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Disease Control Rate at 8 Weeks Predicts Subsequent Survival in Platinum-Treated Extensive Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer: Results From the Southwest Oncology Group (SWOG) Database.

ABSTRACT: Overall response rate is frequently used as an end point in phase 2 trials of platinum-treated extensive stage (ES) small-cell lung cancer (SCLC). We hypothesized that disease control rate (DCR) would be a superior surrogate for subsequent survival outcomes.Updated patient-level data from Southwest Oncology Group (SWOG) trials in second- and/or third-line ES-SCLC patients were pooled. Landmark analysis was performed among patients alive at 8 weeks for overall survival (OS) measured from the 8-week landmark. Association of clinical prognostic factors with DCR was assessed using logistic regression. A Cox proportional hazard model was used to assess the associations between DCR at the landmark time and subsequent OS, adjusted for prognostic factors.Of the 319 ES-SCLC patients, 263 were alive at the 8-week landmark and constituted the pooled study population. Only 8 patients had a response. Disease control at 8 weeks was seen in 98 patients. Bivariate analysis of OS from the 8-week landmark revealed that DCR (hazard ratio [HR], 0.47; P < .0001) and elevated lactate dehydrogenase (HR, 1.70; P = .0004) were significantly associated with OS. In multivariable analysis, DCR remained an independent predictor of subsequent survival from the 8-week landmark (HR, 0.50; P < .0001).In this large second- and third-line ES-SCLC database, DCR at 8 weeks was found to be a significant predictor of subsequent survival in patients receiving investigational therapy. These results have critical implications in the selection of surrogate end points in future prospective ES-SCLC trials.

SUBMITTER: Lara PN

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4789142 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Disease Control Rate at 8 Weeks Predicts Subsequent Survival in Platinum-Treated Extensive Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer: Results From the Southwest Oncology Group (SWOG) Database.

Lara Primo N PN Moon James J Redman Mary W MW Semrad Thomas J TJ Kelly Karen K Allen Jeffrey J Gitlitz Barbara B Mack Philip C PC Gandara David R DR

Clinical lung cancer 20151023 2

<h4>Background</h4>Overall response rate is frequently used as an end point in phase 2 trials of platinum-treated extensive stage (ES) small-cell lung cancer (SCLC). We hypothesized that disease control rate (DCR) would be a superior surrogate for subsequent survival outcomes.<h4>Methods</h4>Updated patient-level data from Southwest Oncology Group (SWOG) trials in second- and/or third-line ES-SCLC patients were pooled. Landmark analysis was performed among patients alive at 8 weeks for overall s ...[more]

PMID: 26498504

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Project description:Extensive-stage small-cell lung cancer (SCLC) patients who progress after platinum-based chemotherapy are traditionally categorized as platinum sensitive (progression ? 90 days from last platinum dose) or refractory (progression < 90 days), a practice arising from seminal observations of worse survival in refractory patients. Subsequent trials accounted for platinum sensitivity, resulting in higher sample sizes and increased resource use.To assess whether platinum-sensitivity status remains associated with outcomes, patient-level data from recent Southwest Oncology Group trials in second- and/or third-line extensive-stage SCLC were pooled. Hazard ratios (HRs) for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) accounting for platinum sensitivity were calculated using unadjusted and adjusted Cox Proportional Hazard models. Recursive partitioning was performed to define prognostic risk groups.Of 329 patients, 151 were platinum sensitive and 178 refractory. HRs from unadjusted Cox PFS and OS models for refractory versus sensitive disease were 1.0 (95% confidence interval, 0.81-1.25; p = 0.98) and 1.24 (0.99-1.57; p = 0.06), respectively. Adjusted Cox models showed that only elevated serum lactate dehydrogenase (HR, 2.04; p < 0.001), males (HR, 1.36; p = 0.04), performance status of 1 (HR, 1.25; p = 0.02), and weight loss greater than or equal to 5% (1.53, p = 0.01) were independently associated with OS. Platinum-sensitivity status was not associated with PFS (HR, 1.11; p = 0.49) or OS (HR, 1.25; p = 0.14), except in a model that excluded 36 patients who received more than one prior chemotherapy regimen (HR, 1.34; p = 0.049). Prognostic groups with differential OS outcomes (high, intermediate, and poor risk) were identified.Platinum-sensitivity status may no longer be strongly associated with PFS or OS in at least one multivariate model. Validation of prognostic risk groups identified here is warranted. These data have critical implications in the design of future SCLC trials.

Dataset Information

Disease Control Rate at 8 Weeks Predicts Subsequent Survival in Platinum-Treated Extensive Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer: Results From the Southwest Oncology Group (SWOG) Database.

Publications

Disease Control Rate at 8 Weeks Predicts Subsequent Survival in Platinum-Treated Extensive Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer: Results From the Southwest Oncology Group (SWOG) Database.

Similar Datasets

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