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Cost-effectiveness of the children's oncology group long-term follow-up screening guidelines for childhood cancer survivors at risk for treatment-related heart failure.


ABSTRACT:

Background

Childhood cancer survivors treated with anthracyclines are at high risk for asymptomatic left ventricular dysfunction (ALVD), subsequent heart failure, and death. The consensus-based Children's Oncology Group (COG) Long-Term Follow-up Guidelines recommend lifetime echocardiographic screening for ALVD.

Objective

To evaluate the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of the COG guidelines and to identify more cost-effective screening strategies.

Design

Simulation of life histories using Markov health states.

Data sources

Childhood Cancer Survivor Study; published literature.

Target population

Childhood cancer survivors.

Time horizon

Lifetime.

Perspective

Societal.

Intervention

Echocardiographic screening followed by angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitor and β-blocker therapies after ALVD diagnosis.

Outcome measures

Quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), costs, incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) in dollars per QALY, and cumulative incidence of heart failure.

Results of base-case analysis

The COG guidelines versus no screening have an ICER of $61 500, extend life expectancy by 6 months and QALYs by 1.6 months, and reduce the cumulative incidence of heart failure by 18% at 30 years after cancer diagnosis. However, less frequent screenings are more cost-effective than the guidelines and maintain 80% of the health benefits.

Results of sensitivity analysis

The ICER was most sensitive to the magnitude of ALVD treatment efficacy; higher treatment efficacy resulted in lower ICER.

Limitation

Lifetime non-heart failure mortality and the cumulative incidence of heart failure more than 20 years after diagnosis were extrapolated; the efficacy of ACE inhibitor and β-blocker therapy in childhood cancer survivors with ALVD is undetermined (or unknown).

Conclusion

The COG guidelines could reduce the risk for heart failure in survivors at less than $100 000/QALY. Less frequent screening achieves most of the benefits and would be more cost-effective than the COG guidelines.

SUBMITTER: Wong FL 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4073480 | biostudies-literature | 2014 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Cost-effectiveness of the children's oncology group long-term follow-up screening guidelines for childhood cancer survivors at risk for treatment-related heart failure.

Wong F Lennie FL   Bhatia Smita S   Landier Wendy W   Francisco Liton L   Leisenring Wendy W   Hudson Melissa M MM   Armstrong Gregory T GT   Mertens Ann A   Stovall Marilyn M   Robison Leslie L LL   Lyman Gary H GH   Lipshultz Steven E SE   Armenian Saro H SH  

Annals of internal medicine 20140501 10


<h4>Background</h4>Childhood cancer survivors treated with anthracyclines are at high risk for asymptomatic left ventricular dysfunction (ALVD), subsequent heart failure, and death. The consensus-based Children's Oncology Group (COG) Long-Term Follow-up Guidelines recommend lifetime echocardiographic screening for ALVD.<h4>Objective</h4>To evaluate the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of the COG guidelines and to identify more cost-effective screening strategies.<h4>Design</h4>Simulation of life  ...[more]

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