Dataset Information

Prognostic and predictive value of a malignancy-risk gene signature in early-stage non-small cell lung cancer.

ABSTRACT: The malignancy-risk gene signature is composed of numerous proliferative genes and has been applied to predict breast cancer risk. We hypothesized that the malignancy-risk gene signature has prognostic and predictive value for early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients.The ability of the malignancy-risk gene signature to predict overall survival (OS) of early-stage NSCLC patients was tested using a large NSCLC microarray dataset from the Director's Challenge Consortium (n = 442) and two independent NSCLC microarray datasets (n = 117 and 133, for the GSE13213 and GSE14814 datasets, respectively). An overall malignancy-risk score was generated by principal component analysis to determine the prognostic and predictive value of the signature. An interaction model was used to investigate a statistically significant interaction between adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) and the gene signature. All statistical tests were two-sided.The malignancy-risk gene signature was statistically significantly associated with OS (P < .001) of NSCLC patients. Validation with the two independent datasets demonstrated that the malignancy-risk score had prognostic and predictive values: Of patients who did not receive ACT, those with a low malignancy-risk score had increased OS compared with a high malignancy-risk score (P = .007 and .01 for the GSE13212 and GSE14814 datasets, respectively), indicating a prognostic value; and in the GSE14814 dataset, patients receiving ACT survived longer in the high malignancy-risk score group (P = .03), and a statistically significant interaction between ACT and the signature was observed (P = .02).The malignancy-risk gene signature was associated with OS and was a prognostic and predictive indicator. The malignancy-risk gene signature could be useful to improve prediction of OS and to identify those NSCLC patients who will benefit from ACT.

SUBMITTER: Chen DT

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3243673 | biostudies-literature | 2011 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Prognostic and predictive value of a malignancy-risk gene signature in early-stage non-small cell lung cancer.

Chen Dung-Tsa DT Hsu Ying-Lin YL Fulp William J WJ Coppola Domenico D Haura Eric B EB Yeatman Timothy J TJ Cress W Douglas WD

Journal of the National Cancer Institute 20111208 24

<h4>Background</h4>The malignancy-risk gene signature is composed of numerous proliferative genes and has been applied to predict breast cancer risk. We hypothesized that the malignancy-risk gene signature has prognostic and predictive value for early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients.<h4>Methods</h4>The ability of the malignancy-risk gene signature to predict overall survival (OS) of early-stage NSCLC patients was tested using a large NSCLC microarray dataset from the Director's ...[more]

PMID: 22157961

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Project description:Background: The current staging system is imprecise for prognostic prediction of early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). This study aimed to develop a robust prognostic signature for early-stage NSCLC, allowing classification of patients with a high risk of poor outcome and specific treatment decision. Method: In the present study, a comprehensive genome-wide profiling analysis was conducted using a retrospective pool of early-stage NSCLC patient data from the previous datasets of Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) including GSE31210, GSE37745, and GSE50081 and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Cox proportional hazards models were implemented to determine the association between gene expression levels and overall patient survival in each dataset. The common genes among all datasets were selected as candidate prognostic genes. A risk score model was developed and validated using four independent datasets and the entire cohort. The Kaplan-Meier with log-rank test was used to assess survival difference. Results: A univariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis for each dataset showed that a total of 2280 genes in GSE31210, 762 genes in GSE37745, 871 genes in GSE50081, and 666 genes in TCGA were identified as candidate protective genes, while overall 2131 genes in GSE31210, 913 in GSE37745, 1107 in GSE50081, and 997 in TCGA were identified as candidate risky genes. There were 8 common genes associated with overall survival, including 7 mRNA and 1 lncRNA. By using the Step-wise multivariate Cox analysis, an 8-gene prognostic signature (CDCP1, HMMR, TPX2, CIRBP, HLF, KBTBD7, SEC24B-AS1, and SH2B1) for early-stage NSCLC was developed. Patients in the high-risk group had shorter overall survival than those in the low-risk group. Multivariate regression and stratified analysis suggested that the prognostic power of the 8-gene signature was independent of other clinical factors. Furthermore, the 8-gene signature achieved AUC values of 0.726, 0.701, 0.725 and 0.650 in GSE31210, GSE37745, GSE50081 and TCGA, respectively. Moreover, the combination of the 8-gene signature and the stage resulted to a better patient classification for survival prediction and treatment decision. Conclusion: This study developed a robust gene signature with great value for prognostic prediction in early-stage NSCLC, which may contribute to patient classification and personalized treatment decisions.

