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A standardized bleeding risk score aligns anticoagulation choices with current evidence.

ABSTRACT: Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most common arrhythmia in elderly patients, accounts for 15% of strokes. Oral anticoagulation (OAC) can reduce the risk of stroke by 60% but is underprescribed. The HAS-BLED score (Hypertension, Abnormal renal or liver function, Stroke, Bleeding, Labile INR, Elderly, Drugs) can predict OAC bleeding complications. The authors hypothesized that use of HAS-BLED can help align decision making with current evidence.The authors developed a survey with four clinical vignettes designed to highlight the complexity in deciding whether to anticoagulate elderly patients with AF. Physicians were randomly assigned to receive the survey either including the HAS-BLED score and the estimated annual risk of bleeding (intervention) or without (control). Following each vignette, participants were asked: (1) whether they would recommend OAC and (2) to estimate the risk of bleeding and stroke. The "appropriate" anticoagulation decision was defined as the choice that minimized the risk of stroke and major bleeding.A total of 203 physicians were recruited for the survey, with 55 responses obtained (27%). Physicians who were given the HAS-BLED score were 18% more likely to choose appropriate anticoagulation (74% vs. 56%, P < .05). The HAS-BLED score assisted physicians in both choosing to anticoagulate when appropriate and not to anticoagulate when the risk of bleeding outweighed the benefit. Overall, physicians were poor at estimating the risk of stroke (42% correct) and major bleeding (31% correct).Presentation of the HAS-BLED score led to an 18% improvement in appropriate OAC choices. Future study should evaluate incorporation of HAS-BLED use in real-time clinical situations.

SUBMITTER: Berger AS

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4112479 | biostudies-literature | 2014 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A standardized bleeding risk score aligns anticoagulation choices with current evidence.

Berger Arielle S AS Dunn Andrew S AS Kelley Amy S AS

Critical pathways in cardiology 20140901 3

<h4>Objectives</h4>Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most common arrhythmia in elderly patients, accounts for 15% of strokes. Oral anticoagulation (OAC) can reduce the risk of stroke by 60% but is underprescribed. The HAS-BLED score (Hypertension, Abnormal renal or liver function, Stroke, Bleeding, Labile INR, Elderly, Drugs) can predict OAC bleeding complications. The authors hypothesized that use of HAS-BLED can help align decision making with current evidence.<h4>Methods</h4>The authors developed ...[more]

PMID: 25062395

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Project description:ObjectiveTo evaluate performance of the ABC (Age, Biomarkers, Clinical history)-bleeding risk score in estimating major bleeding risk in Chinese patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) on oral anticoagulation (OAC) therapy in real-world practice.MethodsData were collected from the Chinese Atrial Fibrillation Registry study (CAFR). Patients were stratified into low-, medium-, and high-risk groups based on ABC-bleeding risk score with 1-year major bleeding risk (<1%, 1-2%, and > 2%) and modified HAS-BLED score (≤1, 2, and > 2 points). Cox proportional-hazards (Cox-PH) models were used to determine the association of major bleeding incidence with bleeding scores. Harrell's C-index of the two scores were compared. Net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) at 1 year were employed to evaluate the reclassification capacity. The calibration curve was plotted to compare the predicted major bleeding risk using ABC-bleeding risk score with the observed annualized event rate. The decision analysis curves (DCA) were performed to show the clinical utilization of two scores in identifying major bleeding events.ResultsThe study included 2,892 AF patients on OAC therapy. After the follow-up of 3.0 years, 48 patients had major bleeding events; the incidence of a bleeding event in the low-, medium-, and high-risk groups according to ABC-bleeding risk score was 0.31% (reference group, HR = 1.00),0.51% (HR = 1.83, 95%CI: 0.91-3.69, P = 0.09), and 1.49% (HR = 4.92, 95%CI: 2.34-10.30, P < 0.001), respectively. Major bleeding incidence had an independent association with growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) level (HR = 2.16, 95%CI: 1.27-3.68, P = 0.005) after adjusting components of the HAS-BLED score and cTnT-hs level. The ABC-bleeding score showed a Harrell's C-index of 0.67 (95%CI: 0.60-0.75) in estimating major bleeding risk, which was non-significant compared to the modified HAS-BLED score (0.67 vs. 0.63; P = 0.38). NRI and IDI also revealed comparable reclassification capacity of ABC-bleeding risk score compared with HAS-BLED score (14.6%, 95%CI: -10.2%, 39.4%, P = 0.25; 0.2%, 95%CI -0.1 to 0.9%, P = 0.64). Cross-tabulation of the two scores showed that the ABC-bleeding score outperformed the HAS-BLED score in identifying patients with a high risk of major bleeding. The calibration curve showed that the ABC-bleeding risk score overestimated the observed major bleeding risk. DCA did not show any difference in net benefit when using either of the scores.ConclusionThis study verified the value of the ABC-bleeding risk score in assessing major bleeding risk in Chinese patients with AF on OAC therapy in real-world practice. Despite the overestimation of major bleeding risk, ABC-bleeding score performed better in stratifying patients with a high risk than the modified HAS-BLED score. Combining the two scores could be a clinically practical strategy for precisely stratifying AF patients, especially those at a high risk of major bleeding, and further supporting the optimization of OAC treatment.

