Project description:PAPER 1:"Identification of novel subgroups of high-risk pediatric precursor B acute lymphoblastic leukemia (B-ALL) by unsupervised microarray analysis: clinical correlates and therapeutic implications. A Children's Oncology Group (COG) study." ABSTRACT We examined gene expression profiles of pre-treatment specimens from 207 patients from the COG P9906 study to identify signatures of children with high risk B-precursor acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) and to determine whether the resulting clusters are associated with either specific clinical features or treatment response characteristics. Four unsupervised clustering methods were utilized to classify patients into similar groups. The different clustering algorithms showed significant overlap in cluster membership. Two clusters contained all cases with either t(1;19)(q23;p13) translocations or MLL rearrangements. The other six clusters were novel and had no recurring chromosomal abnormalities or distinctive clinical features. Members of two of these novel clusters had significant survival differences when compared to the overall 4-year relapse-free survival (RFS) of 61%. These included clusters of patients with either significantly better (94.7%) or worse (21.0%) RFS at 4 years. Children of Hispanic/Latino ethnicity were disproportionately present in the poor outcome cluster. The poor outcome cluster represents a novel biologically distinctive subset of B-precursor ALL that may occur at least as frequently as BCR/ABL. Further molecular characterization of this cluster may lead to the discovery of genomic abnormalities that can be targeted to improve the currently dismal outcome for children with this gene signature. The Sample data have also been used in another study: PAPER 2: "Gene expression classifiers for minimal residual disease and relapse free survival improve outcome prediction and risk classification in children with high risk acute lymphoblastic leukemia. A Children's Oncology Group study". ABSTRACT Background. Nearly 25% of children with B-precursor ALL present with "high-risk" disease (HR-ALL) that is resistant to current therapies. Gene expression profiling may yield molecular classifiers for outcome prediction that can be used to improve risk classification and therapeutic targeting. Methods. Expression profiles were obtained in pre-treatment leukemic samples from 207 uniformly treated children with HR-ALL. Relapse free survival (RFS) was 61% at 4 years and flow cytometric measures of minimal residual disease (MRD) at the end of induction (day 29) were predictive of outcome (P<0.001). Molecular classifiers predictive of RFS and MRD were developed using extensive cross-validation procedures. Results. A 38 gene molecular risk classifier predictive of RFS (MRC-RFS) distinguished two groups in HR-ALL with different relapse risks: low (4 yr RFS: 81%, n=109) vs. high (4 yr RFS: 50%, n=98) (P<0.0001). In multivariate analysis, the best predictor combined MRC-RFS and day 29 flow MRD data, classifying children into low (87% RFS), intermediate (62% RFS), or high risk (29% RFS) groups (P<0.0001). A 21 gene molecular classifier predictive of MRD could effectively substitute for day 29 flow MRD, yielding a combined classifier that similarly distinguished three risk groups at pre-treatment (low: 82% RFS; intermediate: 63% RFS; and high risk: 45% RFS) (P<0.0001). This combined molecular classifier was further validated on an independent cohort of 84 children with HR-ALL (P = 0.006). Conclusions. Molecular classifiers predictive of RFS and MRD can be used to distinguish distinct prognostic groups within HR-ALL, significantly improving risk classification schemes and the ability to prospectively identify children at diagnosis who will respond to or fail current treatment regimens. NOTE: Due to Children's Oncology Group (COG) restrictions, outcome and MRD data cannot be provided as part of the covariate data for this dataset at the present time. If you would like to arrange individual access to this data, please contact COG or the PI of this study, Dr. Cheryl Willman, at the University of New Mexico Cancer Center (cwillman@unm.edu) to arrange a collaboration. Unsupervised clustering and supervised risk classification analyses of 207 diagnostic samples and associated clinical covariate data. See the Summary for greater details. The data were analyzed using Microarray Suite version 5.0 (MAS 5.0) in the Affymetrix Gene Chip Operating Software Version 1.4. Probe masking was used (see 9906_TT207_Affymetrix_probe_mask.msk, linked below as a supplementary file). Otherwise all Affymetrix default parameter settings were used. Global scaling as the normalization method, with the default target intensity of 500, was used.

