Dataset Information

Temporal Trends in Ischemic Stroke Incidence in Younger Adults in the Framingham Study.

ABSTRACT: Background and Purpose- Stroke at midlife has a disproportionately large impact on disability-adjusted life-years lost. Ischemic stroke incidence may be increasing at this age. We investigated long-term trends in ischemic stroke incidence and changes in stroke risk factors in a community sample stratified by stroke onset at middle and older age. Methods- In the Framingham Study, surveillance for incident stroke is ongoing since 1948. We examined age-adjusted and sex-adjusted 10-year incidence of ischemic stroke using Cox models in persons aged 35 to 54 and ?55 years at start of follow-up. Tests for linear trend were performed over 4 epochs, controlling for the distance in time between intervals. Further, we calculated the mean 10-year risk of stroke at each epoch and for both age groups, based on vascular risk factors from the Framingham Stroke Risk Profile. Results- There were 153, 197, 176, and 165 incident ischemic strokes within each epoch beginning in 1962 (n=3966), 1971 (n=5779), 1987 (n=5133), and 1998 (n=6964). Most ischemic strokes at midlife (n=71) were because of atherosclerotic brain infarction (n=50) or cardioembolism (n=19). Using the risk in the 1962 epoch as the reference, the risk of ischemic stroke at midlife did not significantly decline (hazard ratio, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.74-1.02; P trend =0.09). Incidence of ischemic stroke declined in the older group (hazard ratio, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.77-0.88; P trend <0.001). Between epochs 1 and 4, the average 10-year risk of stroke, as estimated by the Framingham Stroke Risk Profile, declined by 0.7% at midlife and 1.1% at older age. Conclusions- Long-term rates of ischemic stroke declined in our community sample; the decline was greater in older as compared with younger adults. Early prevention, focused on modification of cardiovascular risk factors, is important to see sustained declines in stroke incidence and mortality at midlife.

SUBMITTER: Aparicio HJ

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6538454 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Temporal Trends in Ischemic Stroke Incidence in Younger Adults in the Framingham Study.

Aparicio Hugo J HJ Himali Jayandra J JJ Satizabal Claudia L CL Pase Matthew P MP Romero Jose R JR Kase Carlos S CS Beiser Alexa S AS Seshadri Sudha S

Stroke 20190514 6

Background and Purpose- Stroke at midlife has a disproportionately large impact on disability-adjusted life-years lost. Ischemic stroke incidence may be increasing at this age. We investigated long-term trends in ischemic stroke incidence and changes in stroke risk factors in a community sample stratified by stroke onset at middle and older age. Methods- In the Framingham Study, surveillance for incident stroke is ongoing since 1948. We examined age-adjusted and sex-adjusted 10-year incidence of ...[more]

PMID: 31084341

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Project description:ImportanceRecent evidence has shown that although the incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) is decreasing among older adults, rates have increased in adults younger than 50 years. Given that younger adults are typically classified as at low risk for the disease, this epidemiologic shift is cause for concern.ObjectiveTo analyze Canadian national cancer incidence registries to determine incidence trends for CRC among older and younger adults, updated to 2015.Design, setting, and participantsThis cohort study determined the incidence of CRC using data from the National Cancer Incidence Reporting System (1969-1992) and the Canadian Cancer Registry (1992-2015). All Canadians diagnosed with CRC from January 1, 1969, through December 31, 2015, were included in this study. Trends among men and women were examined separately and by age category (>50 vs <50 years). Birth cohort models were fit using 5-year groups starting in 1886, with 1936 as the reference cohort. Data were analyzed from May 13, 2018 to May 16, 2018.Main outcomes and measuresAnnualized percentage changes and incidence rate ratios of CRC.ResultsFrom 1971 to 2015, 688 515 incident cases (52.9% women) of CRC were identified. Although the incidence of CRC has decreased in older men and women, rates among younger men and women have increased since 2006 and 2010, respectively. For women younger than 50 years, incidence has increased with a mean annual percentage change of 4.45% since 2010; for men younger than 50 years, a mean annual percentage change of 3.47% from 2006 through 2015. There was an association between CRC incidence and birth cohort, with more recent cohorts being at greater risk than those born earlier. For men, the risk of colorectal cancer in the youngest cohort is more than double that of the reference (incidence rate ratio, 2.57; 95% CI, 1.32-5.02). Incidence rate ratios were not significant for women (IRR, 2.12; 95% CI, 0.95-4.70) but increased in successively younger cohorts.Conclusions and relevanceThis study found increasing incidence of colorectal cancer diagnoses among Canadian men and women younger than 50 years of age. This increase in incidence among a low-risk population calls for additional research on possible risk factors that may be affecting these younger cohorts. It appears that primary prevention should be the highest priority to reduce the number of younger adults developing CRC in the future.

Project description:Although other studies (in largely white populations) have found that stroke incidence declined during the 1990s, we previously reported that stroke incidence in our population (18% of which was black) did not change during that decade and that incidence rates in blacks were significantly higher than in whites. We sought to update temporal trends in stroke incidence by adding new data obtained from our large, biracial population in 2005. The objective of this study was to examine temporal trends in stroke incidence and case-fatality within a large biracial population over time by comparing stroke incidence rates from 1993 to 1994, 1999, and 2005.Within the Greater Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky population of 1.3 million, all strokes among area residents were ascertained at all local hospitals during July 1993 to June 19/94 and calendar years 1999 and 2005. A sampling scheme was used to ascertain cases in the out-of-hospital setting. Only first-ever strokes were included in this analysis. Race-specific incidence rates, standardized to the 2000 US Census population, and case-fatality rates were calculated.The number of physician-confirmed first-ever strokes in patients >or=20 years of age was 1942 in 1993 to 1994, 2041 in 1999, and 1921 in 2005. In all study periods, blacks had higher stroke incidence than whites, and case-fatality rates were similar between races. In contrast to previous study periods, we found a significant decrease in overall stroke incidence in 2005. When stratified by race and stroke subtype, this change was driven by a decrease in ischemic stroke incidence among whites, whereas ischemic stroke incidence in blacks was unchanged. Hemorrhagic stroke incidence was unchanged in both races.For the first time, we report a significant decrease in stroke incidence within our population, which is consistent with other reports in the literature. This decrease was found only among whites, which suggests a worsening of the racial disparity in stroke incidence.

Dataset Information

Temporal Trends in Ischemic Stroke Incidence in Younger Adults in the Framingham Study.

Publications

Temporal Trends in Ischemic Stroke Incidence in Younger Adults in the Framingham Study.

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