Rate of kidney function decline associates with mortality.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Al-Aly Z
PROVIDER: S-EPMC3014010 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:OBJECTIVE:To determine whether kidney function level and its rate of decline in the immediate predialysis period among veterans transitioning to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) predict postdialysis mortality and hospitalization. PATIENTS AND METHODS:In 19,985 veterans transitioning to ESRD during the period October 1, 2007, to March 30, 2014, we examined kidney function and its slope over the final year of the pre-ESRD(prelude) period. Two categories of low vs high estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR, dichotomized at 10 mL/min/1.73 m2) and slow vs fast slope (dichotomized at -10 mL/min/1.73 m2/y) were combined into 4 groups. Their associations with 12-month post-ESRD all-cause and cardiovascular (CV) mortality and hospitalization rates were examined in adjusted models accounting for clinical characteristics and laboratory measurements at transition. RESULTS:Patients, 66±11 years old, and 34% blacks, had a median (interquartile range) eGFR at transition and slope of 9.7 (7.1-13.3) mL/min/1.73 m2 and -10.5 (-18.8 to -5.9) mL/min/1.73 m2/y, respectively. Patients with a low eGFR and slow slope had the lowest 12-month all-cause and CV mortality risks and hospitalization rate. Conversely, patients with high eGFR and fast slope had the highest risk of all-cause and CV mortality and hospitalization rate compared with patients with a low eGFR and slow slope. This relationship persisted in sensitivity analyses, including propensity scoring. CONCLUSION:A kidney profile of a low eGFR and slow slope in the prelude period is associated with favorable early dialysis outcomes in veteran patients. Trials to examine a more conservative approach to dialysis are warranted.
| S-EPMC6116733 | biostudies-literature
Project description:In patients with ESRD, residual kidney function (RKF) contributes to achievement of adequate solute clearance. However, few studies have examined RKF in patients on hemodialysis. In a longitudinal cohort of 6538 patients who started maintenance hemodialysis over a 4-year period (January 2007 through December 2010) and had available renal urea clearance (CLurea) data at baseline and 1 year after hemodialysis initiation, we examined the association of annual change in renal CLurea rate with subsequent survival. The median (interquartile range) baseline value and mean±SD annual change of CLurea were 3.3 (1.9-5.0) and -1.1±2.8 ml/min per 1.73 m2, respectively. Greater CLurea rate 1 year after hemodialysis initiation associated with better survival. Furthermore, we found a gradient association between loss of RKF and all-cause mortality: changes in CLurea rate of -6.0 and +3.0 ml/min per 1.73 m2 per year associated with case mix-adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 2.00 (1.55 to 2.59) and 0. 61 (0.50 to 0.74), respectively (reference: -1.5 ml/min per 1.73 m2 per year). These associations remained robust against adjustment for laboratory variables and ultrafiltration rate and were consistent across strata of baseline CLurea, age, sex, race, diabetes status, presence of congestive heart failure, and hemoglobin, serum albumin, and serum phosphorus levels. Sensitivity analyses using urine volume as another index of RKF yielded consistent associations. In conclusion, RKF decline during the first year of dialysis has a graded association with all-cause mortality among incident hemodialysis patients. The clinical benefits of RKF preservation strategies on mortality should be determined.
| S-EPMC5118484 | biostudies-literature
Project description:The African American Study of Kidney Disease and Hypertension (AASK), a randomized double-blinded treatment trial, was motivated by the high rate of hypertension-related renal disease in the African-American population and the scarcity of effective therapies. This study describes a pattern-based classification approach to predict the rate of decline of kidney function using surface-enhanced laser desorption ionization/time of flight proteomic data from rapid and slow progressors classified by rate of change in glomerular filtration rate. An accurate classification model consisting of 7 out of 5,751 serum proteomic features is constructed by applying the logical analysis of data (LAD) methodology. On cross-validation by 10-folding, the model was shown to have an accuracy of 80.6 ± 0.11%, sensitivity of 78.4 ± 0.17%, and specificity of 78.5 ± 0.16%. The LAD discriminant is used to identify the patients in different risk groups. The LAD risk scores assigned to 116 AASK patients generated a receiver operating curves curve with AUC 0.899 (CI 0.845-0.953) and outperforms the risk scores assigned by proteinuria, one of the best predictors of chronic kidney disease progression.
