Dataset Information

Clinical characteristics associated with adverse events in patients with exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a prospective cohort study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

To assist physicians with difficult decisions about hospital admission for patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) presenting in the emergency department, we sought to identify clinical characteristics associated with serious adverse events.

Methods

We conducted this prospective cohort study in 6 large Canadian academic emergency departments. Patients were assessed for standardized clinical variables and then followed for serious adverse events, defined as death, intubation, admission to a monitored unit or new visit to the emergency department requiring admission.

Results

We enrolled 945 patients, of whom 354 (37.5%) were admitted to hospital. Of 74 (7.8%) patients with a subsequent serious adverse event, 36 (49%) had not been admitted after the initial emergency visit. Multivariable modelling identified 5 variables that were independently associated with adverse events: prior intubation, initial heart rate ? 110/minute, being too ill to do a walk test, hemoglobin < 100 g/L and urea ? 12 mmol/L. A preliminary risk scale incorporating these and 5 other clinical variables produced risk categories ranging from 2.2% for a score of 0 to 91.4% for a score of 10. Using a risk score of 2 or higher as a threshold for admission would capture all patients with a predicted risk of adverse events of 7.2% or higher, while only slightly increasing admission rates, from 37.5% to 43.2%.

Interpretation

In Canada, many patients with COPD suffer a serious adverse event or death after being discharged home from the emergency department. We identified high-risk characteristics and developed a preliminary risk scale that, once validated, could be used to stratify the likelihood of poor outcomes and to enable rational and safe admission decisions.

SUBMITTER: Stiell IG

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3971051 | biostudies-literature | 2014 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Clinical characteristics associated with adverse events in patients with exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a prospective cohort study.

Stiell Ian G IG Clement Catherine M CM Aaron Shawn D SD Rowe Brian H BH Perry Jeffrey J JJ Brison Robert J RJ Calder Lisa A LA Lang Eddy E Borgundvaag Bjug B Forster Alan J AJ Wells George A GA

CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne 20140218 6

<h4>Background</h4>To assist physicians with difficult decisions about hospital admission for patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) presenting in the emergency department, we sought to identify clinical characteristics associated with serious adverse events.<h4>Methods</h4>We conducted this prospective cohort study in 6 large Canadian academic emergency departments. Patients were assessed for standardized clinical variables and then followed for serious ...[more]

PMID: 24549125

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Project description:ObjectivesThe Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) 2017 classified chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients into more and less symptomatic groups. This study aimed to analyze the clinical characteristics, risk of future exacerbation and mortality among patients in more symptomatic group.DesignA retrospective cohort study.SettingData were obtained from patients enrolled in a database setup by Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University.Participants1729 stable COPD patients listed from September 2017 to December 2019 in the database. The patients were classified into more and less symptomatic groups based on GOLD 2017 report.OutcomesAll patients were followed up for 18 months. We collected baseline data and recorded the number of exacerbations and mortality during follow-up.ResultsThe more symptomatic patients were older, had higher Clinical COPD Questionnaire (CCQ) scores, more severe airflow limitation and higher number of exacerbations and hospitalizations in the past year (P < 0.05). Logistic regression showed that having more symptoms correlated with the CCQ scores and exacerbations in the past year (P < 0.05). After patients were followed up, there were higher numbers of exacerbations, hospitalizations and mortality rates in more symptomatic patients (P < 0.05). The multivariate model showed that age more than 65 years (OR = 2.047, 95% CI = 1.020-4.107) and COPD assessment test scores more than 30 (OR = 2.609, 95% CI = 1.339-5.085) were independent risk factors for mortality, whereas current smoker (OR = 1.565, 95% CI = 1.052-2.328), modified Medical Research Council scores (OR = 1.274, 95% CI = 1.073-1.512) and exacerbations in the past year (OR = 1.061, 95% CI = 1.013-1.112) were independent risk factors for exacerbation in more symptomatic patients (P < 0.05).ConclusionsMore symptomatic COPD patients have worse outcomes. In addition, several independent risk factors for exacerbation and mortality were identified. Therefore, clinicians should be aware of these risk factors and take them into account during interventions.

Project description:BackgroundThe clinical value of blood eosinophils and their stability in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) remains controversial. There are limited studies on association between the stability of blood eosinophils in acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD) and clinical outcomes. This study aimed to evaluate the stability of blood eosinophils in hospitalized AECOPD and its relationship to clinical outcomes.MethodsThis prospective observational study recruited patients hospitalized with AECOPD from November 2016 to July 2020. The eligible patients were divided into four groups according to their blood eosinophil counts at admission and discharge: persistently < 300 cells/μl (LL), < 300 cells/μl at admission but ≥ 300 cells/µl at discharge (LH), ≥ 300 cells/μl at admission but < 300 cells/µl at discharge (HL), and persistently ≥ 300 cells/μl (HH). Cox hazard analyses were used to study the association between eosinophil changes and exacerbations or mortality.ResultsIn 530 patients included, 90 (17.0%) had a high blood eosinophil count (BEC) ≥ 300 cells/µl at admission but 32 (35.6%) of them showed a decreased BEC at discharge. The proportions and distribution for group LL, LH, HL, and HH were 381 (71.9%), 59 (11.1%), 32 (6.0%), and 58 (10.9%), respectively. During hospitalization, the LH group had a higher C-reactive protein level, higher rate of intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and higher total cost. The length of hospital stay of the LH group was longer compared with group LL, HL, or HH (P = 0.002, 0.017, and 0.001, respectively). During a follow-up of 12 months, the HH group was associated with a higher risk of moderate-to-severe exacerbations compared to the LL group (hazard ratio 2.00, 95% confidence interval 1.30-3.08, P = 0.002). Eosinophil changes had no significant association with mortality at 12 months. Sensitivity analyses in patients without asthma and without use of systemic corticosteroids prior to admission did not alter the results.ConclusionsMore attention should be paid to the LH group when evaluating the short-term prognosis of AECOPD. A persistently high BEC was a risk factor for long-term exacerbations. Eosinophil changes during hospitalization could help to predict outcomes.

