Dataset Information

Nomogram for pre-procedural prediction of non-curative endoscopic resection in patients with early gastric cancer.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Non-curative resection (non-CR) after endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) requires additional surgery due to the possibility of lymph node metastasis (LNM). Therefore, it is important to accurately predict the risk of non-CR to avoid unnecessary preoperative procedures. Thus, we aimed to develop and verify a nomogram to predict the risk of non-CR prior to ESD.

Methods

Patients who underwent ESD for early gastric cancer (EGC) were divided into CR and non-CR groups based on the present ESD criteria. The pre-procedural factors, such as endoscopic features, radiologic findings, and pathology of the lesion, were compared between the groups to identify the risk factors associated with non-CR. A nomogram was developed using multivariate analysis, and its predictive value was assessed using an external validation group.

Results

Among 824 patients, 682 were curative (82.7%) and 142 were non-curative (17.3%). By comparing two groups, endoscopic features including redness, whitish mucosal change, fold convergence, and large lesion size; histologic features such as moderately or poorly differentiated or signet ring cell carcinoma; and abnormal CT findings including non-specific lymph node enlargement and fold thickening were identified as significant predictors of non-CR. The nomogram was developed based on these predictors and showed good predictive performance in the external validation, with an area under the curve of 0.87.

Conclusions

We developed a nomogram to predict the risk of non-CR prior to ESD. These predictive factors in addition to the existing ESD criteria can help provide the best treatment option for patients with EGC.

SUBMITTER: Han SY

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10234883 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Publications

Nomogram for pre-procedural prediction of non-curative endoscopic resection in patients with early gastric cancer.

Han So Young SY Yoon Hong Jin HJ Kim Jie-Hyun JH Lee Hye Sun HS Chun Jaeyoung J Youn Young Hoon YH Park Hyojin H

Surgical endoscopy 20230228 6

<h4>Background</h4>Non-curative resection (non-CR) after endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) requires additional surgery due to the possibility of lymph node metastasis (LNM). Therefore, it is important to accurately predict the risk of non-CR to avoid unnecessary preoperative procedures. Thus, we aimed to develop and verify a nomogram to predict the risk of non-CR prior to ESD.<h4>Methods</h4>Patients who underwent ESD for early gastric cancer (EGC) were divided into CR and non-CR groups bas ...[more]

PMID: 36854797

Similar Datasets

Project description:Background and objectiveThe role of additional gastrectomy after non-curative endoscopic resection remains uncertain. The present meta-analysis aimed to explore the risk factors for early-stage gastric-cancer patients after non-curative endoscopic resection and evaluate the efficacy of additional gastrectomy.MethodsRelevant studies that reported additional gastrectomy after non-curative endoscopic resection were comprehensively searched in MedLine, Web of Science and EMBASE. We first investigated the risk factors for residual tumor and lymph-node metastasis after non-curative endoscopic resection and then analysed the survival outcome, including 5-year overall survival (OS) and 5-year disease-free survival, of additional gastrectomy.ResultsTwenty-one studies comprising 4870 cases were included in the present study. We found that residual tumor was associated with larger tumor size (>3 cm) (odds ratio [OR] = 2.81, P < 0.001), undifferentiated tumor type (OR = 1.78, P = 0.011) and positive horizontal margin (OR = 9.78, P < 0.001). Lymph-node metastasis was associated with larger tumor size (>3 cm) (OR = 1.73, P < 0.001), elevated tumor type (OR = 1.60, P = 0.035), deeper tumor invasion (>SM1) (OR = 2.68, P < 0.001), lymphatic invasion (OR = 4.65, P < 0.001) and positive vertical margin (OR = 2.30, P < 0.001). Patients who underwent additional gastrectomy had longer 5-year OS (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.34, P < 0.001), 5-year disease-free survival (HR = 0.52, P = 0.001) and 5-year disease-specific survival (HR = 0.50, P < 0.001) than those who did not. Moreover, elderly patients also benefited from additional gastrectomy regarding 5-year OS (HR = 0.41, P = 0.001).ConclusionsAdditional gastrectomy with lymph-node dissection might improve the survival of early-stage gastric-cancer patients after non-curative endoscopic resection. However, risk stratification should be performed to avoid excessive treatment.

Project description:Objective: We sought to investigate the prognostic significance of body composition and weight change during the first 6 months of adjuvant chemotherapy after R0 resection and develop novel nomograms to accurately predict relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). Methods: This retrospective study included 190 patients who underwent curative radical gastrectomy for gastric cancer and received adjuvant chemotherapy. The changes in weight and body composition including skeletal muscle index (SMI), subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT), and visceral adipose tissue (VAT) were analyzed for 6 months. LASSO Cox regression and multivariate Cox regression were conducted to evaluate other clinical characteristics, which were used to construct a nomogram for the prediction of 3- and 5-year RFS and OS. The constructed nomogram was subjected to 1,000 resamples bootstrap for internal validation. The Concordance index (C-index) and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (t-ROC) curves were used to evaluate and compare the discriminative abilities of the new nomograms, non-nutritional nomograms, and pTNM stage. Results: The median follow-up duration was 42.0 (25.2-55.1) months. Factors included in the newly-built nomogram for RFS were pT stage, pN stage, tumor site, tumor size, nerve invasion or not, surgery type, and change of L3SMI, while factors included in the nomogram for OS were pT stage, pN stage, tumor size, nerve invasion or not, surgery type, and change of L3SMI. The C-index and t-ROC indicated that our newly-built nomograms had greater potential to accurately predict prognosis than the non-nutritional nomograms and pTNM stage system. Besides, oral nutritional supplements can reduce the degree of weight and L3SMI loss. Conclusion: Change in skeletal muscle mass during adjuvant chemotherapy can be incorporated into predictive prognostic nomograms for RFS and OS in GC patients after radical resection. Dynamic changes in body composition and weight during adjuvant chemotherapy contribute to the early detection of poor outcomes.

Dataset Information

Nomogram for pre-procedural prediction of non-curative endoscopic resection in patients with early gastric cancer.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Nomogram for pre-procedural prediction of non-curative endoscopic resection in patients with early gastric cancer.

Similar Datasets

OmicsDI is part of the ELIXIR infrastructure

Tweets