Dataset Information

Atrial fibrillation as a marker of occult cancer.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Recent studies suggest that cancer increases risk of atrial fibrillation. Whether atrial fibrillation is a marker for underlying occult cancer is unknown.

Methods

We conducted a cohort study (1980-2011) of all Danish patients with new-onset atrial fibrillation. To examine cancer risk, we computed absolute risk at 3 months and standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) by comparing observed cancer incidence among patients newly diagnosed with atrial fibrillation with that expected based on national cancer incidence during the period.

Results

Median follow-up time was 3.4 years among 269 742 atrial fibrillation patients. Within 3 months of follow-up, 6656 cancers occurred (absolute risk, 2.5%; 95% confidence intervals [CI], 2.4%-2.5%) versus 1302 expected, yielding a SIR of 5.11; 95% CI, 4.99-5.24. Associations were particularly strong for cancers of the lung, kidney, colon, ovary, and for non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. The SIR within 3 months of follow-up was 7.02; 95% CI, 6.76-7.28 for metastatic and 3.53; 95% CI, 3.38-3.68 for localized cancer. Beyond 3 months of follow-up, overall cancer risk was modestly increased (SIR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.12-1.15).

Conclusion

Patients with new-onset atrial fibrillation had a markedly increased relative risk of a cancer diagnosis within the next three months, however, corresponding absolute risk was small.

SUBMITTER: Ostenfeld EB

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4138009 | biostudies-literature | 2014

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Atrial fibrillation as a marker of occult cancer.

Ostenfeld Eva B EB Erichsen Rune R Pedersen Lars L Farkas Dóra K DK Weiss Noel S NS Sørensen Henrik T HT

PloS one 20140813 8

<h4>Background</h4>Recent studies suggest that cancer increases risk of atrial fibrillation. Whether atrial fibrillation is a marker for underlying occult cancer is unknown.<h4>Methods</h4>We conducted a cohort study (1980-2011) of all Danish patients with new-onset atrial fibrillation. To examine cancer risk, we computed absolute risk at 3 months and standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) by comparing observed cancer incidence among patients newly diagnosed with atrial fibrillation with that expe ...[more]

PMID: 25119880

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Project description:IntroductionLong-term cardiac monitoring studies have unveiled low-burden, occult atrial fibrillation (AF) in some patients with otherwise cryptogenic stroke (CS), but occult AF is also found in some individuals without a stroke history and in patients with stroke of a known cause (KS). Clinical management would be aided by estimates of how often occult AF in a patient with CS is causal vs. incidental.MethodsThrough a systematic search, we identified all case-control and cohort studies applying identical long-term monitoring techniques to both patients with CS and KS. We performed a random-effects meta-analysis across these studies to determine the best estimate of the differential frequency of occult AF in CS and KS among all patients and across age subgroups. We then applied Bayes' theorem to determine the probability that occult AF is causal or incidental.ResultsThe systematic search identified three case-control and cohort studies enrolling 560 patients (315 CS, 245 KS). Methods of long-term monitoring were implantable loop recorder in 31.0%, extended external monitoring in 67.9%, and both in 1.2%. Crude cumulative rates of AF detection were CS 47/315 (14.9%) vs. KS 23/246 (9.3%). In the formal meta-analysis, the summary odds ratio for occult AF in CS vs. KS in all patients was 1.80 (95% CI, 1.05-3.07), p = 0.03. With the application of Bayes' theorem, the corresponding probabilities indicated that, when present, occult AF in patients with CS is causal in 38.2% (95% CI, 0-63.6%) of patients. Analyses stratified by age suggested that detected occult AF in patients with CS was causal in 62.3% (95 CI, 0-87.1%) of patients under the age of 65 years and 28.5% (95 CI, 0-63.7%) of patients aged 65 years and older but estimates had limited precision.ConclusionCurrent evidence is preliminary, but it indicates that in cryptogenic stroke when occult AF is found, it is causal in about 38.2% of patients. These findings suggest that anticoagulation therapy may be beneficial to prevent recurrent stroke in a substantial proportion of patients with CS found to have occult AF.

Dataset Information

Atrial fibrillation as a marker of occult cancer.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusion

Publications

Atrial fibrillation as a marker of occult cancer.

Similar Datasets

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