| S-EPMC5516355 | biostudies-other
Project description:Background and objectivesRisk of hospitalizations is increased in patients with CKD. We sought to examine the association between rate of kidney function decline and risk of hospitalization in a cohort of patients with early CKD.Design, settings, participants, & measurementsWe built a cohort of 247,888 United States veterans who had at least one eGFR measurement between October 1999 and September 2003 and an additional eGFR between October 2003 and September 2004. We selected patients whose initial eGFR was between 45 and 59 ml/min per 1.73 m2. Rate of eGFR change (in milliliters per minute per 1.73 m2 per year) was categorized as no decline (>0), mild (0 to -1, and served as the referent group), moderate (-1 to -5), or severe (>-5) eGFR decline. We built survival models to examine the association between the rate of kidney function decline and the risk of hospitalization and readmission and linear regression to estimate length of hospital stay.ResultsOver a median observation of 9 years (interquartile range, 5.28-9.00), patients with moderate and severe eGFR decline exhibited a higher risk of hospitalizations (hazard ratio [HR], 1.22; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.19 to 1.26; and HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.28 to 1.39, respectively). Among patients with moderate and severe eGFR decline, the association between the rate of decline and the risk of hospitalizations was more pronounced with an increased number of hospitalizations (P<0.01). Patients with moderate and severe eGFR decline had a higher risk of readmission (HR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.13 to 1.26; and HR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.43 to 1.63, respectively). Among patients with severe eGFR decline, the association between the rate of kidney function decline and the risk of readmission was stronger with an increased number of readmissions (P<0.01). Patients with moderate and severe eGFR decline experienced an additional length of stay of 1.40 (95% CI, 0.88 to 1.92) and 5.00 days per year (95% CI, 4.34 to 5.66), respectively.ConclusionsThe rate of kidney function decline is associated with a higher risk of hospitalizations, readmissions, and prolonged length of hospital stay.
| S-EPMC4633789 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ObjectiveWe tested the hypothesis that impaired kidney function in the elderly is associated with a more rapid rate of cognitive decline.MethodsBaseline serum was used to calculate estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), using the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease formula, for 886 elderly without dementia participating in the Rush Memory and Aging Project, a prospective, observational cohort study. Kidney function was also dichotomized into impairment or no impairment based on eGFR < or >or=60 mL/min/1.73 m(2). Structured cognitive testing was performed at baseline and at annual evaluations, using a battery of 19 cognitive tests summarized into global cognition and 5 cognitive domains.ResultsIn mixed-effects models adjusted for age, sex, and education, a lower eGFR at baseline was associated with a more rapid rate of cognitive decline (estimate 0.0008, SE <0.001, p = 0.017). The increased rate of cognitive decline associated with a 15-mL/min/1.73 m(2) lower eGFR at baseline (approximately 1 SD) was similar to the effect of being 3 years older at baseline. Impaired kidney function at baseline was associated with a more rapid rate of cognitive decline (estimate -0.028, SE <0.009, p = 0.003). The increased rate of cognitive decline associated with impaired kidney function at baseline was approximately 75% the effect of ApoE4 allele on the rate of cognitive decline. Baseline kidney function was associated with declines in semantic memory, episodic memory, and working memory but not visuospatial abilities or perceptual speed.ConclusionImpaired kidney function is associated with a more rapid rate of cognitive decline in old age.
