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Global, regional, and national levels and causes of maternal mortality during 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013.


ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:The fifth Millennium Development Goal (MDG 5) established the goal of a 75% reduction in the maternal mortality ratio (MMR; number of maternal deaths per 100,000 livebirths) between 1990 and 2015. We aimed to measure levels and track trends in maternal mortality, the key causes contributing to maternal death, and timing of maternal death with respect to delivery. METHODS:We used robust statistical methods including the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm) to analyse a database of data for 7065 site-years and estimate the number of maternal deaths from all causes in 188 countries between 1990 and 2013. We estimated the number of pregnancy-related deaths caused by HIV on the basis of a systematic review of the relative risk of dying during pregnancy for HIV-positive women compared with HIV-negative women. We also estimated the fraction of these deaths aggravated by pregnancy on the basis of a systematic review. To estimate the numbers of maternal deaths due to nine different causes, we identified 61 sources from a systematic review and 943 site-years of vital registration data. We also did a systematic review of reports about the timing of maternal death, identifying 142 sources to use in our analysis. We developed estimates for each country for 1990-2013 using Bayesian meta-regression. We estimated 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for all values. FINDINGS:292,982 (95% UI 261,017-327,792) maternal deaths occurred in 2013, compared with 376,034 (343,483-407,574) in 1990. The global annual rate of change in the MMR was -0·3% (-1·1 to 0·6) from 1990 to 2003, and -2·7% (-3·9 to -1·5) from 2003 to 2013, with evidence of continued acceleration. MMRs reduced consistently in south, east, and southeast Asia between 1990 and 2013, but maternal deaths increased in much of sub-Saharan Africa during the 1990s. 2070 (1290-2866) maternal deaths were related to HIV in 2013, 0·4% (0·2-0·6) of the global total. MMR was highest in the oldest age groups in both 1990 and 2013. In 2013, most deaths occurred intrapartum or postpartum. Causes varied by region and between 1990 and 2013. We recorded substantial variation in the MMR by country in 2013, from 956·8 (685·1-1262·8) in South Sudan to 2·4 (1·6-3·6) in Iceland. INTERPRETATION:Global rates of change suggest that only 16 countries will achieve the MDG 5 target by 2015. Accelerated reductions since the Millennium Declaration in 2000 coincide with increased development assistance for maternal, newborn, and child health. Setting of targets and associated interventions for after 2015 will need careful consideration of regions that are making slow progress, such as west and central Africa. FUNDING:Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

SUBMITTER: Kassebaum NJ 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4255481 | biostudies-literature | 2014 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Global, regional, and national levels and causes of maternal mortality during 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013.