Project description:ObjectiveTo determine the strength of evidence supporting an accentuated bleeding risk when patients with CHADS(2) risk factors (chronic heart failure, hypertension, advanced age, diabetes, and prior stroke/transient ischemic attack) receive warfarin.MethodsA systematic literature search of MEDLINE (January 1, 1950, through December 22, 2009) and Cochrane CENTRAL (through December 22, 2009) was conducted to identify studies that reported multivariate results on the association between CHADS(2) covariates and risk of bleeding in patients receiving warfarin. Each covariate was evaluated for its association with a specific type of bleeding. Individual evaluations were rated as good, fair, or poor using methods consistent with those recommended by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality. The strength of the associations between each CHADS(2) covariate and a specific type of bleeding was determined using Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation criteria as insufficient, very low, low, moderate, or high for the entire body of evidence.ResultsForty-one studies were identified, reporting 127 multivariate evaluations of the association between a CHADS(2) covariate and bleeding risk. No CHADS(2) covariate had a high strength of evidence for association with any bleeding type. For the vast majority of evaluations, the strength of evidence between covariates and bleeding was low. Advanced age was the only covariate that had a moderate strength of evidence for association; this was the strongest independent positive predictor for major bleeding. Similar findings were observed regardless of whether all included studies, or only those evaluating patients with atrial fibrillation, were assessed.ConclusionThe associations between CHADS(2) covariates and increased bleeding risk were weak, with the exception of age. Given the known association of the CHADS(2) score and stroke risk, the decision to prescribe warfarin should be driven more by patients' risk of stroke than by the risk of bleeding.

Project description:BackgroundGastrointestinal bleeding (GIB) is a common and often serious complication after stroke. Although several risk factors for post-stroke GIB have been identified, no reliable or validated scoring system is currently available to predict GIB after acute stroke in routine clinical practice or clinical trials. In the present study, we aimed to develop and validate a risk model (acute ischemic stroke associated gastrointestinal bleeding score, the AIS-GIB score) to predict in-hospital GIB after acute ischemic stroke.MethodsThe AIS-GIB score was developed from data in the China National Stroke Registry (CNSR). Eligible patients in the CNSR were randomly divided into derivation (60%) and internal validation (40%) cohorts. External validation was performed using data from the prospective Chinese Intracranial Atherosclerosis Study (CICAS). Independent predictors of in-hospital GIB were obtained using multivariable logistic regression in the derivation cohort, and ?-coefficients were used to generate point scoring system for the AIS-GIB. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test were used to assess model discrimination and calibration, respectively.ResultsA total of 8,820, 5,882, and 2,938 patients were enrolled in the derivation, internal validation and external validation cohorts. The overall in-hospital GIB after AIS was 2.6%, 2.3%, and 1.5% in the derivation, internal, and external validation cohort, respectively. An 18-point AIS-GIB score was developed from the set of independent predictors of GIB including age, gender, history of hypertension, hepatic cirrhosis, peptic ulcer or previous GIB, pre-stroke dependence, admission National Institutes of Health stroke scale score, Glasgow Coma Scale score and stroke subtype (Oxfordshire). The AIS-GIB score showed good discrimination in the derivation (0.79; 95% CI, 0.764-0.825), internal (0.78; 95% CI, 0.74-0.82) and external (0.76; 95% CI, 0.71-0.82) validation cohorts. The AIS-GIB score was well calibrated in the derivation (P = 0.42), internal (P = 0.45) and external (P = 0.86) validation cohorts.ConclusionThe AIS-GIB score is a valid clinical grading scale to predict in-hospital GIB after AIS. Further studies on the effect of the AIS-GIB score on reducing GIB and improving outcome after AIS are warranted.