| S-EPMC2754333 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Chronic pain is a common condition in the general population. However, large epidemiologic studies examining the role of pain in the deterioration of kidney function, development of chronic kidney disease, and risk for death are lacking.Retrospective cohort study.A nationally representative cohort of 2,360,056 US veterans with baseline estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFRs) ? 60mL/min/1.73m(2), followed up from October 2004 to September 2006.4 pain categories were compared: none (score, 0), mild (1-4), moderate (5-6), or severe (?7).eGFR decline (determined by eGFR slope) and combined incident eGFR<60mL/min/1.73m(2) or all-cause death.We examined the pain management pattern and association of reported pain with (1) rapid eGFR decline and (2) a composite outcome of incident eGFR<60mL/min/1.73m(2) or all-cause death using logistic regression and Cox models adjusted for baseline eGFR, demographics, comorbid conditions, cardiovascular risk factors, and depression.?60% of veterans reported pain of any severity during the baseline period. The most commonly prescribed analgesics were opioids. In a dose-response relationship, veterans reporting moderate or severe pain had a higher risk for faster eGFR decline compared with those reporting none (ORs of 1.11 [95% CI, 1.09-1.14] and 1.17 [95% CI, 1.13-1.21] for moderate and severe pain, respectively). In combined analyses, veterans reporting moderate or severe pain both had 30% higher risk of the combined outcome (incident eGFR, 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2) or death) compared with those reporting none (HRs of 1.30 [95% CI, 1.28-1.31] and 1.30 [95% CI, 1.28-1.32] for moderate and severe pain, respectively).Lack of granular data regarding type and location of pain.We observed a high prevalence of pain and analgesic prescription in the US veteran population with normal eGFRs. Pain was associated with a higher incidence of eGFRs<60mL/min/1.73m(2), faster kidney function decline, and higher mortality.
| S-EPMC5901765 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BACKGROUND:The variable course of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD), and the advent of renoprotective treatment require early risk stratification. We applied urinary metabolomics to explore differences associated with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR; CKD-EPI equation) and future eGFR decline. METHODS:Targeted, quantitative metabolic profiling (1H NMR-spectroscopy) was performed on baseline spot urine samples obtained from 501 patients with ADPKD. The discovery cohort consisted of 338 patients (56% female, median values for age 46 [IQR 38 to 52] years, eGFR 62 [IQR 45 to 85] ml/min/1.73m2, follow-up time 2.5 [range 1 to 3] years, and annual eGFR slope -3.3 [IQR -5.3 to -1.3] ml/min/1.73m2/year). An independent cohort (n = 163) was used for validation. Multivariate modelling and linear regression were used to analyze the associations between urinary metabolites and eGFR, and eGFR decline over time. RESULTS:Twenty-nine known urinary metabolites were quantified from the spectra using a semi-automatic quantification routine. The model optimization routine resulted in four metabolites that most strongly associated with actual eGFR in the discovery cohort (F = 128.9, P = 7×10-54, R2 = 0.724). A model using the ratio of two other metabolites, urinary alanine/citrate, showed the best association with future annual change in eGFR (F = 51.07, P = 7.26×10-12, R2 = 0.150). This association remained significant after adjustment for clinical risk markers including height-adjusted total kidney volume (htTKV). Results were confirmed in the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS:Quantitative NMR profiling identified urinary metabolic markers that associated with actual eGFR and future rate of eGFR decline. The urinary alanine/citrate ratio showed additional value beyond conventional risk markers.
| S-EPMC7244119 | biostudies-literature
Project description:IntroductionDiabetes is the most common cause of chronic kidney disease (CKD). Urinary albumin excretion rate (AER) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) are commonly used to monitor the onset and progression of diabetic kidney disease (DKD). We studied if the preceding rate of kidney function decline, that is, the eGFR slope, is independently associated with incident clinical cardiorenal events.MethodsThis study included longitudinal data for 2498 Finnish individuals with type 1 diabetes (T1D). The eGFR slope was calculated from 5 years preceding the study visit. Data on kidney failure, coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, 3-point major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), heart failure, and death were obtained from national registries. The associations between the eGFR slope and incident events were assessed with multivariable competing risk models during the average follow-up of 9.2 years.ResultsThe eGFR slopes were associated (P ≤ 0.001) with all outcomes when adjusted for age, sex, and HbA1c. However, eGFR slope remained associated only with the composite outcome of kidney failure or death when the albuminuria group and eGFR at the study visit were included in the model (P = 0.041). In addition, eGFR slope was independently associated with kidney failure in individuals without CKD (eGFR > 60 ml/min per 1.73 m2; P = 0.044), and with heart failure in those with CKD (P = 0.033). However, eGFR slope did not markedly improve the model C-index.ConclusionThe eGFR slope was independently associated with kidney failure in those without CKD, and with heart failure in those with CKD. However, it is unlikely to have major relevance for clinical practice when the current eGFR and albuminuria status are known.