Kassebaum Nicholas J NJ   Bertozzi-Villa Amelia A   Coggeshall Megan S MS   Shackelford Katya A KA   Steiner Caitlyn C   Heuton Kyle R KR   Gonzalez-Medina Diego D   Barber Ryan R   Huynh Chantal C   Dicker Daniel D   Templin Tara T   Wolock Timothy M TM   Ozgoren Ayse Abbasoglu AA   Abd-Allah Foad F   Abera Semaw Ferede SF   Abubakar Ibrahim I   Achoki Tom T   Adelekan Ademola A   Ademi Zanfina Z   Adou Arsène Kouablan AK   Adsuar José C JC   Agardh Emilie E EE   Akena Dickens D   Alasfoor Deena D   Alemu Zewdie Aderaw ZA   Alfonso-Cristancho Rafael R   Alhabib Samia S   Ali Raghib R   Al Kahbouri Mazin J MJ   Alla François F   Allen Peter J PJ   AlMazroa Mohammad A MA   Alsharif Ubai U   Alvarez Elena E   Alvis-Guzmán Nelson N   Amankwaa Adansi A AA   Amare Azmeraw T AT   Amini Hassan H   Ammar Walid W   Antonio Carl A T CA   Anwari Palwasha P   Arnlöv Johan J   Arsenijevic Valentina S Arsic VS   Artaman Ali A   Asad Majed Masoud MM   Asghar Rana J RJ   Assadi Reza R   Atkins Lydia S LS   Badawi Alaa A   Balakrishnan Kalpana K   Basu Arindam A   Basu Sanjay S   Beardsley Justin J   Bedi Neeraj N   Bekele Tolesa T   Bell Michelle L ML   Bernabe Eduardo E   Beyene Tariku J TJ   Bhutta Zulfiqar Z   Bin Abdulhak Aref A   Blore Jed D JD   Basara Berrak Bora BB   Bose Dipan D   Breitborde Nicholas N   Cárdenas Rosario R   Castañeda-Orjuela Carlos A CA   Castro Ruben Estanislao RE   Catalá-López Ferrán F   Cavlin Alanur A   Chang Jung-Chen JC   Che Xuan X   Christophi Costas A CA   Chugh Sumeet S SS   Cirillo Massimo M   Colquhoun Samantha M SM   Cooper Leslie Trumbull LT   Cooper Cyrus C   da Costa Leite Iuri I   Dandona Lalit L   Dandona Rakhi R   Davis Adrian A   Dayama Anand A   Degenhardt Louisa L   De Leo Diego D   del Pozo-Cruz Borja B   Deribe Kebede K   Dessalegn Muluken M   deVeber Gabrielle A GA   Dharmaratne Samath D SD   Dilmen Uğur U   Ding Eric L EL   Dorrington Rob E RE   Driscoll Tim R TR   Ermakov Sergei Petrovich SP   Esteghamati Alireza A   Faraon Emerito Jose A EJ   Farzadfar Farshad F   Felicio Manuela Mendonca MM   Fereshtehnejad Seyed-Mohammad SM   de Lima Graça Maria Ferreira GM   Forouzanfar Mohammad H MH   França Elisabeth B EB   Gaffikin Lynne L   Gambashidze Ketevan K   Gankpé Fortuné Gbètoho FG   Garcia Ana C AC   Geleijnse Johanna M JM   Gibney Katherine B KB   Giroud Maurice M   Glaser Elizabeth L EL   Goginashvili Ketevan K   Gona Philimon P   González-Castell Dinorah D   Goto Atsushi A   Gouda Hebe N HN   Gugnani Harish Chander HC   Gupta Rahul R   Gupta Rajeev R   Hafezi-Nejad Nima N   Hamadeh Randah Ribhi RR   Hammami Mouhanad M   Hankey Graeme J GJ   Harb Hilda L HL   Havmoeller Rasmus R   Hay Simon I SI   Pi Ileana B Heredia IB   Hoek Hans W HW   Hosgood H Dean HD   Hoy Damian G DG   Husseini Abdullatif A   Idrisov Bulat T BT   Innos Kaire K   Inoue Manami M   Jacobsen Kathryn H KH   Jahangir Eiman E   Jee Sun Ha SH   Jensen Paul N PN   Jha Vivekanand V   Jiang Guohong G   Jonas Jost B JB   Juel Knud K   Kabagambe Edmond Kato EK   Kan Haidong H   Karam Nadim E NE   Karch André A   Karema Corine Kakizi CK   Kaul Anil A   Kawakami Norito N   Kazanjan Konstantin K   Kazi Dhruv S DS   Kemp Andrew H AH   Kengne Andre Pascal AP   Kereselidze Maia M   Khader Yousef Saleh YS   Khalifa Shams Eldin Ali Hassan SE   Khan Ejaz Ahmed EA   Khang Young-Ho YH   Knibbs Luke L   Kokubo Yoshihiro Y   Kosen Soewarta S   Defo Barthelemy Kuate BK   Kulkarni Chanda C   Kulkarni Veena S VS   Kumar G Anil GA   Kumar Kaushalendra K   Kumar Ravi B RB   Kwan Gene G   Lai Taavi T   Lalloo Ratilal R   Lam Hilton H   Lansingh Van C VC   Larsson Anders A   Lee Jong-Tae JT   Leigh James J   Leinsalu Mall M   Leung Ricky R   Li Xiaohong X   Li Yichong Y   Li Yongmei Y   Liang Juan J   Liang Xiaofeng X   Lim Stephen S SS   Lin Hsien-Ho HH   Lipshultz Steven E SE   Liu Shiwei S   Liu Yang Y   Lloyd Belinda K BK   London Stephanie J SJ   Lotufo Paulo A PA   Ma Jixiang J   Ma Stefan S   Machado Vasco Manuel Pedro VM   Mainoo