Estimating the burden of influenza-associated hospitalizations and deaths in Central America.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Descalzo MA
PROVIDER: S-EPMC4910178 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Jul
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Estimating the burden of influenza-associated hospitalizations and deaths in Central America.
Descalzo Miguel A MA Clara Wilfrido W Guzmán Guiselle G Mena Ricardo R Armero Julio J Lara Bredy B Saenz Carlos C Aragón Anabela A Chacón Rafael R El-Omeiri Nathalie N Méndez-Rico Jairo J Cerpa Mauricio M Palekar Rakhee R Jara Jorge J Azziz-Baumgartner Eduardo E
Influenza and other respiratory viruses 20160329 4
<h4>Objectives</h4>Our objective was to estimate the incidence of influenza-associated hospitalizations and in-hospital deaths in Central American Region.<h4>Design and setting</h4>We used hospital discharge records, influenza surveillance virology data, and population projections collected from Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, and Nicaragua to estimate influenza-associated hospitalizations and in-hospital deaths. We performed a meta-analysis of influenza-associated hospitalizations ...[more]
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Project description:ObjectiveInfluenza is the most common vaccine-preventable disease in the United States; however, little is known about the burden of critical illness due to influenza virus infection. Our primary objective was to estimate the proportion of all critical illness hospitalizations that are attributable to seasonal influenza.DesignRetrospective cohort study.SettingArizona, California, and Washington from January 2003 to March 2009.PatientsAll adults hospitalized with critical illness, defined by International Classification of Diseases, 9th Edition, Clinical Modification diagnosis and procedure codes for acute respiratory failure, severe sepsis, or in-hospital death.Measurements and main resultsWe combined the complete hospitalization discharge databases for three U.S. states, regional influenza virus surveillance, and state census data. Using negative binomial regression models, we estimated the incidence rates of adult influenza-associated critical illness hospitalizations and compared them with all-cause event rates. We also compared modeled outcomes to International Classification of Diseases, 9th Edition, Clinical Modification-coded influenza hospitalizations to assess potential underrecognition of severe influenza disease. During the study period, we estimated that 26,760 influenza-associated critical illness hospitalizations (95% CI, 14,541, 47,464) occurred. The population-based incidence estimate for influenza-associated critical illness was 12.0 per 100,000 person-years (95% CI, 6.6, 21.6) or 1.3% of all critical illness hospitalizations (95% CI, 0.7%, 2.3%). During the influenza season, 3.4% of all critical illness hospitalizations (95% CI, 1.9%, 5.8%) were attributable to influenza. There were only 2,612 critical illness hospitalizations with International Classification of Diseases, 9th Edition, Clinical Modification-coded influenza diagnoses, suggesting influenza is either undiagnosed or undercoded in a substantial proportion of critical illness.ConclusionsExtrapolating our data to the 2010 U.S. population, we estimate that about 28,000 adults are hospitalized for influenza-associated critical illness annually. Influenza in many of these critically ill patients may be undiagnosed. Critical care physicians should have a high index of suspicion for influenza in the ICU, particularly when influenza is known to be circulating in their communities.
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Project description:BackgroundDespite widespread utilization of influenza vaccines, effectiveness (VE) has not been routinely measured in Latin America.MethodsWe used a case test-negative control design to estimate trivalent inactivated influenza VE against laboratory-confirmed influenza among hospitalized children aged 6months-5years and adults aged ?60years which are age-groups targeted for vaccination. We sought persons with severe acute respiratory infections (SARI), hospitalized at 71 sentinel hospitals in Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Honduras, Panama, and Paraguay during January-December 2013. Cases had an influenza virus infection confirmed by real-time reverse transcription PCR (rRT-PCR); controls had a negative rRT-PCR result for influenza viruses. We used a two-stage random effects model to estimate pooled VE per target age-group, adjusting for the month of illness onset, age and preexisting medical conditions.ResultsWe identified 2620 SARI patients across sites: 246 influenza cases and 720 influenza-negative controls aged ?5years and 448 cases and 1206 controls aged ?60years. The most commonly identified subtype among participants (48%) was the influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus followed by influenza A(H3N2) (34%) and influenza B (18%) viruses. Among children, the adjusted VE of full vaccination (one dose for previously vaccinated or two if vaccine naïve) against any influenza virus SARI was 47% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 14-71%); VE was 58% (95% CI: 16-79%) against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, and 65% (95% CI: -9; 89%) against influenza A(H3N2) viruses associated SARI. Crude VE of full vaccination against influenza B viruses associated SARI among children was 3% (95% CI: -150; 63). Among adults aged ?60years, adjusted VE against any influenza SARI was 48% (95% CI: 34-60%); VE was 54% (95% CI: 37-69%) against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, 43% (95% CI: 18-61%) against influenza A(H3N2) and 34% (95% CI: -4; 58%) against B viruses associated SARI.ConclusionInfluenza vaccine provided moderate protection against severe influenza illness among fully vaccinated young children and older adults, supporting current vaccination strategies.
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