Project description:PAPER 1:"Identification of novel subgroups of high-risk pediatric precursor B acute lymphoblastic leukemia (B-ALL) by unsupervised microarray analysis: clinical correlates and therapeutic implications. A Children's Oncology Group (COG) study." ABSTRACT We examined gene expression profiles of pre-treatment specimens from 207 patients from the COG P9906 study to identify signatures of children with high risk B-precursor acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) and to determine whether the resulting clusters are associated with either specific clinical features or treatment response characteristics. Four unsupervised clustering methods were utilized to classify patients into similar groups. The different clustering algorithms showed significant overlap in cluster membership. Two clusters contained all cases with either t(1;19)(q23;p13) translocations or MLL rearrangements. The other six clusters were novel and had no recurring chromosomal abnormalities or distinctive clinical features. Members of two of these novel clusters had significant survival differences when compared to the overall 4-year relapse-free survival (RFS) of 61%. These included clusters of patients with either significantly better (94.7%) or worse (21.0%) RFS at 4 years. Children of Hispanic/Latino ethnicity were disproportionately present in the poor outcome cluster. The poor outcome cluster represents a novel biologically distinctive subset of B-precursor ALL that may occur at least as frequently as BCR/ABL. Further molecular characterization of this cluster may lead to the discovery of genomic abnormalities that can be targeted to improve the currently dismal outcome for children with this gene signature. The Sample data have also been used in another study: PAPER 2: "Gene expression classifiers for minimal residual disease and relapse free survival improve outcome prediction and risk classification in children with high risk acute lymphoblastic leukemia. A Children's Oncology Group study". ABSTRACT Background. Nearly 25% of children with B-precursor ALL present with "high-risk" disease (HR-ALL) that is resistant to current therapies. Gene expression profiling may yield molecular classifiers for outcome prediction that can be used to improve risk classification and therapeutic targeting. Methods. Expression profiles were obtained in pre-treatment leukemic samples from 207 uniformly treated children with HR-ALL. Relapse free survival (RFS) was 61% at 4 years and flow cytometric measures of minimal residual disease (MRD) at the end of induction (day 29) were predictive of outcome (P<0.001). Molecular classifiers predictive of RFS and MRD were developed using extensive cross-validation procedures. Results. A 38 gene molecular risk classifier predictive of RFS (MRC-RFS) distinguished two groups in HR-ALL with different relapse risks: low (4 yr RFS: 81%, n=109) vs. high (4 yr RFS: 50%, n=98) (P<0.0001). In multivariate analysis, the best predictor combined MRC-RFS and day 29 flow MRD data, classifying children into low (87% RFS), intermediate (62% RFS), or high risk (29% RFS) groups (P<0.0001). A 21 gene molecular classifier predictive of MRD could effectively substitute for day 29 flow MRD, yielding a combined classifier that similarly distinguished three risk groups at pre-treatment (low: 82% RFS; intermediate: 63% RFS; and high risk: 45% RFS) (P<0.0001). This combined molecular classifier was further validated on an independent cohort of 84 children with HR-ALL (P = 0.006). Conclusions. Molecular classifiers predictive of RFS and MRD can be used to distinguish distinct prognostic groups within HR-ALL, significantly improving risk classification schemes and the ability to prospectively identify children at diagnosis who will respond to or fail current treatment regimens. NOTE: Due to Children's Oncology Group (COG) restrictions, outcome and MRD data cannot be provided as part of the covariate data for this dataset at the present time. If you would like to arrange individual access to this data, please contact COG or the PI of this study, Dr. Cheryl Willman, at the University of New Mexico Cancer Center (cwillman@unm.edu) to arrange a collaboration.

Project description:BackgroundChildhood cancer survivors treated with anthracyclines are at high risk for asymptomatic left ventricular dysfunction (ALVD), subsequent heart failure, and death. The consensus-based Children's Oncology Group (COG) Long-Term Follow-up Guidelines recommend lifetime echocardiographic screening for ALVD.ObjectiveTo evaluate the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of the COG guidelines and to identify more cost-effective screening strategies.DesignSimulation of life histories using Markov health states.Data sourcesChildhood Cancer Survivor Study; published literature.Target populationChildhood cancer survivors.Time horizonLifetime.PerspectiveSocietal.InterventionEchocardiographic screening followed by angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitor and β-blocker therapies after ALVD diagnosis.Outcome measuresQuality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), costs, incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) in dollars per QALY, and cumulative incidence of heart failure.Results of base-case analysisThe COG guidelines versus no screening have an ICER of $61 500, extend life expectancy by 6 months and QALYs by 1.6 months, and reduce the cumulative incidence of heart failure by 18% at 30 years after cancer diagnosis. However, less frequent screenings are more cost-effective than the guidelines and maintain 80% of the health benefits.Results of sensitivity analysisThe ICER was most sensitive to the magnitude of ALVD treatment efficacy; higher treatment efficacy resulted in lower ICER.LimitationLifetime non-heart failure mortality and the cumulative incidence of heart failure more than 20 years after diagnosis were extrapolated; the efficacy of ACE inhibitor and β-blocker therapy in childhood cancer survivors with ALVD is undetermined (or unknown).ConclusionThe COG guidelines could reduce the risk for heart failure in survivors at less than $100 000/QALY. Less frequent screening achieves most of the benefits and would be more cost-effective than the COG guidelines.

Dataset Information

Cardiometabolic Risk in Childhood Cancer Survivors: A Report from the Children's Oncology Group.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Impact

Publications

Cardiometabolic Risk in Childhood Cancer Survivors: A Report from the Children's Oncology Group.

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