Age at stroke: temporal trends in stroke incidence in a large, biracial population.
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ABSTRACT: Objectives
We describe temporal trends in stroke incidence stratified by age from our population-based stroke epidemiology study. We hypothesized that stroke incidence in younger adults (age 20-54) increased over time, most notably between 1999 and 2005.Methods
The Greater Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky region includes an estimated population of 1.3 million. Strokes were ascertained in the population between July 1, 1993, and June 30, 1994, and in calendar years 1999 and 2005. Age-, race-, and gender-specific incidence rates with 95 confidence intervals were calculated assuming a Poisson distribution. We tested for differences in age trends over time using a mixed-model approach, with appropriate link functions.Results
The mean age at stroke significantly decreased from 71.2 years in 1993/1994 to 69.2 years in 2005 (p < 0.0001). The proportion of all strokes under age 55 increased from 12.9% in 1993/1994 to 18.6% in 2005. Regression modeling showed a significant change over time (p = 0.002), characterized as a shift to younger strokes in 2005 compared with earlier study periods. Stroke incidence rates in those 20-54 years of age were significantly increased in both black and white patients in 2005 compared to earlier periods.Conclusions
We found trends toward increasing stroke incidence at younger ages. This is of great public health significance because strokes in younger patients carry the potential for greater lifetime burden of disability and because some potential contributors identified for this trend are modifiable.
SUBMITTER: Kissela BM
PROVIDER: S-EPMC3475622 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Similar Datasets
Project description:Background and Purpose- Sex differences in stroke incidence over time were previously reported from the GCNKSS (Greater Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky Stroke Study). We aimed to determine whether these differences continued through 2015 and whether they were driven by particular age groups. Methods- Within the GCNKSS population of 1.3 million, incident (first ever) strokes among residents ≥20 years of age were ascertained at all local hospitals during 5 periods: July 1993 to June 1994 and calendar years 1999, 2005, 2010, and 2015. Out-of-hospital cases were sampled. Sex-specific incidence rates per 100 000 were adjusted for age and race and standardized to the 2010 US Census. Trends over time by sex were compared (overall and age stratified). Sex-specific case fatality rates were also reported. Bonferroni corrections were applied for multiple comparisons. Results- Over the 5 study periods, there were 9733 incident strokes (56.3% women). For women, there were 229 (95% CI, 215-242) per 100 000 incident strokes in 1993/1994 and 174 (95% CI, 163-185) in 2015 (P<0.05), compared with 282 (95% CI, 263-301) in 1993/1994 to 211 (95% CI, 198-225) in 2015 (P<0.05) in men. Incidence rates decreased between the first and last study periods in both sexes for IS but not for intracerebral hemorrhage or subarachnoid hemorrhage. Significant decreases in stroke incidence occurred between the first and last study periods for both sexes in the 65- to 84-year age group and men only in the ≥85-year age group; stroke incidence increased for men only in the 20- to 44-year age group. Conclusions- Overall stroke incidence decreased from the early 1990s to 2015 for both sexes. Future studies should continue close surveillance of sex differences in the 20- to 44-year and ≥85-year age groups, and future stroke prevention strategies should target strokes in the young- and middle-age groups, as well as intracerebral hemorrhage.
