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Case-fatality from acute pancreatitis is decreasing but its population mortality shows little change.

ABSTRACT: The reasons for changing epidemiology of acute pancreatitis (AP) are poorly defined. We hypothesized that trends for severity, case-fatality and population mortality from AP will provide an insight into the rising burden of AP in the population. We evaluated trends in the hospitalizations, case-fatality, severity and population mortality related to AP in the US population.We used the National Hospital Discharge Survey to calculate age, sex and race standardized hospitalizations of and case-fatality rates for AP, and Vital Statistics to calculate AP-related population mortality from 1983 to 2010, using 2010 US census as the reference.Number of discharges per 100,000 population with primary diagnosis of AP increased 2 times from 42.4 (95% CI 38.2-46.5) during 1983-1986 to 85.4 (95% CI 62.8-108.1) during 2007-2010. During corresponding intervals, case-fatality from AP decreased 62% from 2.02% (95% CI 2.01-2.04) to 0.79% (95% CI 0.78-0.80), but population mortality per million population due to AP as primary cause remained stable from 9.28 (95% CI 8.94-9.62) to 9.91 (95% CI 9.56-10.26), and from AP as any cause decreased significantly (but only 12%) from 20.87 (95% CI 20.36-21.38) to 18.48 (95% CI 18.00-18.96). Prevalence of severe AP increased from 5% (95% CI 4.95-5.05%) during 1991-1994 to 9.78% (95% CI 9.73-9.83%) during 2007-2010.An increasing prevalence of severe disease suggests true population increase to be an important contributor to the rising incidence of AP. A lack of proportional increase in population mortality suggests the impact of medical advances in the evaluation and management of AP.

SUBMITTER: Munigala S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4961591 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Jul-Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Case-fatality from acute pancreatitis is decreasing but its population mortality shows little change.

Munigala Satish S Yadav Dhiraj D

Pancreatology : official journal of the International Association of Pancreatology (IAP) ... [et al.] 20160423 4

<h4>Background/objectives</h4>The reasons for changing epidemiology of acute pancreatitis (AP) are poorly defined. We hypothesized that trends for severity, case-fatality and population mortality from AP will provide an insight into the rising burden of AP in the population. We evaluated trends in the hospitalizations, case-fatality, severity and population mortality related to AP in the US population.<h4>Study</h4>We used the National Hospital Discharge Survey to calculate age, sex and race sta ...[more]

PMID: 27161172

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Project description:BackgroundWe describe the clinical characteristics, treatments and in-hospital case-fatality rates in an unselected population of patients admitted for acute myocardial infarction.MethodsFrom January 2000 to June 2007, we tracked consecutive patients who were admitted to 7 tertiary referral and 21 county hospitals in Romania for medical treatment of ST-segment elevation acute myocardial infarction. These patients were enrolled in the Romanian Registry for ST-segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction. For this prospective study, we collected data on demographic characteristics, cardiovascular risk factors, various aspects of treatment for myocardial infarction, and in-hospital death.ResultsThe 9186 patients in the study group had a mean age of 63.8 years. The median time from onset of symptoms to thrombolysis was 230 (interquartile range 120-510) minutes. Of the 9186 patients, 4986 (54.3%) had hypertension, 1974 (21.5%) had diabetes mellitus, 3545 (38.6%) had lipid disorders and 4653 (50.7%) were smokers. The in-hospital mortality rate was 12.7% (1170 deaths). The study group consisted of 2893 women and 6293 men. The women were older than the men and had higher rates of hypertension and diabetes mellitus but were less likely to be smokers. A smaller proportion of women than men presented within 2 hours after onset of symptoms (23.1% v. 34.4%, p < 0.001). Smaller proportions of women received thrombolytics (40.8% v. 53.5%, p < 0.001), anticoagulants (93.4% v. 95.2%; p = 0.001), antiplatelet agents (88.3% v. 91.2%, p < 0.001) and primary percutaneous coronary interventions (1.5% v. 2.2%, p = 0.030). The risk of in-hospital death was greater for women, even after adjustment for confounders (odds ratio 1.33, 95% confidence interval 1.13-1.56; p < 0.001).InterpretationThe rates of reperfusion therapy for patients with acute myocardial infarction were low, and in-hospital case-fatality rates were high in this study. Excess in-hospital mortality was more pronounced among women.

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Case-fatality from acute pancreatitis is decreasing but its population mortality shows little change.

Publications

Case-fatality from acute pancreatitis is decreasing but its population mortality shows little change.

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