Project description:BackgroundWe developed and validated a prognostic and predictive computational pathology risk score (CoRiS) using H&E stained tissue images from patients with early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (ES-NSCLC).Methods1330 patients with ES-NSCLC were acquired from 3 independent sources and divided into four cohorts D1-4. D1 comprised 100 surgery treated patients and was used to identify prognostic features via an elastic-net Cox model to predict overall and disease-free survival. CoRiS was constructed using the Cox model coefficients for the top features. The prognostic performance of CoRiS was evaluated on D2 (N=331), D3 (N=657) and D4 (N=242). Patients from D2 and D3 which comprised surgery + chemotherapy were used to validate CoRiS as predictive of added benefit to adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) by comparing survival between different CoRiS defined risk groups.FindingsCoRiS was found to be prognostic on univariable analysis, D2 (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.41, adjusted (adj.) P = .01) and D3 (HR = 1.35, adj. P < .001). Multivariable analysis showed CoRiS was independently prognostic, D2 (HR = 1.41, adj. P < .001) and D3 (HR = 1.35, adj. P < .001), after adjusting for clinico-pathologic factors. CoRiS was also able to identify high-risk patients who derived survival benefit from ACT D2 (HR = 0.42, adj. P = .006) and D3 (HR = 0.46, adj. P = .08).InterpretationCoRiS is a tissue non-destructive, quantitative and low-cost tool that could potentially help guide management of ES-NSCLC patients.FundingData collection, anlaysis, and computation resources of the research reported in this publication was supported by the National Cancer Institute of the National Institutes of Health under award numbers: 1U24CA199374-01, R01CA202752-01A1, R01CA208236-01A1, R01 CA216579-01A1, R01 CA220581-01A1, 1U01 CA239055-01. National Center for Research Resources under award number 1 C06 RR12463-01. VA Merit Review Award IBX004121A from the United States Department of Veterans Affairs Biomedical Laboratory Research and Development Service, the DOD Prostate Cancer Idea Development Award (W81XWH-15-1-0558), the DOD Lung Cancer Investigator-Initiated Translational Research Award (W81XWH-18-1-0440), the DOD Peer Reviewed Cancer Research Program (W81XWH-16-1-0329), the Ohio Third Frontier Technology Validation Fund, the Wallace H. Coulter Foundation Program in the Department of Biomedical Engineering and the Clinical and Translational Science Award Program (CTSA) at Case Western Reserve University.

Project description:Importance:The prevalence of early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is expected to increase with recent implementation of annual screening programs. Reliable prognostic biomarkers are needed to identify patients at a high risk for recurrence to guide adjuvant therapy. Objective:To develop a robust, individualized immune signature that can estimate prognosis in patients with early-stage nonsquamous NSCLC. Design, Setting, and Participants:This retrospective study analyzed the gene expression profiles of frozen tumor tissue samples from 19 public NSCLC cohorts, including 18 microarray data sets and 1 RNA-Seq data set for The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) lung adenocarcinoma cohort. Only patients with nonsquamous NSCLC with clinical annotation were included. Samples were from 2414 patients with nonsquamous NSCLC, divided into a meta-training cohort (729 patients), meta-testing cohort (716 patients), and 3 independent validation cohorts (439, 323, and 207 patients). All patients underwent surgery with a negative surgical margin, received no adjuvant or neoadjuvant therapy, and had publicly available gene expression data and survival information. Data were collected from July 22 through September 8, 2016. Main Outcomes and Measures:Overall survival. Results:Of 2414 patients (1205 men [50%], 1111 women [46%], and 98 of unknown sex [4%]; median age [range], 64 [15-90] years), a prognostic immune signature of 25 gene pairs consisting of 40 unique genes was constructed using the meta-training data set. In the meta-testing and validation cohorts, the immune signature significantly stratified patients into high- vs low-risk groups in terms of overall survival across and within subpopulations with stage I, IA, IB, or II disease and remained as an independent prognostic factor in multivariate analyses (hazard ratio range, 1.72 [95% CI, 1.26-2.33; P?<?.001] to 2.36 [95% CI, 1.47-3.79; P?<?.001]) after adjusting for clinical and pathologic factors. Several biological processes, including chemotaxis, were enriched among genes in the immune signature. The percentage of neutrophil infiltration (5.6% vs 1.8%) and necrosis (4.6% vs 1.5%) was significantly higher in the high-risk immune group compared with the low-risk groups in TCGA data set (P?<?.003). The immune signature achieved a higher accuracy (mean concordance index [C-index], 0.64) than 2 commercialized multigene signatures (mean C-index, 0.53 and 0.61) for estimation of survival in comparable validation cohorts. When integrated with clinical characteristics such as age and stage, the composite clinical and immune signature showed improved prognostic accuracy in all validation data sets relative to molecular signatures alone (mean C-index, 0.70 vs 0.63) and another commercialized clinical-molecular signature (mean C-index, 0.68 vs 0.65). Conclusions and Relevance:The proposed clinical-immune signature is a promising biomarker for estimating overall survival in nonsquamous NSCLC, including early-stage disease. Prospective studies are needed to test the clinical utility of the biomarker in individualized management of nonsquamous NSCLC.

Dataset Information

Prognostic and predictive value of a malignancy-risk gene signature in early-stage non-small cell lung cancer.

Publications

Prognostic and predictive value of a malignancy-risk gene signature in early-stage non-small cell lung cancer.

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