Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Shi P
PROVIDER: S-EPMC3779923 | biostudies-literature | 2010 Oct
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Epidemiology and infection 20100217 10
As the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic (H1N1) has shown, public health decision-makers may have to predict the subsequent course and severity of a pandemic. We developed an agent-based simulation model and used data from the state of Georgia to explore the influence of viral mutation and seasonal effects on the course of an influenza pandemic. We showed that when a pandemic begins in April certain conditions can lead to a second wave in autumn (e.g. the degree of seasonality exceeding 0.30, or the ...[more]