A Classification Model to Predict the Rate of Decline of Kidney Function.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Subasi E
PROVIDER: S-EPMC5516355 | biostudies-other | 2017
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other
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Project description:OBJECTIVE:To determine whether kidney function level and its rate of decline in the immediate predialysis period among veterans transitioning to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) predict postdialysis mortality and hospitalization. PATIENTS AND METHODS:In 19,985 veterans transitioning to ESRD during the period October 1, 2007, to March 30, 2014, we examined kidney function and its slope over the final year of the pre-ESRD(prelude) period. Two categories of low vs high estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR, dichotomized at 10 mL/min/1.73 m2) and slow vs fast slope (dichotomized at -10 mL/min/1.73 m2/y) were combined into 4 groups. Their associations with 12-month post-ESRD all-cause and cardiovascular (CV) mortality and hospitalization rates were examined in adjusted models accounting for clinical characteristics and laboratory measurements at transition. RESULTS:Patients, 66±11 years old, and 34% blacks, had a median (interquartile range) eGFR at transition and slope of 9.7 (7.1-13.3) mL/min/1.73 m2 and -10.5 (-18.8 to -5.9) mL/min/1.73 m2/y, respectively. Patients with a low eGFR and slow slope had the lowest 12-month all-cause and CV mortality risks and hospitalization rate. Conversely, patients with high eGFR and fast slope had the highest risk of all-cause and CV mortality and hospitalization rate compared with patients with a low eGFR and slow slope. This relationship persisted in sensitivity analyses, including propensity scoring. CONCLUSION:A kidney profile of a low eGFR and slow slope in the prelude period is associated with favorable early dialysis outcomes in veteran patients. Trials to examine a more conservative approach to dialysis are warranted.
| S-EPMC6116733 | biostudies-literature
Project description:The effect of rate of decline of kidney function on risk for death is not well understood. Using the Department of Veterans Affairs national databases, we retrospectively studied a cohort of 4171 patients who had rheumatoid arthritis and early stage 3 chronic kidney disease (CKD; estimated GFR 45 to 60 ml/min) and followed them longitudinally to characterize predictors of disease progression and the effect of rate of kidney function decline on mortality. After a median of 2.6 years, 1604 (38%) maintained stable kidney function; 426 (10%), 1147 (28%), and 994 (24%) experienced mild, moderate, and severe progression of CKD, respectively (defined as estimated GFR decline of 0 to 1, 1 to 4, and >4 ml/min per yr). Peripheral artery disease predicted moderate progression of CKD progression. Black race, hypertension, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and peripheral artery disease predicted severe progression of CKD. After a median of 5.7 years, patients with severe progression had a significantly increased risk for mortality (hazard ratio 1.54; 95% confidence interval 1.30 to 1.82) compared with those with mild progression; patients with moderate progression exhibited a similar trend (hazard ratio 1.10; 95% confidence interval 0.98 to 1.30). Our results demonstrate an independent and graded association between the rate of kidney function decline and mortality. Incorporating the rate of decline into the definition of CKD may transform a static definition into a dynamic one that more accurately describes the potential consequences of the disease for an individual.
| S-EPMC3014010 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ObjectiveWe tested the hypothesis that impaired kidney function in the elderly is associated with a more rapid rate of cognitive decline.MethodsBaseline serum was used to calculate estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), using the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease formula, for 886 elderly without dementia participating in the Rush Memory and Aging Project, a prospective, observational cohort study. Kidney function was also dichotomized into impairment or no impairment based on eGFR < or >or=60 mL/min/1.73 m(2). Structured cognitive testing was performed at baseline and at annual evaluations, using a battery of 19 cognitive tests summarized into global cognition and 5 cognitive domains.ResultsIn mixed-effects models adjusted for age, sex, and education, a lower eGFR at baseline was associated with a more rapid rate of cognitive decline (estimate 0.0008, SE <0.001, p = 0.017). The increased rate of cognitive decline associated with a 15-mL/min/1.73 m(2) lower eGFR at baseline (approximately 1 SD) was similar to the effect of being 3 years older at baseline. Impaired kidney function at baseline was associated with a more rapid rate of cognitive decline (estimate -0.028, SE <0.009, p = 0.003). The increased rate of cognitive decline associated with impaired kidney function at baseline was approximately 75% the effect of ApoE4 allele on the rate of cognitive decline. Baseline kidney function was associated with declines in semantic memory, episodic memory, and working memory but not visuospatial abilities or perceptual speed.ConclusionImpaired kidney function is associated with a more rapid rate of cognitive decline in old age.
