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ABSTRACT: Background
Sensitive methods are needed to estimate the population-level incidence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection.Methods
We developed an HCV immunoglobulin G (IgG) antibody avidity assay by modifying the Ortho 3.0 HCV enzyme-linked immunoassay and tested 997 serum or plasma samples from 568 people who inject drugs enrolled in prospective cohort studies. Avidity-based testing algorithms were evaluated by their (1) mean duration of recent infection (MDRI), defined as the average time an individual is identified as having been recently infected, according to a given algorithm; (2) false-recent rate, defined as the proportion of samples collected >2 years after HCV seroconversion that were misclassified as recent; (3) sample sizes needed to estimate incidence; and (4) power to detect a reduction in incidence between serial cross-sectional surveys.Results
A multiassay algorithm (defined as an avidity index of <30%, followed by HCV viremia detection) had an MDRI of 147 days (95% confidence interval [CI], 125-195 days), and the false-recent rates were 0.7% (95% CI, .2%-1.8%) and 7.6% (95% CI, 4.2%-12.3%) among human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-negative and HIV-positive persons, respectively. In various simulated high-risk populations, this algorithm required <1000 individuals to estimate incidence (relative standard error, 30%) and had >80% power to detect a 50% reduction in incidence.Conclusions
Avidity-based algorithms have the capacity to accurately estimate HCV infection incidence and rapidly assess the impact of public health efforts among high-risk populations. Efforts to optimize this method should be prioritized.
SUBMITTER: Patel EU
PROVIDER: S-EPMC4936640 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Aug
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Patel Eshan U EU Cox Andrea L AL Mehta Shruti H SH Boon Denali D Mullis Caroline E CE Astemborski Jacquie J Osburn William O WO Quinn Jeffrey J Redd Andrew D AD Kirk Gregory D GD Thomas David L DL Quinn Thomas C TC Laeyendecker Oliver O
The Journal of infectious diseases 20160114 3
<h4>Background</h4>Sensitive methods are needed to estimate the population-level incidence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection.<h4>Methods</h4>We developed an HCV immunoglobulin G (IgG) antibody avidity assay by modifying the Ortho 3.0 HCV enzyme-linked immunoassay and tested 997 serum or plasma samples from 568 people who inject drugs enrolled in prospective cohort studies. Avidity-based testing algorithms were evaluated by their (1) mean duration of recent infection (MDRI), defined as the ave ...[more]