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Predicting disease progression in progressive supranuclear palsy in multicenter clinical trials.

ABSTRACT: Clinical and MRI measurements can track disease progression in PSP, but many have not been extensively evaluated in multicenter clinical trials. We identified optimal measures to capture clinical decline and predict disease progression in multicenter PSP trials.Longitudinal clinical rating scales, neuropsychological test scores, and volumetric MRI data from an international, phase 2/3 clinical trial of davunetide for PSP (intent to treat population, n = 303) were used to identify measurements with largest effect size, strongest correlation with clinical change, and best ability to predict dropout or clinical decline over one year as measured by PSP Rating Scale (PSPRS).Baseline cognition as measured by Repeatable Battery for Assessing Neuropsychological Status (RBANS) was associated with attrition, but had only a small effect. PSPRS and Clinical Global Impression (CGI) had the largest effect size for measuring change. Annual change in CGI, RBANS, color trails, and MRI midbrain and ventricular volumes were most strongly correlated with annual PSPRS and had the largest effect sizes for detecting annual change. At baseline, shorter disease duration, more severe depression, and lower performance on RBANS and executive function tests were associated with faster worsening of the PSPRS in completers. With dropouts included, SEADL, RBANS, and executive function tests had significant effect on PSPRS trajectory of change.Baseline cognitive status and mood influence the rate of disease progression in PSP. Multiple clinical, neuropsychological, and volumetric MRI measurements are sensitive to change over one year in PSP and appropriate for use in multicenter clinical trials.

SUBMITTER: Bang J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4914418 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Predicting disease progression in progressive supranuclear palsy in multicenter clinical trials.

Bang Jee J Lobach Iryna V IV Lang Anthony E AE Grossman Murray M Knopman David S DS Miller Bruce L BL Schneider Lon S LS Doody Rachelle S RS Lees Andrew A Gold Michael M Morimoto Bruce H BH Boxer Adam L AL

Parkinsonism & related disorders 20160418

<h4>Introduction</h4>Clinical and MRI measurements can track disease progression in PSP, but many have not been extensively evaluated in multicenter clinical trials. We identified optimal measures to capture clinical decline and predict disease progression in multicenter PSP trials.<h4>Methods</h4>Longitudinal clinical rating scales, neuropsychological test scores, and volumetric MRI data from an international, phase 2/3 clinical trial of davunetide for PSP (intent to treat population, n = 303) ...[more]

PMID: 27172829

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Project description:Progressive supranuclear palsy causes diverse clinical presentations, including classical Richardson's syndrome and several variant phenotypes. Clinical trials of disease-modifying therapies have recently been completed, with more planned for the next 2 years. However, many people with progressive supranuclear palsy do not meet eligibility criteria for these clinical trials. Understanding clinical progression with different phenotypes would improve trial design and enhance the accuracy of risk-benefit and cost-benefit assessments of new treatments for progressive supranuclear palsy. We set out to determine rates of motor and cognitive progression of possible, probable and definite progressive supranuclear palsy, with different phenotypes, from a representative cohort in a regional UK healthcare service. Longitudinal clinical data from people with Richardson's syndrome and variant phenotypes were analysed using linear mixed-modelling, using both the full and modified versions of the Progressive Supranuclear Palsy Rating Scale, Mini-Mental State Examination and the revised Addenbrooke's Cognitive Examination. Subgroup analyses considered patients meeting recent Phase II trial entry criteria and patients with neuropathological confirmation. Two hundred and twenty-seven patients [male = 59%, mean age (±standard deviation), 71.8 (±7.0) years] were followed for a mean 21.6 (±15.6) months. One hundred and seventy-four (77%) had Richardson's syndrome at the outset, 25 had cortical variant presentations (13%, frontal, corticobasal, speech and language variants) and 28 had subcortical variant presentations (14%, parkinsonism, postural instability and gait freezing variants). Across all participants, annual progression in Richardson's syndrome was faster than variant phenotypes on the Mini-Mental State Examination (-1.8 versus -0.9/year, P = 0.005) and revised Addenbrooke's Cognitive Examination (-5.3 versus -3.0/year, P = 0.01) but not the Progressive Supranuclear Palsy Rating Scale (9.0 versus 7.1/year, P = 0.2) nor the modified Progressive Supranuclear Palsy Rating Scale (2.7 versus 2.3/year, P = 0.4). However, for those with more than 1 years' follow-up, a significant difference was observed between Richardson's syndrome and variant phenotypes in Progressive Supranuclear Palsy Rating Scale (8.7 versus 6.3/year, P = 0.04). Survival was longer in variant phenotypes than Richardson's syndrome [7.3 (±3.9) versus 5.6 (±2.0) years, P = 0.02]. Pathologically confirmed cases (n = 49) supported these findings. Patients meeting basic trial-eligibility criteria (n = 129) progressed faster on the Progressive Supranuclear Palsy Rating Scale than trial-not-eligible patients (10.1 versus 6.1/year, P = 0.001). In conclusion, phenotypes other than Richardson's syndrome show slower progression and longer survival. Trial criteria do not select representative progressive supranuclear palsy cases. This has implications for trial design, and application of trial results to clinically more diverse patient populations.

Project description:BackgroundThe Movement Disorder Society diagnostic criteria for progressive supranuclear palsy introduced the diagnostic certainty level "suggestive of progressive supranuclear palsy" for clinical conditions with subtle signs, suggestive of the disease. This category aims at the early identification of patients, in whom the diagnosis may be confirmed as the disease evolves.ObjectiveTo assess the diagnostic performance of the defined clinical conditions suggestive of progressive supranuclear palsy in an autopsy-confirmed cohort.MethodsDiagnostic performance of the criteria was analyzed based on retrospective clinical data of 204 autopsy-confirmed patients with progressive supranuclear palsy and 216 patients with other neurological diseases.ResultsThe conditions suggestive of progressive supranuclear palsy strongly increased the sensitivity compared to the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke and Society for Progressive Supranuclear Palsy criteria. Within the first year after symptom onset, 40% of patients with definite progressive supranuclear palsy fulfilled criteria for suggestive of progressive supranuclear palsy. Two-thirds of patients suggestive of progressive supranuclear palsy evolved into probable progressive supranuclear palsy after an average of 3.6 years. Application of the criteria for suggestive of progressive supranuclear palsy reduced the average time to diagnosis from 3.8 to 2.2 years.ConclusionsClinical conditions suggestive of progressive supranuclear palsy allow earlier identification of patients likely to evolve into clinically possible or probable progressive supranuclear and to have underlying progressive supranuclear palsy pathology. Further work needs to establish the specificity and positive predictive value of this category in real-life clinical settings, and to develop specific biomarkers that enhance their diagnostic accuracy in early disease stages. © 2020 The Authors. Movement Disorders published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.

Dataset Information

Predicting disease progression in progressive supranuclear palsy in multicenter clinical trials.

Publications

Predicting disease progression in progressive supranuclear palsy in multicenter clinical trials.

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