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Beyond scale-free networks: integrating multilayer social networks with molecular clusters in the local spread of COVID-19.


ABSTRACT: This study evaluates the scale-free network assumption commonly used in COVID-19 epidemiology, using empirical social network data from SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant molecular local clusters in Houston, Texas. We constructed genome-informed social networks from contact and co-residence data, tested them for scale-free power-law distributions that imply highly connected hubs, and compared them to alternative models (exponential, log-normal, power-law with exponential cutoff, and Weibull) that suggest more evenly distributed network connections. Although the power-law model failed the goodness of fit test, after incorporating social network ties, the power-law model was at least as good as, if not better than, the alternatives, implying the presence of both hub and non-hub mechanisms in local SARS-CoV-2 transmission. These findings enhance our understanding of the complex social interactions that drive SARS-CoV-2 transmission, thereby informing more effective public health interventions.

SUBMITTER: Fujimoto K 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10710469 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Beyond scale-free networks: integrating multilayer social networks with molecular clusters in the local spread of COVID-19.

Fujimoto Kayo K   Kuo Jacky J   Stott Guppy G   Lewis Ryan R   Chan Hei Kit HK   Lyu Leke L   Veytsel Gabriella G   Carr Michelle M   Broussard Tristan T   Short Kirstin K   Brown Pamela P   Sealy Roger R   Brown Armand A   Bahl Justin J  

Scientific reports 20231209 1


This study evaluates the scale-free network assumption commonly used in COVID-19 epidemiology, using empirical social network data from SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant molecular local clusters in Houston, Texas. We constructed genome-informed social networks from contact and co-residence data, tested them for scale-free power-law distributions that imply highly connected hubs, and compared them to alternative models (exponential, log-normal, power-law with exponential cutoff, and Weibull) that suggest  ...[more]

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