Unknown

Dataset Information

0

Modelling the time-dependent transmission rate for porcine circovirus type 2 (PCV2) in pigs using data from serial transmission experiments.


ABSTRACT: Six successive transmission trials were carried out from 4 to 39 days post inoculation (DPI) to determine the features of the infectious period for PCV2-infected pigs. The infectiousness of inoculated pigs, assessed from the frequency of occurrence of infected pigs in susceptible groups in each contact trial, increased from 4 to 18 DPI (0, 7 and 8 infected pigs at 4, 11 and 18 DPI, respectively) and then decreased slowly until 39 days post infection (4, 2 and 1 pigs infected at 25, 32 and 39 DPI, respectively). The estimated time-dependent infectiousness was fitted to three unimodal function shapes (gamma, Weibull and lognormal) for comparison. The absence of infected pigs at 4 DPI revealed a latency period between 4 and 10 DPI. A sensitivity analysis was performed to test whether the parametric shape of the transmission function influenced the estimations. The estimated time-dependent transmission rate was implemented in a deterministic SEIR model and validated by comparing the model prediction with external data. The lognormal-like function shape evidenced the best quality of fit, leading to a latency period of 8 days, an estimated basic reproduction ratio of 5.9 [1.8,10.1] and a mean disease generation time of 18.4 days [18.2, 18.5].

SUBMITTER: Andraud M 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC2610324 | biostudies-literature | 2009 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

altmetric image

Publications

Modelling the time-dependent transmission rate for porcine circovirus type 2 (PCV2) in pigs using data from serial transmission experiments.

Andraud M M   Grasland B B   Durand B B   Cariolet R R   Jestin A A   Madec F F   Pierre J S JS   Rose N N  

Journal of the Royal Society, Interface 20090101 30


Six successive transmission trials were carried out from 4 to 39 days post inoculation (DPI) to determine the features of the infectious period for PCV2-infected pigs. The infectiousness of inoculated pigs, assessed from the frequency of occurrence of infected pigs in susceptible groups in each contact trial, increased from 4 to 18 DPI (0, 7 and 8 infected pigs at 4, 11 and 18 DPI, respectively) and then decreased slowly until 39 days post infection (4, 2 and 1 pigs infected at 25, 32 and 39 DPI  ...[more]

Similar Datasets

| S-EPMC7576782 | biostudies-literature
| S-EPMC7294622 | biostudies-literature
| PRJNA832222 | ENA
| S-EPMC3923389 | biostudies-literature
| S-EPMC9583870 | biostudies-literature
| S-EPMC6949947 | biostudies-literature
| S-EPMC7088660 | biostudies-literature
| S-EPMC6111953 | biostudies-literature
| S-EPMC9887223 | biostudies-literature
| S-EPMC6331448 | biostudies-literature