| S-EPMC10577370 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background and objectivesDespite advances in therapy, HIV-infected individuals remain at higher risk for kidney dysfunction than uninfected individuals. It was hypothesized that urine levels of ?1-microglobulin, a biomarker of proximal tubular dysfunction, would predict kidney function decline and mortality risk in HIV-infected and uninfected women.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsIn the Women's Interagency HIV Study, urine ?1-microglobulin and creatinine concentrations were measured in 903 HIV-infected and 287 uninfected women using stored urine from 1999 to 2000, when prevalence of tenofovir use was <1%. Participants were categorized into three categories by level of ?1-microglobulin-to-creatinine ratio, and associations with kidney decline and all-cause mortality over 8 years were evaluated.ResultsUrine ?1-microglobulin was detectable in 60% of HIV-infected and 40% of uninfected women (P<0.001). Among HIV-infected women, there were 177 (22%), 61 (7%), and 128 (14%) patients with incident CKD, with 10% annual eGFR decline, and who died, respectively. Compared with HIV-infected women in the lowest ?1-microglobulin category, HIV-infected women in the highest ?1-microglobulin category had a 2.1-fold risk of incident CKD (95% confidence interval, 1.3 to 3.4), 2.7-fold risk of 10% annual eGFR decline (95% confidence interval, 1.2 to 5.9), and 1.6-fold mortality risk (95% confidence interval, 1.0 to 2.6) in models adjusting for kidney risk factors, baseline eGFR, and albuminuria. Among uninfected women, the highest ?1-microglobulin category was associated with 3% (relative risk, 2.2; 95% confidence interval, 1.4 to 3.5) and 5% (relative risk, 2.2; 95% confidence interval, 1.1 to 4.3) annual eGFR decline relative to the lowest ?1-microglobulin category.ConclusionsProximal tubular dysfunction, indicated by urine ?1-microglobulin, was independently associated with kidney function decline in HIV-infected and uninfected women and mortality risk among HIV-infected women.
| S-EPMC4284407 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Acute kidney injury (AKI) associates with higher in-hospital mortality, but whether it also associates with increased long-term mortality is unknown, particularly after accounting for residual kidney function after hospital discharge. We retrospectively analyzed data from US veteran patients who survived at least 90 d after discharge from a hospitalization. We identified AKI events not requiring dialysis from laboratory data and classified them according to the ratio of the highest creatinine during the hospitalization to the lowest creatinine measured between 90 d before hospitalization and the date of discharge. We estimated mortality risks using multivariable Cox regression models adjusting for demographics, comorbidities, medication use, primary diagnosis of admission, length of stay, mechanical ventilation, and postdischarge estimated GFR (residual kidney function). Among the 864,933 hospitalized patients in the study cohort, we identified 82,711 hospitalizations of patients with AKI. In the study population of patients who survived at least 90 d after discharge, 17.4% died during follow-up (AKI 29.8%, without AKI 16.1%). The adjusted mortality risk associated with AKI was 1.41 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.39 to 1.43) and increased with increasing AKI stage: 1.36 (95% CI 1.34 to 1.38), 1.46 (95% CI 1.42 to 1.50), and 1.59 (95% CI 1.54 to 1.65; P < 0.001 for trend). In conclusion, AKI that does not require dialysis associates with increased long-term mortality risk, independent of residual kidney function, for patients who survive 90 d after discharge. Long-term mortality risk is highest among the most severe cases of AKI.
| S-EPMC2834549 | biostudies-literature