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Homogeneous case subgroups increase power in genetic association studies.

ABSTRACT: Genome-wide association studies of clinically defined cases against controls have transformed our understanding of the genetic causes of many diseases. However, there are limitations to the simple clinical definitions used in these studies, and GWAS analyses are beginning to explore more refined phenotypes in subgroups of the existing data sets. These analyses are often performed ad hoc without considering the power requirements to justify such analyses. Here we derive expressions for the relative power of such subgroup analyses and determine the genotypic relative risks (GRRs) required to achieve equivalent power to a full analysis for relevant scenarios. We show that only modest increases in GRRs may be required to offset the reduction in power from analysing fewer cases, implying that analyses of more genetically homogenous case subgroups may have the potential to identify further associations. We find that, for lower genotypic relative risks in the full sample, subgroup analyses of more homogeneous cases have relatively more power than for higher index genotypic relative risks and that this effect is stronger for rare as opposed to common variants. As GWA studies are likely to have now identified the majority of SNPs with stronger effects, these results strongly advocate a renewed effort to identify phenotypically homogeneous disease groups, in which power to detect genetic variants with small effects will be greater. These results suggest that analysis of case subsets could be a powerful strategy to uncover some of the hidden heritability for common complex disorders, particularly in identifying rarer variants of modest effect.

SUBMITTER: Traylor M

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4795054 | biostudies-literature | 2015 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Homogeneous case subgroups increase power in genetic association studies.

Traylor Matthew M Markus Hugh H Lewis Cathryn M CM

European journal of human genetics : EJHG 20141001 6

Genome-wide association studies of clinically defined cases against controls have transformed our understanding of the genetic causes of many diseases. However, there are limitations to the simple clinical definitions used in these studies, and GWAS analyses are beginning to explore more refined phenotypes in subgroups of the existing data sets. These analyses are often performed ad hoc without considering the power requirements to justify such analyses. Here we derive expressions for the relati ...[more]

PMID: 25271086

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Project description:Genetic case-control association studies often include data on clinical covariates, such as body mass index (BMI), smoking status, or age, that may modify the underlying genetic risk of case or control samples. For example, in type 2 diabetes, odds ratios for established variants estimated from low-BMI cases are larger than those estimated from high-BMI cases. An unanswered question is how to use this information to maximize statistical power in case-control studies that ascertain individuals on the basis of phenotype (case-control ascertainment) or phenotype and clinical covariates (case-control-covariate ascertainment). While current approaches improve power in studies with random ascertainment, they often lose power under case-control ascertainment and fail to capture available power increases under case-control-covariate ascertainment. We show that an informed conditioning approach, based on the liability threshold model with parameters informed by external epidemiological information, fully accounts for disease prevalence and non-random ascertainment of phenotype as well as covariates and provides a substantial increase in power while maintaining a properly controlled false-positive rate. Our method outperforms standard case-control association tests with or without covariates, tests of gene x covariate interaction, and previously proposed tests for dealing with covariates in ascertained data, with especially large improvements in the case of case-control-covariate ascertainment. We investigate empirical case-control studies of type 2 diabetes, prostate cancer, lung cancer, breast cancer, rheumatoid arthritis, age-related macular degeneration, and end-stage kidney disease over a total of 89,726 samples. In these datasets, informed conditioning outperforms logistic regression for 115 of the 157 known associated variants investigated (P-value = 1 × 10(-9)). The improvement varied across diseases with a 16% median increase in ?(2) test statistics and a commensurate increase in power. This suggests that applying our method to existing and future association studies of these diseases may identify novel disease loci.

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Homogeneous case subgroups increase power in genetic association studies.

Publications

Homogeneous case subgroups increase power in genetic association studies.

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