expression analysis by means of DNA microarray for prognosis of node-negative and estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer patients in order to identify a subset of patients who can be safely spared adjuvant chemotherapy. A diagnostic system comprising a 95-gene classifier was developed for predicting the prognosis of node-negative and ER-positive breast cancer patients by using DNA microarray (gene expression) data (n = 549) as the training set and the DNA microarray data (n = 105) as the validation set (= this data set). With the 95-gene classifier we could classify the 105 patients　receiving only endocrine therapy without chemotherapy in the validation set into a high-risk (n = 44) and a low-risk (n = 61) group with 10-year recurrence-free survival rates of 93 and 53%, respectively (P = 8.6e-7). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that the 95-gene classifier was the most important and significant predictor of recurrence (P = 9.6e-4) independently of tumor size, histological grade, progesterone receptor, HER2, Ki67, or GGI. The 95-gene classifier developed by us can predict the prognosis of node-negative and ER-positive breast cancer patients with high accuracy. *Note: This old data has been updated multiple times by others. Then, there are some differences from the original 2011 paper and unclear points still remain. Therefore, do not use it for formal analysis aimed at public insurance coverage etc. This is for research purposes only. Please cite this paper when writing a new paper. DOI: 10.1007/s10549-010-1145-z

ORGANISM(S): Homo sapiens

PROVIDER: GSE233251 | GEO | 2023/05/28

REPOSITORIES: GEO

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Project description:Background: Validated markers to predict outcome in rectal cancer patients treated with multimodal therapy remain elusive. Identifying molecular profiles for disease prognosis would be required for the design of clinical trials aimed at optimizing risk-adapted therapies. We have therefore used whole genome expression profiling of tumors of a large cohort of patients enrolled in the multicenter trials of the German Rectal Cancer Study Group (GRCSG) to identify molecular profiles for individualized therapy. Methods: We prospectively collected pretherapeutic biopsies from patients (n=300) treated according to the GRCSG trial guidelines from seven different German surgical departments using rigid quality controls. These samples were profiled by global gene expression analysis and a classifier developed to predict postoperative lymph node status and Disease Free Survival (DFS). The performance of the classifier was validated with an independent, prospectively collected set of samples. Findings: The final training and test set included 198 patients. Analyzes for postoperative nodal status and DFS revealed 69 and 674 differentially regulated genes, respectively. Depending on the classifier the accuracy to predict lymph node status ranged from 64% to 69% with negative predictive values between 72% and 74%. Stratification according to DFS resulted in a good (n=99), bad (n=96) and a small very bad prognosis group (n=3). Based on linear discriminant analysis the classifier for positive lymph node status was validated in 47 independent patients and revealed an accuracy of 72% and a positive predictive value of 100%. Thereby, prediction based on molecular profiling is superior to prediction based on conventional clinical markers. Interpretation: Whole genome expression analysis of pretherapeutical biopsies resulted in a molecular classifier of disease prognosis. This classifier was successfully validated. The high positive predictive value for post therapeutic lymph node status allows identification of patients requiring alternative or intensified treatment protocols. These data are currently validated for their clinical applicability and should be taken as basis for future molecular driven clinical trials to develop risk-adapted treatments.

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The Validation Set for the initial development of the 95GC in 2011.

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