| S-EPMC7286565 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background and purposeWe previously reported increased incidence of ischemic stroke among both blacks and whites with diabetes mellitus, especially in those aged <55 years. With rising prevalence of diabetes mellitus in the past decade, we revisit the impact of diabetes mellitus on stroke incidence in the same population (≈1.3 million) 5 and 10 years later.MethodsThis is a population-based study. First ischemic strokes among black and white residents of the 5-county Greater Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky region, aged ≥ 20 years, for periods 7/1993 to 6/1994, 1999, and 2005, were included in this analysis. Incidence rates were adjusted for sex, race, and age, as appropriate, to the 2000 US population.ResultsHistory of diabetes mellitus among first ischemic strokes was reported for 493/1709 (28%) in 1993/1994, 522/1778 (29%) in 1999, and 544/1680 (33%) in 2005. Risk ratios (95% confidence interval) for rates of stroke in those with versus without diabetes mellitus for blacks reduced significantly from 5.6 in 1993/1994 to 3.2 in 2005; for whites the risk ratio remained stable at 3.8 in 1993/1994 and 2005. However, risk ratios varied with age, with an overall 5- to 14-fold increased risk observed in those aged 20 to 65 years.ConclusionsThose with diabetes mellitus remain at greatly increased risk for stroke at all ages, especially <65 years, regardless of race. The rates and risk ratios for 1999 and 2005, although similar to those previously reported for the mid-1990s, take on increased significance, given the epidemic of diabetes mellitus and metabolic syndrome throughout the US and the world.
| S-EPMC3746032 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Although other studies (in largely white populations) have found that stroke incidence declined during the 1990s, we previously reported that stroke incidence in our population (18% of which was black) did not change during that decade and that incidence rates in blacks were significantly higher than in whites. We sought to update temporal trends in stroke incidence by adding new data obtained from our large, biracial population in 2005. The objective of this study was to examine temporal trends in stroke incidence and case-fatality within a large biracial population over time by comparing stroke incidence rates from 1993 to 1994, 1999, and 2005.Within the Greater Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky population of 1.3 million, all strokes among area residents were ascertained at all local hospitals during July 1993 to June 19/94 and calendar years 1999 and 2005. A sampling scheme was used to ascertain cases in the out-of-hospital setting. Only first-ever strokes were included in this analysis. Race-specific incidence rates, standardized to the 2000 US Census population, and case-fatality rates were calculated.The number of physician-confirmed first-ever strokes in patients >or=20 years of age was 1942 in 1993 to 1994, 2041 in 1999, and 1921 in 2005. In all study periods, blacks had higher stroke incidence than whites, and case-fatality rates were similar between races. In contrast to previous study periods, we found a significant decrease in overall stroke incidence in 2005. When stratified by race and stroke subtype, this change was driven by a decrease in ischemic stroke incidence among whites, whereas ischemic stroke incidence in blacks was unchanged. Hemorrhagic stroke incidence was unchanged in both races.For the first time, we report a significant decrease in stroke incidence within our population, which is consistent with other reports in the literature. This decrease was found only among whites, which suggests a worsening of the racial disparity in stroke incidence.
| S-EPMC2904073 | biostudies-other
Project description:PurposeTo explore temporal trends in age at first-ever ischemic stroke onset in a bi-ethnic, population-based study.MethodsCases of first-ever ischemic stroke (n = 3252) were identified in the Brain Attack Surveillance in Corpus Christi Project (2000-2012). Demographics and risk factors were abstracted from medical records. Trends in age at stroke onset were assessed overall and by ethnicity (Mexican American [MA] and non-Hispanic white [NHW]) using generalized additive models. Differences by ethnicity were tested by including an interaction term between time and ethnicity. Models were run unadjusted and adjusted for age of the population at risk for stroke.ResultsMean age at first-ever ischemic stroke significantly decreased from an average of 71.7 years in 2000 to an average of 69.3 years in 2012 (p = .0043). Ethnicity significantly modified the temporal trends (p < .001) with declines greater in NHWs than in MAs; mean age was estimated to decrease from 74.8 to 71.3 over the 13 years for NHWs, whereas for MAs, mean age was estimated to decrease from 68.9 to 66.9 after adjusting for ethnic-specific average age of the population at risk.ConclusionsAverage age at first-ever stroke onset declined over time in this community. Efforts should be made to prevent stroke by controlling risk factors before and during midlife.
