Dataset Information

Incidence of gastric cancer among patients with gastric precancerous lesions: observational cohort study in a low risk Western population.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

To accurately measure the incidence of gastric cancer among patients with gastric precancerous lesions, and to quantify the excess incidence in comparison with people with normal mucosa on endoscopy and a general population.

Design

Population based cohort study.

Setting

Population of Sweden using data from its national disease registers.

Participants

405,172 patients who had gastric biopsy samples taken for non-malignant indications between 1979 and 2011.

Main outcome measures

Incidence of gastric cancer, reported separately for patients with different mucosal changes in biopsy samples. Standardised incidence ratios provided estimation of the relative risk, using the general Swedish population as reference; and hazard ratios were derived from Cox regression modelling for internal comparisons with patients with normal gastric mucosa.

Results

After excluding the first two years of follow-up, 1599 cases of gastric cancer were identified. The annual crude incidence of gastric cancer was 20 × 10(-5) for those in the normal mucosa group (standardised incidence ratio 1.0), 42 × 10(-5) for those with minor changes (1.5), 59 × 10(-5) for the gastritis group (1.8), 100 × 10(-5) for the atrophic gastritis group (2.8), 129 × 10(-5) for the intestinal metaplasia group (3.4), and 263 × 10(-5) for the dysplasia group (6.5). Cox regression modelling confirmed that excess risks increased monotonically with progressive severity of gastric lesions, with the highest hazard ratio of 10.9 (dysplasia versus normal mucosa, 95% confidence interval 7.7 to 15.4). The increased incidence was stable throughout the follow-up period, and the gaps between cumulative incidence curves grew continuously.

Conclusions

Among patients who undergo gastroscopy with biopsy for clinical indications, approximately 1 in 256 with normal mucosa, 1 in 85 with gastritis, 1 in 50 with atrophic gastritis, 1 in 39 with intestinal metaplasia, and 1 in 19 with dysplasia will develop gastric cancer within 20 years. These numbers, along with cost-benefit analyses, should guide future surveillance policies for these particular patient groups.

SUBMITTER: Song H

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4516137 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Similar Datasets

Project description:Objective:The clinical outcomes of gastric diseases such as chronic gastritis, peptic ulcer, and gastric cancer have been attributed to the interplay of virulence factors of Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori), host genetic susceptibility, and host immune responses. This study investigated the presence of cagA, vacA, iceA2, babA2, and oipA genes and their association with clinical outcomes. Methods:Chronic gastritis, atrophic gastritis, and intestinal metaplasia specimens were obtained from patients who underwent endoscopy and surgical resection between January 2017 and December 2018; specimens from gastric cancer patients treated between January 2014 and December 2018 were also added. H. pylori), host genetic susceptibility, and host immune responses. This study investigated the presence of cagA, vacA, iceA2, babA2, and oipA genes and their association with clinical outcomes. H. pylori), host genetic susceptibility, and host immune responses. This study investigated the presence of. Results:H. pylori), host genetic susceptibility, and host immune responses. This study investigated the presence of vacA, babA2, and oipA genes and their association with clinical outcomes. vacA, babA2, and oipA genes and their association with clinical outcomes. P=0.033, OR?=?2.64; 95% CI?=?1.44-4.82, P=0.033, OR?=?2.64; 95% CI?=?1.44-4.82, P=0.033, OR?=?2.64; 95% CI?=?1.44-4.82, H. pylori vacA +/babA2, and oipA genes and their association with clinical outcomes. P=0.033, OR?=?2.64; 95% CI?=?1.44-4.82. Conclusion:In this present study, we reported on the virulence genes of H. pylori infection to reveal their association with increased risk of chronic gastritis, precancerous gastric lesions, and gastric cancer. Precancerous gastric lesions with H. pylori vacA+/babA2+/oipA+ genotype increased the risk of gastric cancer.H. pylori), host genetic susceptibility, and host immune responses. This study investigated the presence of H. pylori vacA +/babA2, and oipA genes and their association with clinical outcomes.