Project description:BackgroundThe predictive value of bleeding risk scores for atrial fibrillation in older patients is not as well known. The goal of this study was to evaluate the predictive value of HASBLED, ORBIT and ATRIA for major bleeding (MB) and intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) in patients ≥ 75 years with atrial fibrillation and oral anticoagulation (OAC).MethodsA retrospective unicenter study including patients ≥ 75 years with atrial fibrillation (AF) and OAC. A total of 7613 patients ≥ 75 years with AF and OAC included between 2014 and 2018 (registry: NCT04364516). We analyzed the discriminative value of HASBLED, ATRIA and ORBIT scores for bleeding endpoints (major bleeding as primary endpoint and intracerebral hemorrhage as secondary). Cox regression was used to predict major bleeding with each scale and also for searching other variables potentially predictor of major bleeding. Model discrimination was assessed using Harrell's C-statistic. Calibration was assessed with goodness-of-fit test proposed by Gronnesby and Borgan.ResultsDuring a mean follow up of 4.0 years (IQR: 2.4-5.7 years), 729 patients developed MB (2.61 per 100 patients/year) and 243 patients developed ICH (0.85 per 100 patients/year). Three scores showed a low discrimination for major bleeding, being ORBIT the best (HASBLED C statistic = 0.557; ATRIA C statistic = 0.568; ORBIT C statistic = 0.595) and also a low discrimination for ICH (HASBLED C statistic = 0.509; ATRIA C statistic = 0.522; ORBIT C statistic = 0.526). Among the variables that are part of the scores and other baseline characteristics, after multivariable adjustment only sex (male), dementia, prior admission for bleeding, anemia and liver disease were found as a predictors of MB.ConclusionsIn older patients under oral anticoagulation with atrial fibrillation, the risk scores HASBLED, ATRIA and ORBIT showed a weak discrimination for major bleeding and intracranial hemorrhage. Therefore, other better alternatives should be evaluated for this purpose.

Project description:BackgroundRecommended regular saline flushing presents clinical ineffectiveness for hemodialysis (HD) patients at high risk of bleeding with heparin contraindication. Regional citrate anticoagulation (RCA) has previously been used with a Ca2+ containing dialysate with prefiltered citrate in one arm (RCA-one). However, anticoagulation is not always achievable and up to 40% results in serious clotting in the venous expansion chamber. In this study, we have transferred one-quarter of the TSC from the prefiltered to the post filter based on RCA-one, which we have called RCA-two. The objective of this study was to compare the efficacy and safety of RCA-two with either saline flushing or RCA-one in HD patients with a high bleeding risk.MethodIn this investigator-initiated, multicenter, controlled, prospective, randomized clinical trial, 52 HD patients (77 sessions) were randomized to the RCA-2 and RCA-one group in part one of the trial, and 45 patients (64 sessions) were randomized to the RCA-2 and saline group in part two of the trial. Serious clotting events, adverse events and blood analyses were recorded.ResultsSerious clotting events in the RCA-two group were significantly lower compared with the RCA-one and saline group (7.89% vs. 30.77%, P = 0.011; 3.03% vs. 54.84%, P < 0.001, respectively). The median circuit survival time was 240 min (IQR 240 to 240) in the RCA-two group, was significantly longer than 230 min (IQR 155 to 240, P < 0.001) in the RCA-one group and 210 min (IQR 135 to 240, P = 0.003) in the saline group. The majority of the AEs were hypotension, hypoglycemia and chest tightness, most of which were mild in intensity. Eight patients (20.51%) in the RCA-one group, 4 patients (12.90%) in the saline group and 10 patients (26.31%) in the RCA-two group, P > 0.05.ConclusionsOur data demonstrated that the modified anticoagulation protocol was more effective and feasible during hemodialysis therapy for patients at high risk of bleeding.Trial registrationGDREC, GDREC2017250H. Registered February 2, 2018; retrospectively registered.

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A standardized bleeding risk score aligns anticoagulation choices with current evidence.

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A standardized bleeding risk score aligns anticoagulation choices with current evidence.

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