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EndoPredict improves the prognostic classification derived from common clinical guidelines in ER-positive, HER2-negative early breast cancer.


ABSTRACT:

Background

In early estrogen receptor (ER)-positive/HER2-negative breast cancer, the decision to administer chemotherapy is largely based on prognostic criteria. The combined molecular/clinical EndoPredict test (EPclin) has been validated to accurately assess prognosis in this population. In this study, the clinical relevance of EPclin in relation to well-established clinical guidelines is assessed.

Patients and methods

We assigned risk groups to 1702 ER-positive/HER2-negative postmenopausal women from two large phase III trials treated only with endocrine therapy. Prognosis was assigned according to National Comprehensive Cancer Center Network-, German S3-, St Gallen guidelines and the EPclin. Prognostic groups were compared using the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis.

Results

After 10 years, absolute risk reductions (ARR) between the high- and low-risk groups ranged from 6.9% to 11.2% if assigned according to guidelines. It was at 18.7% for EPclin. EPclin reassigned 58%-61% of women classified as high-/intermediate-risk (according to clinical guidelines) to low risk. Women reclassified to low risk showed a 5% rate of distant metastasis at 10 years.

Conclusion

The EPclin score is able to predict favorable prognosis in a majority of patients that clinical guidelines would assign to intermediate or high risk. EPclin may reduce the indications for chemotherapy in ER-positive postmenopausal women with a limited number of clinical risk factors.

SUBMITTER: Dubsky P 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3574544 | biostudies-literature | 2013 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

EndoPredict improves the prognostic classification derived from common clinical guidelines in ER-positive, HER2-negative early breast cancer.

Dubsky P P   Filipits M M   Jakesz R R   Rudas M M   Singer C F CF   Greil R R   Dietze O O   Luisser I I   Klug E E   Sedivy R R   Bachner M M   Mayr D D   Schmidt M M   Gehrmann M C MC   Petry C C   Weber K E KE   Kronenwett R R   Brase J C JC   Gnant M M  

Annals of oncology : official journal of the European Society for Medical Oncology 20121003 3


<h4>Background</h4>In early estrogen receptor (ER)-positive/HER2-negative breast cancer, the decision to administer chemotherapy is largely based on prognostic criteria. The combined molecular/clinical EndoPredict test (EPclin) has been validated to accurately assess prognosis in this population. In this study, the clinical relevance of EPclin in relation to well-established clinical guidelines is assessed.<h4>Patients and methods</h4>We assigned risk groups to 1702 ER-positive/HER2-negative pos  ...[more]

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