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Increased peak postoperative B-type natriuretic peptide predicts decreased longer-term physical function after primary coronary artery bypass graft surgery.

ABSTRACT: Increased peak postoperative B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) is associated with increased major adverse cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality after coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery. Whether increased postoperative BNP predicts worse postdischarge physical function (PF) is unknown. We hypothesized that peak postoperative BNP associates with PF assessed up to 2 yr after CABG surgery, even after adjusting for clinical risk factors. including preoperative PF.This two-institution prospective cohort study included patients undergoing primary CABG surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass. Short Form-36 questionnaires were administered to subjects preoperatively and 6 months, 1 yr, and 2 yr postoperatively. Short Form-36 PF domain scores were calculated using the Short Form-36 norm-based scoring algorithm. Plasma BNP concentrations measured preoperatively and on postoperative days 1-5 were log(10) transformed before analysis. To determine whether peak postoperative BNP independently predicts PF scores 6 months through 2 yr after CABG surgery, multivariable longitudinal regression analysis of the postoperative PF scores was performed, adjusting for important clinical risk factors.A total of 845 subjects (mean ± SD age, 65 ± 10 yr) were analyzed. Peak postoperative BNP was significantly associated with postoperative PF (effect estimate for log(10) peak BNP, -7.66 PF score points [95% CI, -9.68 to -5.64]; P = <0.0001). After multivariable adjustments, peak postoperative BNP remained independently associated with postoperative PF (effect estimate for log(10) peak BNP, -3.06 PF score points [95% CI, -5.15 to -0.97]; P = 0.004).Increased peak postoperative BNP independently associates with worse longer-term PF after primary CABG surgery. Future studies are needed to determine whether medical management targeted toward reducing increased postoperative BNP can improve PF after CABG surgery.

SUBMITTER: Fox AA

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3063715 | biostudies-literature | 2011 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Increased peak postoperative B-type natriuretic peptide predicts decreased longer-term physical function after primary coronary artery bypass graft surgery.

Fox Amanda A AA Marcantonio Edward R ER Collard Charles D CD Thoma Mathis M Perry Tjorvi E TE Shernan Stanton K SK Muehlschlegel Jochen D JD Body Simon C SC

Anesthesiology 20110401 4

<h4>Background</h4>Increased peak postoperative B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) is associated with increased major adverse cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality after coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery. Whether increased postoperative BNP predicts worse postdischarge physical function (PF) is unknown. We hypothesized that peak postoperative BNP associates with PF assessed up to 2 yr after CABG surgery, even after adjusting for clinical risk factors. including preoperative PF.<h ...[more]

PMID: 21427536

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Project description:Purpose Predictive analytics (PA) is a new trending approach in the field of healthcare that uses machine learning to build a prediction model using supervised learning algorithms. Isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (iCABG), an open-heart surgery, is commonly performed in the treatment of coronary heart disease. Aim The aim of this study was to develop and evaluate a model to predict postoperative length of stay (PLoS) for iCABG patients using supervised machine learning techniques, and to identify the features with the highest contribution to the model. Methods This is a retrospective study that uses historic data of adult patients who underwent isolated CABG (iCABG). After initial data pre-processing, data imputation using the kNN method was applied. The study used five prediction models using Naïve Bayes, Decision Tree, Random Forest, Logistic Regression and k Nearest Neighbor algorithms. Data imbalance was managed using the following widely used methods: oversampling, undersampling, “Both”, and random over-sampling examples (ROSE). The features selection process was conducted using the Boruta method. Two techniques were applied to examine the performance of the models, (70%, 30%) split and cross-validation, respectively. Models were evaluated by comparing their performance using AUC and other metrics. Results In the final dataset, six distinct features and 621 instances were used to develop the models. A total of 20 models were developed using R statistical software. The model generated using Random Forest with “Both” resampling method and cross-validation technique was deemed the best fit (AUC=0.81; F1 score=0.82; and recall=0.82). Attributes found to be highly predictive of PLoS were pulmonary artery systolic, age, height, EuroScore II, intra-aortic balloon pump used, and complications during operation. Conclusion This study demonstrates the significance and effectiveness of building a model that predicts PLoS for iCABG patients using patient specifications and pre-/intra-operative measures.

Dataset Information

Increased peak postoperative B-type natriuretic peptide predicts decreased longer-term physical function after primary coronary artery bypass graft surgery.

Publications

Increased peak postoperative B-type natriuretic peptide predicts decreased longer-term physical function after primary coronary artery bypass graft surgery.

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