| S-EPMC6162154 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background and Purpose- Stroke at midlife has a disproportionately large impact on disability-adjusted life-years lost. Ischemic stroke incidence may be increasing at this age. We investigated long-term trends in ischemic stroke incidence and changes in stroke risk factors in a community sample stratified by stroke onset at middle and older age. Methods- In the Framingham Study, surveillance for incident stroke is ongoing since 1948. We examined age-adjusted and sex-adjusted 10-year incidence of ischemic stroke using Cox models in persons aged 35 to 54 and ≥55 years at start of follow-up. Tests for linear trend were performed over 4 epochs, controlling for the distance in time between intervals. Further, we calculated the mean 10-year risk of stroke at each epoch and for both age groups, based on vascular risk factors from the Framingham Stroke Risk Profile. Results- There were 153, 197, 176, and 165 incident ischemic strokes within each epoch beginning in 1962 (n=3966), 1971 (n=5779), 1987 (n=5133), and 1998 (n=6964). Most ischemic strokes at midlife (n=71) were because of atherosclerotic brain infarction (n=50) or cardioembolism (n=19). Using the risk in the 1962 epoch as the reference, the risk of ischemic stroke at midlife did not significantly decline (hazard ratio, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.74-1.02; P trend =0.09). Incidence of ischemic stroke declined in the older group (hazard ratio, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.77-0.88; P trend <0.001). Between epochs 1 and 4, the average 10-year risk of stroke, as estimated by the Framingham Stroke Risk Profile, declined by 0.7% at midlife and 1.1% at older age. Conclusions- Long-term rates of ischemic stroke declined in our community sample; the decline was greater in older as compared with younger adults. Early prevention, focused on modification of cardiovascular risk factors, is important to see sustained declines in stroke incidence and mortality at midlife.
| S-EPMC6538454 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BACKGROUND:Female breast cancer incidence rates have been increasing in Portugal for years. We, therefore, conducted the first nationwide breast cancer study to assess regional differences. METHODS:Cases were obtained from population-based cancer registries covering the country's Mainland (South, North, Centre), as well as the two Autonomous Regions (Azores and Madeira), for the time-period 1998 through 2011. Analyses were restricted to ages 30-84 years and stratified by region. We used the age-period-cohort (APC) framework to complement standard descriptive techniques and to forecast future trends. Estimable APC parameters included net drift, longitudinal age-specific incidence rate curves, and fitted age-specific incidence rate ratios. RESULTS:There were 71 545 breast cancer cases diagnosed in Portugal at ages 30-84 years from 1998 to 2011. The South presented the highest age-standardized rate (155.8/100 000), while the North presented the fastest rate of increase (3.6%/year). Age-specific statistical interactions were observed between regions. Younger women in the North revealed a decreased risk of developing breast cancer compared to women from the same age group in the South and Centre, while that risk was reversed in older women (p?<?0.05). We estimate that from 2014 onwards, the North might rank first among all regions. CONCLUSION:The variant patterns observed could be due to a combination of different screening practices and/or exposure to risk factors across regions. Disease heterogeneity among younger and older women may also explain part of the differences in age-specific rates. These results justify continued monitoring of breast cancer incidence by region.