| S-EPMC2754333 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background and objectivesRisk of hospitalizations is increased in patients with CKD. We sought to examine the association between rate of kidney function decline and risk of hospitalization in a cohort of patients with early CKD.Design, settings, participants, & measurementsWe built a cohort of 247,888 United States veterans who had at least one eGFR measurement between October 1999 and September 2003 and an additional eGFR between October 2003 and September 2004. We selected patients whose initial eGFR was between 45 and 59 ml/min per 1.73 m2. Rate of eGFR change (in milliliters per minute per 1.73 m2 per year) was categorized as no decline (>0), mild (0 to -1, and served as the referent group), moderate (-1 to -5), or severe (>-5) eGFR decline. We built survival models to examine the association between the rate of kidney function decline and the risk of hospitalization and readmission and linear regression to estimate length of hospital stay.ResultsOver a median observation of 9 years (interquartile range, 5.28-9.00), patients with moderate and severe eGFR decline exhibited a higher risk of hospitalizations (hazard ratio [HR], 1.22; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.19 to 1.26; and HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.28 to 1.39, respectively). Among patients with moderate and severe eGFR decline, the association between the rate of decline and the risk of hospitalizations was more pronounced with an increased number of hospitalizations (P<0.01). Patients with moderate and severe eGFR decline had a higher risk of readmission (HR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.13 to 1.26; and HR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.43 to 1.63, respectively). Among patients with severe eGFR decline, the association between the rate of kidney function decline and the risk of readmission was stronger with an increased number of readmissions (P<0.01). Patients with moderate and severe eGFR decline experienced an additional length of stay of 1.40 (95% CI, 0.88 to 1.92) and 5.00 days per year (95% CI, 4.34 to 5.66), respectively.ConclusionsThe rate of kidney function decline is associated with a higher risk of hospitalizations, readmissions, and prolonged length of hospital stay.
| S-EPMC4633789 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BACKGROUND:The variable course of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD), and the advent of renoprotective treatment require early risk stratification. We applied urinary metabolomics to explore differences associated with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR; CKD-EPI equation) and future eGFR decline. METHODS:Targeted, quantitative metabolic profiling (1H NMR-spectroscopy) was performed on baseline spot urine samples obtained from 501 patients with ADPKD. The discovery cohort consisted of 338 patients (56% female, median values for age 46 [IQR 38 to 52] years, eGFR 62 [IQR 45 to 85] ml/min/1.73m2, follow-up time 2.5 [range 1 to 3] years, and annual eGFR slope -3.3 [IQR -5.3 to -1.3] ml/min/1.73m2/year). An independent cohort (n = 163) was used for validation. Multivariate modelling and linear regression were used to analyze the associations between urinary metabolites and eGFR, and eGFR decline over time. RESULTS:Twenty-nine known urinary metabolites were quantified from the spectra using a semi-automatic quantification routine. The model optimization routine resulted in four metabolites that most strongly associated with actual eGFR in the discovery cohort (F = 128.9, P = 7×10-54, R2 = 0.724). A model using the ratio of two other metabolites, urinary alanine/citrate, showed the best association with future annual change in eGFR (F = 51.07, P = 7.26×10-12, R2 = 0.150). This association remained significant after adjustment for clinical risk markers including height-adjusted total kidney volume (htTKV). Results were confirmed in the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS:Quantitative NMR profiling identified urinary metabolic markers that associated with actual eGFR and future rate of eGFR decline. The urinary alanine/citrate ratio showed additional value beyond conventional risk markers.
