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ABSTRACT: Rationale
Benefits of identifying risk factors for bronchopulmonary dysplasia in extremely premature infants include providing prognostic information, identifying infants likely to benefit from preventive strategies, and stratifying infants for clinical trial enrollment.Objectives
To identify risk factors for bronchopulmonary dysplasia, and the competing outcome of death, by postnatal day; to identify which risk factors improve prediction; and to develop a Web-based estimator using readily available clinical information to predict risk of bronchopulmonary dysplasia or death.Methods
We assessed infants of 23-30 weeks' gestation born in 17 centers of the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Neonatal Research Network and enrolled in the Neonatal Research Network Benchmarking Trial from 2000-2004.Measurements and main results
Bronchopulmonary dysplasia was defined as a categorical variable (none, mild, moderate, or severe). We developed and validated models for bronchopulmonary dysplasia risk at six postnatal ages using gestational age, birth weight, race and ethnicity, sex, respiratory support, and Fi(O(2)), and examined the models using a C statistic (area under the curve). A total of 3,636 infants were eligible for this study. Prediction improved with advancing postnatal age, increasing from a C statistic of 0.793 on Day 1 to a maximum of 0.854 on Day 28. On Postnatal Days 1 and 3, gestational age best improved outcome prediction; on Postnatal Days 7, 14, 21, and 28, type of respiratory support did so. A Web-based model providing predicted estimates for bronchopulmonary dysplasia by postnatal day is available at https://neonatal.rti.org.Conclusions
The probability of bronchopulmonary dysplasia in extremely premature infants can be determined accurately using a limited amount of readily available clinical information.
SUBMITTER: Laughon MM
PROVIDER: S-EPMC3136997 | biostudies-literature | 2011 Jun
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Laughon Matthew M MM Langer John C JC Bose Carl L CL Smith P Brian PB Ambalavanan Namasivayam N Kennedy Kathleen A KA Stoll Barbara J BJ Buchter Susie S Laptook Abbot R AR Ehrenkranz Richard A RA Cotten C Michael CM Wilson-Costello Deanne E DE Shankaran Seetha S Van Meurs Krisa P KP Davis Alexis S AS Gantz Marie G MG Finer Neil N NN Yoder Bradley A BA Faix Roger G RG Carlo Waldemar A WA Schibler Kurt R KR Newman Nancy S NS Rich Wade W Das Abhik A Higgins Rosemary D RD Walsh Michele C MC
American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine 20110304 12
<h4>Rationale</h4>Benefits of identifying risk factors for bronchopulmonary dysplasia in extremely premature infants include providing prognostic information, identifying infants likely to benefit from preventive strategies, and stratifying infants for clinical trial enrollment.<h4>Objectives</h4>To identify risk factors for bronchopulmonary dysplasia, and the competing outcome of death, by postnatal day; to identify which risk factors improve prediction; and to develop a Web-based estimator usi ...[more]