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Future HIV epidemic trajectories in South Africa and projected long-term consequences of reductions in general population HIV testing: a mathematical modelling study.


ABSTRACT:

SUBMITTER: Rautenbach SP 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11000585 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Future HIV epidemic trajectories in South Africa and projected long-term consequences of reductions in general population HIV testing: a mathematical modelling study.

Rautenbach Stefan P SP   Whittles Lilith K LK   Meyer-Rath Gesine G   Jamieson Lise L   Chidarikire Thato T   Johnson Leigh F LF   Imai-Eaton Jeffrey W JW  

The Lancet. Public health 20240401 4


<h4>Background</h4>After successful intensive interventions to rapidly increase HIV awareness, coverage of antiretroviral therapy (ART), and viral suppression, HIV programmes in eastern and southern Africa are considering scaling back of some interventions, such as widespread general population HIV testing. We aimed to model whether scaling back of general population HIV testing in South Africa could result in a resurgence of the HIV epidemic or substantial slowing of declines in HIV incidence,  ...[more]

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