| S-EPMC7244119 | biostudies-literature
Project description:The association between rate of kidney function decline and age-of-onset or duration of diabetes has not been well investigated. We aimed to examine whether rates of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline differ by age-of-onset or duration in people with type 2 diabetes. Using the Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes study which included those with HbA1c ≥ 7.5% and who were at high risk of cardiovascular events,, rates of eGFR decline were calculated and were compared among groups defined by the known age-of-onset (0-39, 40-49, 50-59, 60-69 and > 70 years) and 5-year diabetes duration intervals. Changes in renal function were evaluated using median of 6 (interquartile range 3-10) eGFR measurements per person. eGFR decline was the slowest in those with known age-at-diagnosis of 50-59 years or those with duration of diabetes < 5 years. The rates of eGFR decline were significantly greater in those with known age-of-onset < 40 years or those with duration of diabetes > 20 years compared to those diagnosed at 50-59 or those with duration of diabetes < 5 years (- 1.98 vs - 1.61 mL/min/year; - 1.82 vs - 1.52 mL/min/year; respectively (p < 0.001). Those with youngest age-of-onset or longer duration of diabetes had more rapid declines in eGFR compared to those diagnosed at middle age or those with shorter duration of diabetes.
| S-EPMC8290031 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background and objectivesThe independent link between arterial stiffness and CKD remains unknown. We investigated the association of indicators of arterial stiffness with decline in kidney function.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsWe studied 3666 participants (mean age =65 years old; 58% women) from the Rotterdam Study. Pulse pressure (PP), carotid stiffness, and pulse wave velocity (PWV) were measured. We created genetic risk scores for PP and PWV. Annual declines in kidney function and incident CKD were assessed using eGFR. To put our findings in context of the literature, we performed a meta-analysis of the available population-based studies.ResultsAfter a median (interquartile range) follow-up time of 11 (10.7-11.3) years, 601 participants with incident CKD were recognized. In the model adjusted for age, sex, mean arterial pressure, heart rate, and baseline GFR, each SD higher PP was associated with 0.15-ml/min per 1.73 m(2) steeper annual eGFR decline (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 0.10 to 0.20) and 11% higher risk of incident CKD (95% CI, 1.05 to 1.18). Each SD greater carotid stiffness was associated with 0.08-ml/min per 1.73 m(2) steeper annual eGFR decline (95% CI, 0.04 to 0.13) and 13% higher risk of incident CKD (95% CI, 1.05 to 1.22). Each SD higher PWV was associated with 7% higher risk of incident CKD (95% CI, 1.00 to 1.14). Incorporating our findings in a meta-analysis, each SD higher PP and PWV were associated with 16% (95% CI, 1.12 to 1.21) and 8% (95% CI, 1.03 to 1.14) higher risks of incident CKD. Each SD higher PP genetic risk score was associated with 0.06-ml/min per 1.73 m(2) steeper annual eGFR decline (95% CI, 0.01 to 0.10) and 8% higher risk of incident CKD (95% CI, 1.03 to 1.14). There was no association between PWV genetic risk score and kidney function decline.ConclusionsHigher indices of arterial stiffness are associated with steeper decline in kidney function. This suggests that vascular stiffness could be considered as a target for delaying decline in kidney function.
