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Survival prediction for pancreatic cancer patients receiving gemcitabine treatment.

ABSTRACT: Although gemcitabine monotherapy is the standard treatment for advanced pancreatic cancer, patient outcome varies significantly, and a considerable number do not benefit adequately. We therefore searched for new biomarkers predictive of overall patient survival. Using LC-MS, we compared the base-line plasma proteome between 29 representative patients with advanced pancreatic cancer who died within 100 days and 31 patients who survived for more than 400 days after receiving at least two cycles of the same gemcitabine monotherapy. Identified biomarker candidates were then challenged in a larger cohort of 304 patients treated with the same protocol using reverse-phase protein microarray. Among a total of 45,277 peptide peaks, we identified 637 peaks whose intensities differed significantly between the two groups (p < 0.001, Welch's t test). Two MS peaks with the highest statistical significance (p = 2.6 x 10(-4) and p = 5.0 x 10(-4)) were revealed to be derived from alpha(1)-antitrypsin and alpha(1)-antichymotrypsin, respectively. The levels of alpha(1)-antitrypsin (p = 8.9 x 10(-8)) and alpha(1)-antichymotrypsin (p = 0.001) were significantly correlated with the overall survival of the 304 patients. We selected alpha(1)-antitrypsin (p = 0.0001), leukocyte count (p = 0.066), alkaline phosphatase (p = 8.3 x 10(-8)), and performance status (p = 0.003) using multivariate Cox regression analysis and constructed a scoring system (nomogram) that was able to identify a group of high risk patients having a short median survival time of 150 days (95% confidence interval, 123-187 days; p = 2.0 x 10(-15), log rank test). The accuracy of this model for prognostication was internally validated and showed good calibration and discrimination with a bootstrap-corrected concordance index of 0.672. In conclusion, an increased level of alpha(1)-antitrypsin is a biomarker that predicts short overall survival of patients with advanced pancreatic cancer receiving gemcitabine monotherapy. Although an external validation study will be necessary, the current model may be useful for identifying patients unsuitable for the standardized therapy.

SUBMITTER: Matsubara J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC2860233 | biostudies-literature | 2010 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Survival prediction for pancreatic cancer patients receiving gemcitabine treatment.

Matsubara Junichi J Ono Masaya M Honda Kazufumi K Negishi Ayako A Ueno Hideki H Okusaka Takuji T Furuse Junji J Furuta Koh K Sugiyama Emiko E Saito Yoshiro Y Kaniwa Nahoko N Sawada Junichi J Shoji Ayako A Sakuma Tomohiro T Chiba Tsutomu T Saijo Nagahiro N Hirohashi Setsuo S Yamada Tesshi T

Molecular & cellular proteomics : MCP 20100108 4

Although gemcitabine monotherapy is the standard treatment for advanced pancreatic cancer, patient outcome varies significantly, and a considerable number do not benefit adequately. We therefore searched for new biomarkers predictive of overall patient survival. Using LC-MS, we compared the base-line plasma proteome between 29 representative patients with advanced pancreatic cancer who died within 100 days and 31 patients who survived for more than 400 days after receiving at least two cycles of ...[more]

PMID: 20061307

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Project description:BackgroundPancreatic cancer (PC) first-line therapy often consists of polychemotherapy regimens, but choosing a second-line therapy after disease progression, especially following first-line FOLFIRINOX, remains a clinical challenge. This study presents results from a large, multicenter, retrospective analysis of Italian patients with metastatic PC (mPC) treated with Nab-paclitaxel/Gemcitabine (AG) as second or later line of treatment. Main objective of the study is to identify prognostic factors that could inform treatment decisions.MethodsThe study included 160 mPC patients treated with AG in 17 Italian institutions. AG was administered according to labelling dose, until disease progression, unacceptable toxicity or patient refusal. Variations in schedules, dose modifications, supportive measures, and response evaluation were determined by individual clinicians' practice.ResultsAG was well-tolerated and exhibited promising clinical activity. The overall response rate (ORR) and the disease control rate (DCR) were 22.5% and 45.6%, respectively. Median progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were 3.9 and 6.8 months, respectively. Among the patients who received AG as a second-line therapy (n = 111, 66.9%), median PFS and OS were 4.2 and 7.4 months, respectively. Notably, in the 76 patients (68%) receiving AG after first-line FOLFIRINOX, an ORR of 19.7% and a DCR of 46.0% were observed, resulting in a median PFS of 3.5 and median OS of 5.7 months. The study identified specific clinical or laboratory parameters (LDH, NLR, fasting serum glucose, liver metastases, ECOG PS, and first-line PFS) as independent prognostic factors at multivariate level. These factors were used to create a prognostic nomogram that divided patients into three risk classes, helping to predict second-line OS and PFS.ConclusionsThis study represents the largest real-world population of mPC patients treated with AG as a second or later line of therapy. It supports the feasibility of this regimen following first-line FOLFIRINOX, particularly in patients with specific clinical and laboratory characteristics who derived prolonged benefit from first-line therapy.

Project description:BackgroundIn a phase 1-2 trial of albumin-bound paclitaxel (nab-paclitaxel) plus gemcitabine, substantial clinical activity was noted in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer. We conducted a phase 3 study of the efficacy and safety of the combination versus gemcitabine monotherapy in patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer.MethodsWe randomly assigned patients with a Karnofsky performance-status score of 70 or more (on a scale from 0 to 100, with higher scores indicating better performance status) to nab-paclitaxel (125 mg per square meter of body-surface area) followed by gemcitabine (1000 mg per square meter) on days 1, 8, and 15 every 4 weeks or gemcitabine monotherapy (1000 mg per square meter) weekly for 7 of 8 weeks (cycle 1) and then on days 1, 8, and 15 every 4 weeks (cycle 2 and subsequent cycles). Patients received the study treatment until disease progression. The primary end point was overall survival; secondary end points were progression-free survival and overall response rate.ResultsA total of 861 patients were randomly assigned to nab-paclitaxel plus gemcitabine (431 patients) or gemcitabine (430). The median overall survival was 8.5 months in the nab-paclitaxel-gemcitabine group as compared with 6.7 months in the gemcitabine group (hazard ratio for death, 0.72; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.62 to 0.83; P<0.001). The survival rate was 35% in the nab-paclitaxel-gemcitabine group versus 22% in the gemcitabine group at 1 year, and 9% versus 4% at 2 years. The median progression-free survival was 5.5 months in the nab-paclitaxel-gemcitabine group, as compared with 3.7 months in the gemcitabine group (hazard ratio for disease progression or death, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.58 to 0.82; P<0.001); the response rate according to independent review was 23% versus 7% in the two groups (P<0.001). The most common adverse events of grade 3 or higher were neutropenia (38% in the nab-paclitaxel-gemcitabine group vs. 27% in the gemcitabine group), fatigue (17% vs. 7%), and neuropathy (17% vs. 1%). Febrile neutropenia occurred in 3% versus 1% of the patients in the two groups. In the nab-paclitaxel-gemcitabine group, neuropathy of grade 3 or higher improved to grade 1 or lower in a median of 29 days.ConclusionsIn patients with metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma, nab-paclitaxel plus gemcitabine significantly improved overall survival, progression-free survival, and response rate, but rates of peripheral neuropathy and myelosuppression were increased. (Funded by Celgene; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00844649.).

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Survival prediction for pancreatic cancer patients receiving gemcitabine treatment.

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Survival prediction for pancreatic cancer patients receiving gemcitabine treatment.

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