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Factors influencing the risk of recurrence in patients with esophageal carcinoma treated with surgery: A single institution analysis consisting of 1002 cases.

ABSTRACT: The aim of this study was to identify the risk of recurrence in patients with thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (TESCC) treated with curative surgery. The retrospective analysis included 1002 consecutive patients with TESCC who had been treated with curative surgery in Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, China, between 2003 and 2008. Univariate and multivariate analyses using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards model, respectively, were performed to identify the independent risk factors for locoregional recurrence and all the recurrence events. The 2-and 5-year recurrence rates were 39.0 and 59.2%, respectively. More than 85% of recurrences occurred within 36 months. The variables associated with a higher rate of recurrence in the univariate analysis were gender (male), length of tumor (?5 cm), depth of invasion (deeper), lymph node metastasis (greater), histological grade (higher) and vessel involvement (positive). By multivariate analyses, gender (HR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.2-2.5; P=0.002), depth of invasion (HR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.2-1.6; P<0.001) and lymph node involvement (HR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.3-1.5; P<0.001) were independent predictive factors of recurrence. Post-operative radiotherapy or chemotherapy did not significantly prolong failure-free survival (FFS), particularly in patients with early-stage disease. Information regarding the depth of primary tumor invasion and the number of lymph nodes involved may help in evaluating the recurrence risk in patients with TESCC treated with curative surgery. Further studies are required to clarify the correlation between recurrence and the different multidisciplinary treatment approaches.

SUBMITTER: Xu Y

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3525364 | biostudies-literature | 2013 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Factors influencing the risk of recurrence in patients with esophageal carcinoma treated with surgery: A single institution analysis consisting of 1002 cases.

Xu Yaping Y Chen Qixun Q Yu Xinmin X Zhou Ximing X Zheng Xiao X Mao Weimin W

Oncology letters 20121030 1

The aim of this study was to identify the risk of recurrence in patients with thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (TESCC) treated with curative surgery. The retrospective analysis included 1002 consecutive patients with TESCC who had been treated with curative surgery in Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, China, between 2003 and 2008. Univariate and multivariate analyses using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards model, respectively, were performed to identify the independent risk ...[more]

PMID: 23255917

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Project description:BackgroundTumor regression grade (TRG) after neoadjuvant therapy is reportedly predictive of prognosis in esophageal cancer patients, as lack of a response to neoadjuvant therapy is associated with a poor prognosis. However, there is little information available on the timing and pattern of recurrence after esophagectomy for thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (TESCC) that takes into consideration TRG after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NACRT). Here, in an effort to gain insight into a treatment strategy that improves the prognosis of NACRT non-responders, we evaluated the patterns and timing of recurrence in TESCC patients, taking into consideration TRG after NACRT.MethodsA total of 127 TESCC patients treated with NACRT and esophagectomy between 2009 and 2017 were enrolled in this observational cohort study. TRGs were assigned based on the proportion of residual tumor cells in the area (TRG1, ≥1/3 viable cancer cells; 2, < 1/3 viable cancer cells; 3, no viable cancer cells). We retrospectively investigated the timing and patterns of recurrence and the prognoses in TESCC patients, taking into consideration TRG after NACRT.ResultsThe 127 participating TESCC patients were categorized as TRG1 (42 patients, 33%), TRG2 (56 patients, 44%) or TRG3 (29 patients, 23%). The locoregional recurrence rate was higher in TRG1 (36.4%) patients than combined TRG2-3 (7.4%) patients. Patients with TRG3 had better prognoses, though a few TRG3 patients experienced distant recurrence. There were no significant differences in median time to first recurrence or OS among patients with locoregional or distant recurrence. There was a trend toward better OS in TRG2-3 patients with recurrence than TRG1 patients with recurrence, but the difference was not significant.ConclusionsNACRT non-responders (TRG1 patients) experienced higher locoregional recurrence rates and earlier recurrence with distant or locoregional metastasis. TRG appears to be useful for establishing a strategy for perioperative treatments to improve TESCC patient survival, especially among TRG1 patients. (303 words).

Project description:Background and purpose: The aim of this study is to develop a prognostic nomogram, quantify survival benefit, and guide risk-dependent adjuvant therapy for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (LA-ESCC) after esophagectomy. Materials and methods: This was a single-center, retrospective study of consecutive LA-ESCCs treated by curative-intent esophagectomy with internal validation and independent external validation in a randomized controlled trial. After factor selection by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression, a nomogram was developed to estimate 5-year overall survival (OS) based on the Cox proportional hazards model. The area under the curve (AUC) and calibration plot were used to determine its discriminative and predictive capacities, respectively. Survival improvement from adjuvant therapy was quantified and plotted corresponding to nomogram score. Results: A total of 1077, 718, and 118 patients were included for model development, internal validation, and external validation, respectively. The nomogram identified eight significant prognostic factors: gender, pathological T and N stages, differentiation, surgical margin, lymphovascular invasion, number of lymph node resection, and adjuvant therapy. The nomogram showed superior discriminative capacity than TNM stage (AUC: 0.76 vs. 0.72, p < 0.01), with significant survival differences among different risk stratifications. The calibration plot illustrated a good agreement between nomogram-predicated and actual 5-year OS. Consistent results were concluded after external validation. At least 10% 5-year OS improvement from adjuvant chemoradiotherapy and chemotherapy was expected in almost all patients (nomogram score 110 to 260) and patients mainly with high-intermediate risk (nomogram score 159 to 207), respectively. Conclusions: The clinicopathological nomogram predicting 5-year OS for LA-ESCC after esophagectomy was developed with high accuracy. The proposed nomogram showed better performance than TNM stage and provided risk-dependent and individualized adjuvant treatment recommendations.

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Factors influencing the risk of recurrence in patients with esophageal carcinoma treated with surgery: A single institution analysis consisting of 1002 cases.

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Factors influencing the risk of recurrence in patients with esophageal carcinoma treated with surgery: A single institution analysis consisting of 1002 cases.

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