Project description:BACKGROUND:Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a common chronic disease. Exacerbations of COPD (eCOPD) contribute to the worsening of the disease and the patient's evolution. There are some clinical prediction rules that may help to stratify patients with eCOPD by their risk of poor evolution or adverse events. The translation of these clinical prediction rules into computer applications would allow their implementation in clinical practice. OBJECTIVE:The goal of this study was to create a computer application to predict various outcomes related to adverse events of short-term evolution in eCOPD patients attending an emergency department (ED) based on valid and reliable clinical prediction rules. METHODS:A computer application, Prediction of Evolution of patients with eCOPD (PrEveCOPD), was created to predict 2 outcomes related to adverse events: (1) mortality during hospital admission or within a week after an ED visit and (2) admission to an intensive care unit (ICU) or an intermediate respiratory care unit (IRCU) during the eCOPD episode. The algorithms included in the computer tool were based on clinical prediction rules previously developed and validated within the Investigación en Resultados y Servicios de Salud COPD study. The app was developed for Windows and Android systems, using Visual Studio 2008 and Eclipse, respectively. RESULTS:The PrEveCOPD computer application implements the prediction models previously developed and validated for 2 relevant adverse events in the short-term evolution of patients with eCOPD. The application runs under Windows and Android systems and it can be used locally or remotely as a Web application. Full description of the clinical prediction rules as well as the original references is included on the screen. Input of the predictive variables is controlled for out-of-range and missing values. Language can be switched between English and Spanish. The application is available for downloading and installing on a computer, as a mobile app, or to be used remotely via internet. CONCLUSIONS:The PrEveCOPD app shows how clinical prediction rules can be summarized into simple and easy to use tools, which allow for the estimation of the risk of short-term mortality and ICU or IRCU admission for patients with eCOPD. The app can be used on any computer device, including mobile phones or tablets, and it can guide the clinicians to a valid stratification of patients attending the ED with eCOPD. TRIAL REGISTRATION:ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00102401; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/results/NCT02434536 (Archived by WebCite at http://www.webcitation.org/76iwTxYuA). INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID):RR2-10.1186/1472-6963-11-322.

Project description:BackgroundAcute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) is a clinical syndrome with various causes. It is not uncommon that COPD patients presenting with dyspnea have multiple causes for their symptoms including AECOPD, pneumonia, or congestive heart failure occurring concurrently.MethodsTo identify clinical, radiographic, and laboratory characteristics that might help distinguish AECOPD from another dominant disease in patients with a history of COPD, we conducted a retrospective cohort study of hospitalized patients with admitting diagnosis of AECOPD who were screened for a prospective randomized controlled trial from Sep 2016 to Mar 2018. Clinical characteristics, course in hospital, and final diagnosis at discharge were reviewed and adjudicated by two authors. The final diagnosis of each patient was determined based on the synthesis of all presenting signs and symptoms, imaging, and laboratory results. We adhered to AECOPD diagnosis definitions based on the GOLD guidelines. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify any associated features of AECOPD with and without other acute processes contributing to dyspnea.ResultsThree hundred fifteen hospitalized patients with admitting diagnosis of AECOPD were included. Mean age was 72.5 (SD 10.6) years. Two thirds (65.4%) had spirometry defined COPD. The most common presenting symptom was dyspnea (96.5%), followed by cough (67.9%), and increased sputum (57.5%). One hundred and eighty (57.1%) had a final diagnosis of AECOPD alone whereas 87 (27.6%) had AECOPD with other conditions and 48 (15.2%) did not have AECOPD after adjudication. Increased sputum purulence (OR 3.35, 95%CI 1.68-6.69) and elevated venous pCO2 (OR 1.04, 95%CI 1.01 - 1.07) were associated with a diagnosis of AECOPD but these were not associated with AECOPD alone without concomitant conditions. Radiographic evidence of pleural effusion (OR 0.26, 95%CI 0.12 - 0.58) was negatively associated with AECOPD with or without other conditions while radiographic evidence of pulmonary edema (OR 0.31; 95%CI 0.11 - 0.91) and lobar pneumonia (OR 0.13, 95%CI 0.07 - 0.25) suggested against the diagnosis of AECOPD alone.ConclusionThe study highlighted the complexity and difficulty of AECOPD diagnosis. A more specific clinical tool to diagnose AECOPD is needed.

Dataset Information

Clinical characteristics associated with adverse events in patients with exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a prospective cohort study.

Background

Methods

Results

Interpretation

Publications

Clinical characteristics associated with adverse events in patients with exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a prospective cohort study.

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