Dataset Information

A comparative study of the spatial distribution of schistosomiasis in Mali in 1984-1989 and 2004-2006.

ABSTRACT:

Background

We investigated changes in the spatial distribution of schistosomiasis in Mali following a decade of donor-funded control and a further 12 years without control.

Methodology/principal findings

National pre-intervention cross-sectional schistosomiasis surveys were conducted in Mali in 1984-1989 (in communities) and again in 2004-2006 (in schools). Bayesian geostatistical models were built separately for each time period and on the datasets combined across time periods. In the former, data from one period were used to predict prevalence of schistosome infections for the other period, and in the latter, the models were used to determine whether spatial autocorrelation and covariate effects were consistent across periods. Schistosoma haematobium prevalence was 25.7% in 1984-1989 and 38.3% in 2004-2006; S. mansoni prevalence was 7.4% in 1984-1989 and 6.7% in 2004-2006 (note the models showed no significant difference in mean prevalence of either infection between time periods). Prevalence of both infections showed a focal spatial pattern and negative associations with distance from perennial waterbodies, which was consistent across time periods. Spatial models developed using 1984-1989 data were able to predict the distributions of both schistosome species in 2004-2006 (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was typically >0.7) and vice versa.

Conclusions/significance

A decade after the apparently successful conclusion of a donor-funded schistosomiasis control programme from 1982-1992, national prevalence of schistosomiasis had rebounded to pre-intervention levels. Clusters of schistosome infections occurred in generally the same areas accross time periods, although the precise locations varied. To achieve long-term control, it is essential to plan for sustainability of ongoing interventions, including stengthening endemic country health systems.

SUBMITTER: Clements AC

PROVIDER: S-EPMC2671597 | biostudies-literature | 2009

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Publications

A comparative study of the spatial distribution of schistosomiasis in Mali in 1984-1989 and 2004-2006.

Clements Archie C A AC Bosqué-Oliva Elisa E Sacko Moussa M Landouré Aly A Dembélé Robert R Traoré Mamadou M Coulibaly Godefroy G Gabrielli Albis F AF Fenwick Alan A Brooker Simon S

PLoS neglected tropical diseases 20090505 5

<h4>Background</h4>We investigated changes in the spatial distribution of schistosomiasis in Mali following a decade of donor-funded control and a further 12 years without control.<h4>Methodology/principal findings</h4>National pre-intervention cross-sectional schistosomiasis surveys were conducted in Mali in 1984-1989 (in communities) and again in 2004-2006 (in schools). Bayesian geostatistical models were built separately for each time period and on the datasets combined across time periods. I ...[more]

PMID: 19415108

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Project description:BackgroundAlthough visceral leishmaniasis (VL) was largely brought under control in most regions of China during the previous century, VL cases have rebounded in western and central China in recent decades. The aim of this study was to investigate the epidemiological features and spatial-temporal distribution of VL in mainland China from 2004 to 2019.MethodsIncidence and mortality data for VL during the period 2004-2019 were collected from the Public Health Sciences Data Center of China and annual national epidemic reports of VL, whose data source was the National Diseases Reporting Information System. Joinpoint regression analysis was performed to explore the trends of VL. Spatial autocorrelation and spatial-temporal clustering analysis were conducted to identify the distribution and risk areas of VL transmission.ResultsA total of 4877 VL cases were reported in mainland China during 2004-2019, with mean annual incidence of 0.0228/100,000. VL incidence showed a decreasing trend in general during our study period (annual percentage change [APC] = -4.2564, 95% confidence interval [CI]: -8.0856 to -0.2677). Among mainly endemic provinces, VL was initially heavily epidemic in Gansu, Sichuan, and especially Xinjiang, but subsequently decreased considerably. In contrast, Shaanxi and Shanxi witnessed significantly increasing trends, especially in 2017-2019. The first-level spatial-temporal aggregation area covered two endemic provinces in northwestern China, including Gansu and Xinjiang, with the gathering time from 2004 to 2011 (relative risk [RR] = 13.91, log-likelihood ratio [LLR] = 3308.87, P < 0.001). The secondary aggregation area was detected in Shanxi province of central China, with the gathering time of 2019 (RR = 1.61, LLR = 4.88, P = 0.041). The epidemic peak of October to November disappeared in 2018-2019, leaving only one peak in March to May.ConclusionsOur findings suggest that VL is still an important endemic infectious disease in China. Epidemic trends in different provinces changed significantly and spatial-temporal aggregation areas shifted from northwestern to central China during our study period. Mitigation strategies, including large-scale screening, insecticide spraying, and health education encouraging behavioral change, in combination with other integrated approaches, are needed to decrease transmission risk in areas at risk, especially in Shanxi, Shaanxi, and Gansu provinces.

Dataset Information

A comparative study of the spatial distribution of schistosomiasis in Mali in 1984-1989 and 2004-2006.

Background

Methodology/principal findings

Conclusions/significance

Publications

A comparative study of the spatial distribution of schistosomiasis in Mali in 1984-1989 and 2004-2006.

Similar Datasets

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