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ABSTRACT: Importance
Adrenocortical carcinoma (ACC) is a rare but aggressive endocrine tumor, and the prognostic factors associated with long-term outcomes after surgical resection remain poorly defined.Objectives
To define clinicopathological variables associated with recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) after curative surgical resection of ACC and to propose nomograms for individual risk prediction.Design, setting, and participants
Nomograms to predict RFS and OS after surgical resection of ACC were proposed using a multi-institutional cohort of patients who underwent curative-intent surgery for ACC at 13 major institutions in the United States between March 17, 1994, and December 22, 2014. The dates of our study analysis were April 15, 2015, to May 12, 2015.Main outcomes and measures
The discriminative ability and calibration of the nomograms to predict RFS and OS were tested using C statistics, calibration plots, and Kaplan-Meier curves.Results
In total, 148 patients who underwent surgery for ACC were included in the study. The median patient age was 53 years, and 65.5% (97 of 148) of the patients were female. One-third of the patients (35.1% [52 of 148]) had a functional tumor, and the median tumor size was 11.2 cm. Most patients (77.7% [115 of 148]) underwent R0 resection, and 8.8% (13 of 148) of the patients had N1 disease. Using backward stepwise selection of clinically important variables with the Akaike information criterion, the following variables were incorporated in the prediction of RFS: tumor size of at least 12 cm (hazard ratio [HR], 3.00; 95% CI, 1.63-5.70; P < .001), positive nodal status (HR, 4.78; 95% CI, 1.47-15.50; P = .01), stage III/IV (HR, 1.80; 95% CI, 0.95-3.39; P = .07), cortisol-secreting tumor (HR, 2.38; 95% CI, 1.27-4.48; P = .01), and capsular invasion (HR, 1.96; 95% CI, 1.02-3.74; P = .04). Factors selected as predicting OS were tumor size of at least 12 cm (HR, 1.78; 95% CI, 1.00-3.17; P = .05), positive nodal status (HR, 5.89; 95% CI, 2.05-16.87; P = .001), and R1 margin (HR, 2.83; 95% CI, 1.51-5.30; P = .001). The discriminative ability and calibration of the nomograms revealed good predictive ability as indicated by the C statistics (0.74 for RFS and 0.70 for OS).Conclusions and relevance
Independent predictors of survival and recurrence risk after curative-intent surgery for ACC were selected to create nomograms predicting RFS and OS. The nomograms were able to stratify patients into prognostic groups and performed well on internal validation.
SUBMITTER: Kim Y
PROVIDER: S-EPMC4967352 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Apr
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Kim Yuhree Y Margonis Georgios A GA Prescott Jason D JD Tran Thuy B TB Postlewait Lauren M LM Maithel Shishir K SK Wang Tracy S TS Evans Douglas B DB Hatzaras Ioannis I Shenoy Rivfka R Phay John E JE Keplinger Kara K Fields Ryan C RC Jin Linda X LX Weber Sharon M SM Salem Ahmed I AI Sicklick Jason K JK Gad Shady S Yopp Adam C AC Mansour John C JC Duh Quan-Yang QY Seiser Natalie N Solorzano Carmen C CC Kiernan Colleen M CM Votanopoulos Konstantinos I KI Levine Edward A EA Poultsides George A GA Pawlik Timothy M TM
JAMA surgery 20160401 4
<h4>Importance</h4>Adrenocortical carcinoma (ACC) is a rare but aggressive endocrine tumor, and the prognostic factors associated with long-term outcomes after surgical resection remain poorly defined.<h4>Objectives</h4>To define clinicopathological variables associated with recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) after curative surgical resection of ACC and to propose nomograms for individual risk prediction.<h4>Design, setting, and participants</h4>Nomograms to predict RFS and ...[more]