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Prediction of the Oncotype DX recurrence score: use of pathology-generated equations derived by linear regression analysis.

ABSTRACT: Oncotype DX is a commercial assay frequently used for making chemotherapy decisions in estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancers. The result is reported as a recurrence score ranging from 0 to 100, divided into low-risk (<18), intermediate-risk (18-30), and high-risk (?31) categories. Our pilot study showed that recurrence score can be predicted by an equation incorporating standard morphoimmunohistologic variables (referred to as original Magee equation). Using a data set of 817 cases, we formulated three additional equations (referred to as new Magee equations 1, 2, and 3) to predict the recurrence score category for an independent set of 255 cases. The concordance between the risk category of Oncotype DX and our equations was 54.3%, 55.8%, 59.4%, and 54.4% for original Magee equation, new Magee equations 1, 2, and 3, respectively. When the intermediate category was eliminated, the concordance increased to 96.9%, 100%, 98.6%, and 98.7% for original Magee equation, new Magee equations 1, 2, and 3, respectively. Even when the estimated recurrence score fell in the intermediate category with any of the equations, the actual recurrence score was either intermediate or low in more than 80% of the cases. Any of the four equations can be used to estimate the recurrence score depending on available data. If the estimated recurrence score is clearly high or low, the oncologists should not expect a dramatically different result from Oncotype DX, and the Oncotype DX test may not be needed. Conversely, an Oncotype DX result that is dramatically different from what is expected based on standard morphoimmunohistologic variables should be thoroughly investigated.

SUBMITTER: Klein ME

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3647116 | biostudies-literature | 2013 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Prediction of the Oncotype DX recurrence score: use of pathology-generated equations derived by linear regression analysis.

Klein Molly E ME Dabbs David J DJ Shuai Yongli Y Brufsky Adam M AM Jankowitz Rachel R Puhalla Shannon L SL Bhargava Rohit R

Modern pathology : an official journal of the United States and Canadian Academy of Pathology, Inc 20130315 5

Oncotype DX is a commercial assay frequently used for making chemotherapy decisions in estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancers. The result is reported as a recurrence score ranging from 0 to 100, divided into low-risk (<18), intermediate-risk (18-30), and high-risk (≥31) categories. Our pilot study showed that recurrence score can be predicted by an equation incorporating standard morphoimmunohistologic variables (referred to as original Magee equation). Using a data set of 817 cases, we ...[more]

PMID: 23503643

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Project description:The Oncotype DX 21-gene test can be used to predict chemotherapy efficacy in patients with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive and HER2-negative breast cancer; however, the data on the 21-gene recurrence score (RS) for mucinous breast carcinoma (MBC) are limited. The present study aimed to evaluate the distribution pattern and clinical value of the 21-gene RS in patients with MBC. A total of 38 pure MBC (PMBC) and 11 mixed MBC (MMBC) cases were retrospectively analyzed, and a total of 29 ER-positive and HER2-negative MBCs underwent the Oncotype DX 21-gene test. There were no statistically significant differences between the PMBCs and MMBCs in age, tumor size and molecular subtype; however, patients with MMBC showed a significantly higher incidence rate of nodal metastases compared with that in patients with PMBC (72.7 vs. 16.2%, respectively). Following surgery, 87.8 and 59.2% of the enrolled patients received endocrine therapy and chemotherapy, respectively. With a median follow-up of 65.6 months, the 5-year disease-free survival and overall survival rates were 97.0 and 100.0%, respectively. The 21-gene test revealed that the proportions of patients with MBC categorized into low (RS <18), intermediate (RS ≥18-30) and high (RS ≥30) risk groups were 51.7, 44.8 and 3.5%, respectively, and there was no statistically significant difference between the PMBC and MMBC cases. Notably, among the genes in the 21-gene RS testing, the expression levels of cathepsin V, progesterone receptor (PR) and CD68 were significantly higher in the PMBC group compared with that in the MMBC group. In conclusion, the current study demonstrated that patients with MBC had a favorable prognosis, and both PMBC and MMBC cases had a low- and intermediate-risk RS, which suggests that a considerable proportion of patients may be able to avoid chemotherapy. In addition, the high expression level of PR, based on the 21-gene test in PMBCs, indicated that they may have a more favorable response to endocrine therapy than MMBCs.

Dataset Information

Prediction of the Oncotype DX recurrence score: use of pathology-generated equations derived by linear regression analysis.

Publications

Prediction of the Oncotype DX recurrence score: use of pathology-generated equations derived by linear regression analysis.

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