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Algorithms for prediction of the Oncotype DX recurrence score using clinicopathologic data: a review and comparison using an independent dataset.

ABSTRACT: Given the potential savings in cost and resource utilization, several algorithms have been proposed to predict Oncotype DX recurrence score (ODX RS) using commonly acquired histopathologic variables. Although it is promising, additional independent validation of these surrogate markers is needed prior to guide the patient management.In this retrospective study, we analyzed 305 patients with invasive breast cancer at our institution who had ODX RS available. We selected five equations that provide a surrogate measure of ODX as previously published by Klein et al. (Magee equations 1-3), Gage et al., and Tang et al. All equations used estrogen receptor status and progesterone receptor status along with different combinations of grade, proliferation indices (Ki-67, mitotic rate), HER2 status, and tumor size.Of all surrogate scores tested, the Magee equation 2 provided the highest correlation with ODX both with regard to raw score (Pearson's correlation coefficient = 0.66 95% CI 0.59-0.72) and categorical correlation (Cohen's kappa = 0.43, 95% CI 0.33-0.53). Although Magee equation 2 provided a way to reliably identify high-risk disease by assigning 95% of the patients with high ODX RS to either the intermediate- or high-risk group, it was unable to reliably identify the potential for patients to have intermediate- or high-risk disease by ODX (66% of such patients identified).Although commonly available surrogates for ODX appear to predict high-risk ODX RS, they are unable to reliably rule out the presence of patients with intermediate-risk disease by ODX. Given the potential benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy in women with intermediate-risk disease by ODX, current surrogates are unable to safely substitute for ODX. Characterizing the true recurrence risk in patients with intermediate-risk disease by ODX is critical to the clinical adoption of current surrogate markers and is an area of ongoing clinical trials.

SUBMITTER: Harowicz MR

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5909985 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Algorithms for prediction of the Oncotype DX recurrence score using clinicopathologic data: a review and comparison using an independent dataset.

Harowicz Michael R MR Robinson Timothy J TJ Dinan Michaela A MA Saha Ashirbani A Marks Jeffrey R JR Marcom P Kelly PK Mazurowski Maciej A MA

Breast cancer research and treatment 20170107 1

<h4>Purpose</h4>Given the potential savings in cost and resource utilization, several algorithms have been proposed to predict Oncotype DX recurrence score (ODX RS) using commonly acquired histopathologic variables. Although it is promising, additional independent validation of these surrogate markers is needed prior to guide the patient management.<h4>Methods</h4>In this retrospective study, we analyzed 305 patients with invasive breast cancer at our institution who had ODX RS available. We sel ...[more]

PMID: 28064383

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Project description:The Oncotype DX 21-gene test can be used to predict chemotherapy efficacy in patients with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive and HER2-negative breast cancer; however, the data on the 21-gene recurrence score (RS) for mucinous breast carcinoma (MBC) are limited. The present study aimed to evaluate the distribution pattern and clinical value of the 21-gene RS in patients with MBC. A total of 38 pure MBC (PMBC) and 11 mixed MBC (MMBC) cases were retrospectively analyzed, and a total of 29 ER-positive and HER2-negative MBCs underwent the Oncotype DX 21-gene test. There were no statistically significant differences between the PMBCs and MMBCs in age, tumor size and molecular subtype; however, patients with MMBC showed a significantly higher incidence rate of nodal metastases compared with that in patients with PMBC (72.7 vs. 16.2%, respectively). Following surgery, 87.8 and 59.2% of the enrolled patients received endocrine therapy and chemotherapy, respectively. With a median follow-up of 65.6 months, the 5-year disease-free survival and overall survival rates were 97.0 and 100.0%, respectively. The 21-gene test revealed that the proportions of patients with MBC categorized into low (RS <18), intermediate (RS ≥18-30) and high (RS ≥30) risk groups were 51.7, 44.8 and 3.5%, respectively, and there was no statistically significant difference between the PMBC and MMBC cases. Notably, among the genes in the 21-gene RS testing, the expression levels of cathepsin V, progesterone receptor (PR) and CD68 were significantly higher in the PMBC group compared with that in the MMBC group. In conclusion, the current study demonstrated that patients with MBC had a favorable prognosis, and both PMBC and MMBC cases had a low- and intermediate-risk RS, which suggests that a considerable proportion of patients may be able to avoid chemotherapy. In addition, the high expression level of PR, based on the 21-gene test in PMBCs, indicated that they may have a more favorable response to endocrine therapy than MMBCs.

Dataset Information

Algorithms for prediction of the Oncotype DX recurrence score using clinicopathologic data: a review and comparison using an independent dataset.

Publications

Algorithms for prediction of the Oncotype DX recurrence score using clinicopathologic data: a review and comparison using an independent dataset.

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