Dataset Information

Prediction of ventilator weaning failure in postoperative cardiac surgery patients using vasoactive-ventilation-renal score and nomogram analysis.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

This study evaluated the predictive value of the vasoactive-ventilation-renal (VVR) score in identifying the risk of weaning failure after cardiac surgery and developing a nomogram model to help physicians improve the success rate of weaning from mechanical ventilation in adult patients undergoing postoperative cardiac surgery.

Methods

Clinical data were retrospectively collected from adult patients who underwent extracorporeal circulation cardiac surgery at the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University between August 2022 and April 2023 and who were subsequently transferred to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) and treated with vasoactive drugs. Patients were divided into successful and unsuccessful weaning groups based on first-attempt weaning success. Variable selection was regularized using univariate logistic regression and Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regularization. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to identify predictors and a nomogram was created to predict the risk of weaning failure.

Results

A total of 519 patients were included in the study. After selecting multiple stepwise variables, the VVR score before weaning, the modified Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (mSOFA) score on weaning day, and mechanical ventilation duration before weaning were determined as predictive indicators of weaning failure in adult patients after cardiac surgery. The optimal cut-off values for these indicators were 18.46 points, 4.33 points, and 20.50 h, respectively. The predictive model constructed using these three factors demonstrated good predictive performance.

Conclusions

The VVR score before weaning accurately predicts the probability of weaning failure in adult patients after cardiac surgery. The weaning risk-predictive nomogram model, established based on the VVR score, mSOFA score, and mechanical ventilation duration before weaning, demonstrated robust predictive ability.

SUBMITTER: Zhang Z

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10977076 | biostudies-literature | 2024

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Prediction of ventilator weaning failure in postoperative cardiac surgery patients using vasoactive-ventilation-renal score and nomogram analysis.

Zhang Zhongqi Z Tang Wanchun W Ren Yankang Y Zhao Yifan Y You Jinjin J Wang Han H Zhao Sheng S Zuo Xiangrong X

Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine 20240314

<h4>Objective</h4>This study evaluated the predictive value of the vasoactive-ventilation-renal (VVR) score in identifying the risk of weaning failure after cardiac surgery and developing a nomogram model to help physicians improve the success rate of weaning from mechanical ventilation in adult patients undergoing postoperative cardiac surgery.<h4>Methods</h4>Clinical data were retrospectively collected from adult patients who underwent extracorporeal circulation cardiac surgery at the First Af ...[more]

PMID: 38550521

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Project description:Acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD) is a devastating cardiovascular disease with extraordinary morbidity and mortality. Prolonged mechanical ventilation (PMV) is a common complication following ATAAD surgery, leading to adverse outcomes. This study aimed to investigate the correlation between mechanical ventilation time (MVT) and prognosis and to devise a nomogram for predicting PMV after ATAAD surgery. This retrospective study enrolled 1049 ATAAD patients from 2011 to 2019. Subgroups were divided into < 12 h, 12 h to < 24 h, 24 h to < 48 h, 48 h to < 72 h, and ≥ 72 h according to MVT. Clinical characteristics and outcomes were compared among the groups. Using multivariable logistic regression analyses, we investigated the relationship between each stratification of MVT and mortality. A nomogram was constructed based on the refined multivariable logistic regression model for predicting PMV. The total mortality was 11.8% (124/1049). The results showed that the groups with MVT 48 h to < 72 h and ≥ 72 h had significantly higher operative mortality compared to other MVT categories. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that MVT ≥72 h was significantly associated with higher short-term mortality. Thus, a nomogram was presented to elucidate the association between PMV (MVT ≥72 h) and risk factors including advanced age, preoperative cerebral ischemia, ascending aorta replacement, concomitant coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), longer cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB), and large-volume intraoperative fresh frozen plasma (FFP) transfusion. The nomogram exhibited strong predictive performance upon validation. Safely extubating patients within 72 h after ATAAD surgery is crucial for achieving favorable outcomes. The developed and validated nomogram provides a valuable tool for predicting PMV and optimizing postoperative care to improve patient prognosis. This novel nomogram has the potential to guide clinical decision-making and resource allocation in the management of ATAAD patients.

Project description:AimsThis study evaluated how well serial pulse pressure (PP) and PP adjusted by the vasoactive inotropic score (VIS) predicted venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) weaning success and clinical outcomes in acute myocardial infarction complicated by cardiogenic shock (AMI-CS) patients.Methods and resultsA total of 213 patients with AMI-CS who received VA-ECMO between January 2010 and August 2021 were enrolled in the institutional ECMO registry. Serial PP and VIS were measured immediately, 12, 24, and 48 h after VA-ECMO insertion. PP adjusted by VIS was defined as PP/√VIS. The primary outcome was successful VA-ECMO weaning. Successful weaning from VA-ECMO was observed in 151 patients (70.9%). Immediately after VA-ECMO insertion, PP [successful vs. failed weaning, 26.0 (15.5-46.0) vs. 21.0 (12.5-33.0), P = 0.386] and PP/√VIS [11.1 (5.1-25.0) vs. 6.0 (3.1-14.2), P = 0.118] did not differ between the successful and failed weaning groups. Serial PP and PP adjusted by VIS at 12, 24, and 48 h after VA-ECMO insertion were significantly higher in patients with successful weaning than those with failed weaning [successful vs. failed weaning, 24.0 (4.0-38.0) vs. 12.5 (6.0-25.5), P = 0.007 for 12 h PP, and 10.1 (5.7-22.0) vs. 2.9 (1.7-5.9), P < 0.001 for 12 h PP/√VIS]. The 12 h PP/√VIS showed better discriminative function for successful weaning than 12 h PP alone [area under the curve (AUC) 0.80, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.72-0.88, P < 0.001 vs. AUC 0.67, 95% CI 0.57-0.77, P = 0.002]. Patients with a low 12 h PP/√VIS (≤7) had higher rates of in-hospital mortality (44.4% vs. 19.8%, P < 0.001) and 6 month follow-up mortality (hazard ratio 2.41, 95% CI 1.49-3.90, P < 0.001) than those with a high 12 h PP/√VIS (>7).ConclusionsPP adjusted by VIS taken 12 h following VA-ECMO initiation can predict weaning from VA-ECMO more successfully than PP alone, and its low value was associated with a higher risk of mortality in AMI-CS patients.

Dataset Information

Prediction of ventilator weaning failure in postoperative cardiac surgery patients using vasoactive-ventilation-renal score and nomogram analysis.

Objective

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Prediction of ventilator weaning failure in postoperative cardiac surgery patients using vasoactive-ventilation-renal score and nomogram analysis.

Similar Datasets

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