Dataset Information

An integrated risk predictor for pulmonary nodules.

ABSTRACT: It is estimated that over 1.5 million lung nodules are detected annually in the United States. Most of these are benign but frequently undergo invasive and costly procedures to rule out malignancy. A risk predictor that can accurately differentiate benign and malignant lung nodules could be used to more efficiently route benign lung nodules to non-invasive observation by CT surveillance and route malignant lung nodules to invasive procedures. The majority of risk predictors developed to date are based exclusively on clinical risk factors, imaging technology or molecular markers. Assessed here are the relative performances of previously reported clinical risk factors and proteomic molecular markers for assessing cancer risk in lung nodules. From this analysis an integrated model incorporating clinical risk factors and proteomic molecular markers is developed and its performance assessed on a subset of 222 lung nodules, between 8mm and 20mm in diameter, collected in a previously reported prospective study. In this analysis it is found that the molecular marker is most predictive. However, the integration of clinical and molecular markers is superior to both clinical and molecular markers separately. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION:Registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT01752101).

SUBMITTER: Kearney P

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5435179 | biostudies-literature | 2017

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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An integrated risk predictor for pulmonary nodules.

Kearney Paul P Hunsucker Stephen W SW Li Xiao-Jun XJ Porter Alex A Springmeyer Steven S Mazzone Peter P

PloS one 20170517 5

It is estimated that over 1.5 million lung nodules are detected annually in the United States. Most of these are benign but frequently undergo invasive and costly procedures to rule out malignancy. A risk predictor that can accurately differentiate benign and malignant lung nodules could be used to more efficiently route benign lung nodules to non-invasive observation by CT surveillance and route malignant lung nodules to invasive procedures. The majority of risk predictors developed to date are ...[more]

PMID: 28545097

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Project description:BackgroundPatients with persistent pulmonary subsolid nodules have a relatively high incidence of lung adenocarcinoma. Preoperative early diagnosis of invasive pulmonary adenocarcinoma spectrum lesions could help avoid extensive advanced cancer management and overdiagnosis in lung cancer screening programs.MethodsIn total, 260 consecutive patients with persistent subsolid nodules ≤30 mm (n=260) confirmed by surgical pathology were retrospectively investigated from February 2016 to August 2020 at the Kaohsiung Veterans General Hospital. All patients underwent surgical resection within 3 months of the chest CT exam. The study subjects were divided into a training cohort (N=195) and a validation cohort (N=65) at a ratio of 3:1. The purpose of our study was to develop and validate a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-derived nomogram integrating semantic-radiomic features in differentiating preinvasive and invasive pulmonary adenocarcinoma lesions, and compare its predictive value with clinical-semantic, semantic, and radiologist's performance.ResultsIn the training cohort of 195 subsolid nodules, 106 invasive lesions and 89 preinvasive lesions were identified. We developed a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-derived combined nomogram prediction model based on six predictors (nodular size, CTR, roundness, GLCM_Entropy_log10, HISTO_Entropy_log10, and CONVENTIONAL_Humean) to predict the invasive pulmonary adenocarcinoma lesions. Compared with other predictive models, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-derived model showed better diagnostic performance with an area under the curve of 0.957 (95% CI: 0.918 to 0.981) for detecting invasive pulmonary adenocarcinoma lesions with balanced sensitivity (92.45%) and specificity (88.64%). The results of Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed P values of 0.394 and 0.787 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively, indicating good calibration power.ConclusionsWe developed a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-derived model integrating semantic-radiomic features with good calibration. This nomogram may help physicians to identify invasive pulmonary adenocarcinoma lesions for guidance in personalized medicine and make more informed decisions on managing subsolid nodules.

Dataset Information

An integrated risk predictor for pulmonary nodules.

Publications

An integrated risk predictor for pulmonary nodules.

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