Dataset Information

First-trimester prediction of gestational diabetes mellitus: examining the potential of combining maternal characteristics and laboratory measures.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

Predictors of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) have been widely studied, but few studies have considered multiple measures. Our objective was to integrate several potential GDM predictors with consideration to both simple and novel measures and to determine the extent to which GDM can be predicted in the first trimester.

Research design and methods

We identified first-trimester maternal samples from 124 women who developed GDM and 248 control subjects who did not. We gathered data on age, BMI, parity, race, smoking, prior GDM, family history of diabetes, and blood pressure. Using retrieved samples, we measured routine (lipids, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, and ?-glutamyltransferase) and novel (adiponectin, E-selectin, and tissue plasminogen activator [t-PA]) parameters. We determined independent predictors from stepwise regression analyses, calculated areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUC-ROC), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) for relevant models.

Results

Compared with control subjects, women who subsequently developed GDM were older, had higher BMIs, were more likely to be of Asian origin, had a history of GDM or family history of type 2 diabetes, and had higher systolic blood pressure (P < 0.05 for all). With regard biochemical measures, stepwise analyses identified only elevated t-PA and low HDL cholesterol levels as significant (P ? 0.015) independent predictors of GDM beyond simple non-laboratory-based maternal measures. Their inclusion improved the AUC-ROC from 0.824 to 0.861 and IDI by 0.052 (0.017-0.115).

Conclusions

GDM can be usefully estimated from a mix of simple questions with potential for further improvement by specific blood measures (lipids and t-PA).

SUBMITTER: Savvidou M

PROVIDER: S-EPMC2992761 | biostudies-literature | 2010 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

First-trimester prediction of gestational diabetes mellitus: examining the potential of combining maternal characteristics and laboratory measures.

Savvidou Makrina M Nelson Scott M SM Makgoba Mahlatse M Messow Claudia-Martina CM Sattar Naveed N Nicolaides Kypros K

Diabetes 20100928 12

<h4>Objective</h4>Predictors of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) have been widely studied, but few studies have considered multiple measures. Our objective was to integrate several potential GDM predictors with consideration to both simple and novel measures and to determine the extent to which GDM can be predicted in the first trimester.<h4>Research design and methods</h4>We identified first-trimester maternal samples from 124 women who developed GDM and 248 control subjects who did not. We ...[more]

PMID: 20876721

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Project description:BackgroundImprovement in the accuracy of identifying women who are at risk to develop gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is warranted, since timely diagnosis and treatment improves the outcomes of this common pregnancy disorder. Although prognostic models for GDM are externally validated and outperform current risk factor based selective approaches, there is little known about the impact of such models in day-to-day obstetric care.MethodsA prognostic model was implemented as a directive clinical prediction rule, classifying women as low- or high-risk for GDM, with subsequent distinctive care pathways including selective midpregnancy testing for GDM in high-risk women in a prospective multicenter birth cohort comprising 1073 pregnant women without pre-existing diabetes and 60 obstetric healthcare professionals included in nine independent midwifery practices and three hospitals in the Netherlands (effectiveness-implementation hybrid type 2 study). Model performance (c-statistic) and implementation outcomes (acceptability, adoption, appropriateness, feasibility, fidelity, penetration, sustainability) were evaluated after 6 months by indicators and implementation instruments (NoMAD; MIDI).ResultsThe adherence to the prognostic model (c-statistic 0.85 (95%CI 0.81-0.90)) was 95% (n = 1021). Healthcare professionals scored 3.7 (IQR 3.3-4.0) on implementation instruments on a 5-point Likert scale. Important facilitators were knowledge, willingness and confidence to use the model, client cooperation and opportunities for reconfiguration. Identified barriers mostly related to operational and organizational issues. Regardless of risk-status, pregnant women appreciated first-trimester information on GDM risk-status and lifestyle advice to achieve risk reduction, respectively 89% (n = 556) and 90% (n = 564)).ConclusionsThe prognostic model was successfully implemented and well received by healthcare professionals and pregnant women. Prognostic models should be recommended for adoption in guidelines.