Nana Kwaku NK   Majdan Marek M   Mapoma Christopher Chabila CC   Marcenes Wagner W   Marzan Melvin Barrientos MB   Mason-Jones Amanda J AJ   Mehndiratta Man Mohan MM   Mejia-Rodriguez Fabiola F   Memish Ziad A ZA   Mendoza Walter W   Miller Ted R TR   Mills Edward J EJ   Mokdad Ali H AH   Mola Glen Liddell GL   Monasta Lorenzo L   de la Cruz Monis Jonathan J   Hernandez Julio Cesar Montañez JC   Moore Ami R AR   Moradi-Lakeh Maziar M   Mori Rintaro R   Mueller Ulrich O UO   Mukaigawara Mitsuru M   Naheed Aliya A   Naidoo Kovin S KS   Nand Devina D   Nangia Vinay V   Nash Denis D   Nejjari Chakib C   Nelson Robert G RG   Neupane Sudan Prasad SP   Newton Charles R CR   Ng Marie M   Nieuwenhuijsen Mark J MJ   Nisar Muhammad Imran MI   Nolte Sandra S   Norheim Ole F OF   Nyakarahuka Luke L   Oh In-Hwan IH   Ohkubo Takayoshi T   Olusanya Bolajoko O BO   Omer Saad B SB   Opio John Nelson JN   Orisakwe Orish Ebere OE   Pandian Jeyaraj D JD   Papachristou Christina C   Park Jae-Hyun JH   Caicedo Angel J Paternina AJ   Patten Scott B SB   Paul Vinod K VK   Pavlin Boris Igor BI   Pearce Neil N   Pereira David M DM   Pesudovs Konrad K   Petzold Max M   Poenaru Dan D   Polanczyk Guilherme V GV   Polinder Suzanne S   Pope Dan D   Pourmalek Farshad F   Qato Dima D   Quistberg D Alex DA   Rafay Anwar A   Rahimi Kazem K   Rahimi-Movaghar Vafa V   ur Rahman Sajjad S   Raju Murugesan M   Rana Saleem M SM   Refaat Amany A   Ronfani Luca L   Roy Nobhojit N   Pimienta Tania Georgina Sánchez TG   Sahraian Mohammad Ali MA   Salomon Joshua A JA   Sampson Uchechukwu U   Santos Itamar S IS   Sawhney Monika M   Sayinzoga Felix F   Schneider Ione J C IJ   Schumacher Austin A   Schwebel David C DC   Seedat Soraya S   Sepanlou Sadaf G SG   Servan-Mori Edson E EE   Shakh-Nazarova Marina M   Sheikhbahaei Sara S   Shibuya Kenji K   Shin Hwashin Hyun HH   Shiue Ivy I   Sigfusdottir Inga Dora ID   Silberberg Donald H DH   Silva Andrea P AP   Singh Jasvinder A JA   Skirbekk Vegard V   Sliwa Karen K   Soshnikov Sergey S SS   Sposato Luciano A LA   Sreeramareddy Chandrashekhar T CT   Stroumpoulis Konstantinos K   Sturua Lela L   Sykes Bryan L BL   Tabb Karen M KM   Talongwa Roberto Tchio RT   Tan Feng F   Teixeira Carolina Maria CM   Tenkorang Eric Yeboah EY   Terkawi Abdullah Sulieman AS   Thorne-Lyman Andrew L AL   Tirschwell David L DL   Towbin Jeffrey A JA   Tran Bach X BX   Tsilimbaris Miltiadis M   Uchendu Uche S US   Ukwaja Kingsley N KN   Undurraga Eduardo A EA   Uzun Selen Begüm SB   Vallely Andrew J AJ   van Gool Coen H CH   Vasankari Tommi J TJ   Vavilala Monica S MS   Venketasubramanian N N   Villalpando Salvador S   Violante Francesco S FS   Vlassov Vasiliy Victorovich VV   Vos Theo T   Waller Stephen S   Wang Haidong H   Wang Linhong L   Wang XiaoRong X   Wang Yanping Y   Weichenthal Scott S   Weiderpass Elisabete E   Weintraub Robert G RG   Westerman Ronny R   Wilkinson James D JD   Woldeyohannes Solomon Meseret SM   Wong John Q JQ   Wordofa Muluemebet Abera MA   Xu Gelin G   Yang Yang C YC   Yano Yuichiro Y   Yentur Gokalp Kadri GK   Yip Paul P   Yonemoto Naohiro N   Yoon Seok-Jun SJ   Younis Mustafa Z MZ   Yu Chuanhua C   Jin Kim Yun KY   El Sayed Zaki Maysaa M   Zhao Yong Y   Zheng Yingfeng Y   Zhou Maigeng M   Zhu Jun J   Zou Xiao Nong XN   Lopez Alan D AD   Naghavi Mohsen M   Murray Christopher J L CJ   Lozano Rafael R  

Lancet (London, England) 20140502 9947


<h4>Background</h4>The fifth Millennium Development Goal (MDG 5) established the goal of a 75% reduction in the maternal mortality ratio (MMR; number of maternal deaths per 100,000 livebirths) between 1990 and 2015. We aimed to measure levels and track trends in maternal mortality, the key causes contributing to maternal death, and timing of maternal death with respect to delivery.<h4>Methods</h4>We used robust statistical methods including the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm) to analyse a  ...[more]

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