| S-EPMC4670762 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BACKGROUND:Hypothetical proteins [HP] are those that are predicted to be expressed in an organism, but no evidence of their existence is known. In the recent past, annotation and curation efforts have helped overcome the challenge in understanding their diverse functions. Techniques to decipher sequence-structure-function relationship, especially in terms of functional modelling of the HPs have been developed by researchers, but using the features as classifiers for HPs has not been attempted. With the rise in number of annotation strategies, next-generation sequencing methods have provided further understanding the functions of HPs. RESULTS:In our previous work, we developed a six-point classification scoring schema with annotation pertaining to protein family scores, orthology, protein interaction/association studies, bidirectional best BLAST hits, sorting signals, known databases and visualizers which were used to validate protein interactions. In this study, we introduced three more classifiers to our annotation system, viz. pseudogenes linked to HPs, homology modelling and non-coding RNAs associated to HPs. We discuss the challenges and performance of these classifiers using machine learning heuristics with an improved accuracy from Perceptron (81.08 to 97.67), Naive Bayes (54.05 to 96.67), Decision tree J48 (67.57 to 97.00), and SMO_npolyk (59.46 to 96.67). CONCLUSION:With the introduction of three new classification features, the performance of the nine-point classification scoring schema has an improved accuracy to functionally annotate the HPs.
| S-EPMC6325861 | biostudies-other
Project description:BackgroundInhibiting enteropeptidase, a gut serine protease regulating protein digestion, suppresses food intake and ameliorates obesity and diabetes in mice. However, the effects of enteropeptidase inhibition on kidney parameters are largely unknown. Here, we evaluated the chronic effects of an enteropeptidase inhibitor, SCO-792, on kidney function, albuminuria and kidney pathology in spontaneously hypercholesterolaemic (SHC) rats, a rat chronic kidney disease (CKD) model.MethodsSCO-792, an orally available enteropeptidase inhibitor, was administered [0.03% and 0.06% (w/w) in the diet] to 20-week-old SHC rats showing albuminuria and progressive decline in glomerular filtration rate (GFR) for five weeks. The effects of SCO-792 and the contribution of amino acids to these effects were evaluated.ResultsSCO-792 increased the faecal protein content, indicating that SCO-792 inhibited enteropeptidase in SHC rats. Chronic treatment with SCO-792 prevented GFR decline and suppressed albuminuria. Moreover, SCO-792 improved glomerulosclerosis and kidney fibrosis. Pair feeding with SCO-792 (0.06%) was less effective in preventing GFR decline, albuminuria and renal histological damage than SCO-792 treatment, indicating the enteropeptidase-inhibition-dependent therapeutic effects of SCO-792. SCO-792 did not affect the renal plasma flow, suggesting that its effect on GFR was mediated by an improvement in filtration fraction. Moreover, SCO-792 increased hydrogen sulphide production capacity, which has a role in tissue protection. Finally, methionine and cysteine supplementation to the diet abrogated SCO-792-induced therapeutic effects on albuminuria.ConclusionsSCO-792-mediated inhibition of enteropeptidase potently prevented GFR decline, albuminuria and kidney fibrosis; hence, it may have therapeutic potential against CKD.
| S-EPMC8008362 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Despite intensive antihypertensive therapy there was a high incidence of renal end points in participants of the African American Study of Kidney Disease and Hypertension (AASK) cohort. To better understand this, coding variants in the apolipoprotein L1 (APOL1) and the nonmuscle myosin heavy chain 9 (MYH9) genes were evaluated for an association with hypertension-attributed nephropathy and clinical outcomes in a case-control study. Clinical data and DNA were available for 675 AASK participant cases and 618 African American non-nephropathy control individuals. APOL1 G1 and G2, and MYH9 E1 variants along with 44 ancestry informative markers, were genotyped with allele frequency differences between cases and controls analyzed by logistic regression multivariable models adjusting for ancestry, age, and gender. In recessive models, APOL1 risk variants were significantly associated with kidney disease in all cases compared to controls with an odds ratio of 2.57. In AASK cases with more advanced disease, such as a baseline urine protein to creatinine ratio over 0.6 g/g or a serum creatinine over 3 mg/dl during follow-up, the association was strengthened with odds ratios of 6.29 and 4.61, respectively. APOL1 risk variants were consistently associated with renal disease progression across medication classes and blood pressure targets. Thus, kidney disease in AASK participants was strongly associated with APOL1 renal risk variants.
| S-EPMC3484228 | biostudies-literature