Project description:BackgroundThe Correa's cascade, encompassing chronic non-atrophic gastritis, atrophic gastritis, intestinal metaplasia, and dysplasia, represents the well-recognized pathway for the development of non-cardia gastric cancer. Population-based studies on all-cause and cause-specific mortalities among patients with gastric lesions in Correa's cascade are scarce.MethodsWe compiled a cohort of 340 744 eligible patients who had undergone endoscopy with biopsy for non-malignant indications during the period 1979-2011, which was followed up until 2014. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) provided estimation of the relative risk, using the general Swedish population as reference. Cox regression model was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) of death for internal comparison.ResultsA total of 306 117 patients were included in the final analysis, accumulating 3,049,009 person-years of follow-up. In total 106,625 deaths were observed during the study period. Compared to the general population, excess risks of overall mortality were noted in all subgroups, with SMRs ranging from 1.11 (95% CI 1.08-1.14) for the normal mucosa group to 1.54 (95% CI 1.46-1.62) for the dysplasia group. For cause-specific mortalities, mortality from gastric cancer gradually increased along Correa's cascade, with excess risk rising from 105% for patients with chronic gastritis to more than 600% for the dysplasia group. These results were confirmed in the comparison with the normal mucosa group. For non-cancer conditions, increased death risks were noted for various diseases compared to the general population, especially among patients with more severe gastric precancerous lesions. But the results were confirmed only for "infectious diseases and parasitic diseases", "respiratory system diseases", and "digestive system disease", when using the normal mucosa group as reference.ConclusionsIncreased mortality from gastric cancer suggests that early recognition and intervention of gastric precancerous lesions probably benefit the patients. Excess mortality due to non-cancer conditions should be interpreted with caution, and future studies are warranted.

Project description:BACKGROUND:The single nucleotide polymorphisms of interleukin-21 (IL-21) gene were confirmed to be related to various diseases, but no studies have examined the possible role of IL-21 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) (rs907715, rs2221903, and rs12508721) in gastric precancerous lesions. AIM:To explore the associations between SNPs of IL-21 gene (rs907715, rs2221903, and rs12508721) and gastric precancerous lesions in a Chinese population. METHODS:Three SNPs of IL-21 were genotyped using polymerase chain reaction-ligase detection reaction in 588 cases and 290 healthy controls from May 2013 to December 2016 in northwestern China. Gastric precancerous lesions were confirmed by endoscopic examination and categorized as non-atrophic gastritis, atrophic gastritis, and intestinal metaplasia. Descriptive statistic and logistic regression were used for data analyses. RESULTS:IL-21 rs907715 genotype CC and C frequencies were higher in in patients with gastric precancerous lesions than in the controls (OR = 1.59, 95%CI: 1.06-2.38, P = 0.013; OR = 1.28, 95%CI: 1.01-2.22, P = 0.044, respectively) after adjusting for confounding factors. For SNP rs907715 in intestinal metaplasia patients, significant differences between cases and controls were observed in the frequencies of genotype CC and C (OR = 1.92, 95%CI: 1.24-2.98, P = 0.004; OR = 1.53, 95%CI: 1.04-2.24, P = 0.028, respectively); for non-atrophic gastritis and atrophic gastritis patients, the CC and C genotypes showed no significant association with risk in all models. No association between either rs2221903 or rs12508721 and gastric precancerous lesions was found in the present study. In the haplotype analysis, the TC haplotype (rs907715 and rs12508721) and TT haplotype (rs2221903 and rs907715) were more frequent in the case group than control group (P < 0.05). CONCLUSION:Our findings indicate that SNP rs907715 of IL-21 gene is associated with gastric precancerous lesions. The TC haplotype (rs907715 and rs12508721) and TT haplotype (rs2221903 and rs907715) increased the risk of gastric precancerous lesions. If confirmed, these findings will shed light on the etiology of precancerous lesions.