| S-EPMC5971140 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundA national colorectal cancer (CRC) screening programme was launched in 2002 in Germany. A comprehensive evaluation of the programme effectiveness using real-world data is still lacking. In addition, there are regional reports on increasing colorectal cancer incidence in younger populations. Therefore, we aimed to describe and compare the overall, age- and stage-specific incidence trends for colorectal, colon and rectal cancer.MethodsWe used data from seven population-based cancer registries in Germany. We report absolute and relative changes in incidence rates between the early screening phase (2003-2005) and the most recent time period available (2015-2017), as well as annual percent changes. We analysed incidences according to tumour site (colorectum, colon, and rectum) and to six age groups (young adults: 15-34, 35-39, 40-49, screening-entitled/older adults: 50-54, 55-69 and 70 + years old).ResultsIn our sample of 271,011 colorectal adenocarcinomas, about two-thirds were located in the colon and 95% of them occurred in the age group 50+ (50-54: 5%, 55-69: 32.8%, 70+: 57.2%). For the time period 2003-2005 the age-specific incidence rates of individuals in the age group 55-69 were about 76/100,00 for colon and 54/100,000 for rectal cancer (age group 70 + colon: 179/100,000; rectum: 84/100,000). The incidence rates in young adults were less than 13% of that of individuals in the age group 55-69 (< 5% of individuals aged 70+; <33% of individuals aged 50-54). Over time, incidence decreased in individuals at the age of 55+, for all subsites considered as well as for early and late stage cancers (with few exceptions), while incidence of young adult CRC (both early and late stage) increased steepest in the youngest age groups. For late stage rectal cancer, a shift was observed in all age groups from UICC stage IV to stage III being the most frequent stage.ConclusionsSix years after the introduction of the national colonoscopy screening program, late stage CRC incidence began to decline substantially in the screening-eligible age groups (55-69, 70+). It is likely that this decline and the increase in early stage CRC observed in younger age groups can be attributed to the program. Long lasting public awareness campaigns for CRC screening might have led to opportunistic screening in younger adults. Whether these benefits outweigh the possible harm of screening in younger age groups remains unclear.
| S-EPMC10693075 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ObjectivePreviously we reported that ischemic stroke incidence is declining over time for men but not women. We sought to describe temporal trends of sex differences in incidence of transient ischemic attack (TIA) within the same large, biracial population.MethodsAmong the population of 1.3 million in the Greater Cincinnati Northern Kentucky Stroke Study (GCNKSS) region, TIAs among area residents (≥20 years old) were identified at all local hospitals. Out of hospital cases were ascertained using a sampling scheme. First-ever cases and first within each study period for a patient was included in incidence rates. All cases were physician-adjudicated. Incidence rates (during July 93-June 94 and calendar years 1999, 2005, and 2010) were calculated using the age-, race-, and sex-specific number of TIAs divided by the GCNKSS population in that group; rates were standardized to the 2010 U.S.Populationt Tests with Bonferroni correction were used to compare rates over time.ResultsThere were a total of 4746 TIA events; 53% were female, and 12% were black. In males, incidence decreased from 153 (95% confidence interval [CI] 139-167) per 100,000 in 1993/4 to 117 (95% CI 107-128) in 2010 (P < .05 for trend test) but was similar over time among females (107 (95% CI 97-116) to 102 (95%CI 94-111), P > .05).ConclusionsWithin the GCNKSS population, TIA incidence decreased significantly over time in males but not females, data which parallels trends in ischemic stroke in the GCNKSS over the same time period. Future research is needed to determine if these sex differences in incidence over time continue past 2010.
| S-EPMC6698220 | biostudies-literature
Project description: Not available
| S-EPMC4586151 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Neuroserpin, primarily localized to CNS neurons, inhibits the adverse effects of tissue-type plasminogen activator (tPA) on the neurovascular unit and has neuroprotective effects in animal models of ischemic stroke. We sought to evaluate the association of neuroserpin polymorphisms with risk for ischemic stroke among young women.A population-based case-control study of stroke among women aged 15-49 identified 224 cases of first ischemic stroke (47.3% African-American) and 211 age-matched control subjects (43.1% African-American). Neuroserpin single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) chosen through HapMap were genotyped in the study population and assessed for association with stroke.Of the five SNPs analyzed, the A allele (frequency; Caucasian = 0.56, African-American = 0.42) of SNP rs6797312 located in intron 1 was associated with stroke in an age-adjusted dominant model (AA and AT vs. TT) among Caucasians (OR = 2.05, p = 0.023) but not African-Americans (OR = 0.71, p = 0.387). Models adjusting for other risk factors strengthened the association. Race-specific haplotype analyses, inclusive of SNP rs6797312, again demonstrated significant associations with stroke among Caucasians only.This study provides the first evidence that neuroserpin is associated with early-onset ischemic stroke among Caucasian women.
| S-EPMC2169251 | biostudies-literature