Project description:BackgroundContradictory relationships have been observed between thyroid function and gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). Previous studies have indicated that pre-pregnancy BMI (pBMI) could modify their relationships. Few studies have illustrated the role of thyroid hormone sensitivity on GDM. We aimed to explore the effect of pre-pregnancy obesity on the association between early pregnancy thyroid hormone sensitivity and GDM in euthyroid pregnant women.MethodsThis study included 1310 women with singleton gestation. Subjects were classified into pre-pregnancy obese and non-obese subgroups by pBMI levels with a cutoff of 25 kg/m2. Sensitivity to thyroid hormone was evaluated by Thyroid Feedback Quartile-Based Index (TFQI), Chinese-referenced parametric TFQI (PTFQI), TSH Index (TSHI) and Thyrotrophic T4 Resistance Index (TT4RI). The associations between these composite indices and GDM were analyzed using multivariate regression models in the two subgroups, respectively.ResultsIn pre-pregnancy non-obese group, early pregnancy TFQI, PTFQI, TSHI and TT4RI levels were higher in subjects with incident GDM compared to those without GDM (all P < 0.05). By contrast, obese women with GDM exhibited lower levels of those indices (all P < 0.05). The occurrence of GDM were increased with rising TFQI, PTFQI, TSHI and TT4RI quartiles in non-obese women ( all P for trend < 0.05), while exhibited decreased trend across quartiles of those indices in obese women (all P for trend < 0.05). Further logistic analysis indicated contrary relationships between thyroid hormone sensitivity and the occurrence of GDM in the two groups, respectively. The OR of the fourth versus the first quartile of TFQI for GDM was 1.981 (95% CI 1.224, 3.207) in pre-pregnancy non-obese group, while was 0.131 (95% CI 0.036, 0.472) in pre-pregnancy obese group. PTFQI and TSHI yielded similar results.ConclusionsThe association between maternal sensitivity to thyroid hormones during early gestation and the occurrence of GDM was modified by pre-pregnancy obesity.

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Project description:Biomarkers commonly assessed in prenatal screening have been associated with a number of adverse perinatal and birth outcomes. However, it is not clear whether first trimester measurements of prenatal screening biomarkers are associated with subsequent risk of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). We aimed to systematically review and statistically summarize studies assessing the relationship between first trimester prenatal screening biomarker levels and GDM development. We comprehensively searched PubMed/MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, and Scopus (from inception through January 2018) and manually searched the reference lists of all relevant articles. We included original, published, observational studies examining the association of first trimester pregnancy associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) and/or free β-human chorionic gonadotropin (free β-hCG) levels with GDM diagnosis. Mean differences were calculated comparing PAPP-A and free β-hCG multiples of median (MoM) levels between women who developed GDM and those who did not and were subsequently pooled using two-sided random-effects models. Our meta-analysis of 13 studies on PAPP-A and nine studies on free β-hCG indicated that first trimester MoM levels for both biomarkers were lower in women who later developed GDM compared to women who remained normoglycemic throughout pregnancy (MD -0.17; 95% CI -0.24, -0.10; MD -0.04; 95% CI -0.07-0.01). There was no evidence for between-study heterogeneity among studies on free β-hCG (I2 = 0%). A high level of between-study heterogeneity was detected among the studies reporting on PAPP-A (I2 = 90%), but was reduced after stratifying by geographic location, biomarker assay method, and timing of GDM diagnosis. Our meta-analysis indicates that women who are diagnosed with GDM have lower first trimester levels of both PAPP-A and free β-hCG than women who remain normoglycemic throughout pregnancy. Further assessment of the predictive capacity of these biomarkers within large, diverse populations is needed.

Dataset Information

First-trimester prediction of gestational diabetes mellitus: examining the potential of combining maternal characteristics and laboratory measures.

Objective

Research design and methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

First-trimester prediction of gestational diabetes mellitus: examining the potential of combining maternal characteristics and laboratory measures.

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