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Hemagglutinin sequence clusters and the antigenic evolution of influenza A virus.


ABSTRACT: Continual mutations to the hemagglutinin (HA) gene of influenza A virus generate novel antigenic strains that cause annual epidemics. Using a database of 560 viral RNA sequences, we study the structure and tempo of HA evolution over the past two decades. We detect a critical length scale, in amino acid space, at which HA sequences aggregate into clusters, or swarms. We investigate the spatio-temporal distribution of viral swarms and compare it to the time series of the influenza vaccines recommended by the World Health Organization. We introduce a method for predicting future dominant HA amino acid sequences and discuss its potential relevance to vaccine choice. We also investigate the relationship between cluster structure and the primary antibody-combining regions of the HA protein.

SUBMITTER: Plotkin JB 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC122937 | biostudies-literature | 2002 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Hemagglutinin sequence clusters and the antigenic evolution of influenza A virus.

Plotkin Joshua B JB   Dushoff Jonathan J   Levin Simon A SA  

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 20020423 9


Continual mutations to the hemagglutinin (HA) gene of influenza A virus generate novel antigenic strains that cause annual epidemics. Using a database of 560 viral RNA sequences, we study the structure and tempo of HA evolution over the past two decades. We detect a critical length scale, in amino acid space, at which HA sequences aggregate into clusters, or swarms. We investigate the spatio-temporal distribution of viral swarms and compare it to the time series of the influenza vaccines recomme  ...[more]

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