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The state of US health, 1990-2010: burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors.

ABSTRACT: IMPORTANCE:Understanding the major health problems in the United States and how they are changing over time is critical for informing national health policy. OBJECTIVES:To measure the burden of diseases, injuries, and leading risk factors in the United States from 1990 to 2010 and to compare these measurements with those of the 34 countries in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. DESIGN:We used the systematic analysis of descriptive epidemiology of 291 diseases and injuries, 1160 sequelae of these diseases and injuries, and 67 risk factors or clusters of risk factors from 1990 to 2010 for 187 countries developed for the Global Burden of Disease 2010 Study to describe the health status of the United States and to compare US health outcomes with those of 34 OECD countries. Years of life lost due to premature mortality (YLLs) were computed by multiplying the number of deaths at each age by a reference life expectancy at that age. Years lived with disability (YLDs) were calculated by multiplying prevalence (based on systematic reviews) by the disability weight (based on population-based surveys) for each sequela; disability in this study refers to any short- or long-term loss of health. Disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were estimated as the sum of YLDs and YLLs. Deaths and DALYs related to risk factors were based on systematic reviews and meta-analyses of exposure data and relative risks for risk-outcome pairs. Healthy life expectancy (HALE) was used to summarize overall population health, accounting for both length of life and levels of ill health experienced at different ages. RESULTS:US life expectancy for both sexes combined increased from 75.2 years in 1990 to 78.2 years in 2010; during the same period, HALE increased from 65.8 years to 68.1 years. The diseases and injuries with the largest number of YLLs in 2010 were ischemic heart disease, lung cancer, stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and road injury. Age-standardized YLL rates increased for Alzheimer disease, drug use disorders, chronic kidney disease, kidney cancer, and falls. The diseases with the largest number of YLDs in 2010 were low back pain, major depressive disorder, other musculoskeletal disorders, neck pain, and anxiety disorders. As the US population has aged, YLDs have comprised a larger share of DALYs than have YLLs. The leading risk factors related to DALYs were dietary risks, tobacco smoking, high body mass index, high blood pressure, high fasting plasma glucose, physical inactivity, and alcohol use. Among 34 OECD countries between 1990 and 2010, the US rank for the age-standardized death rate changed from 18th to 27th, for the age-standardized YLL rate from 23rd to 28th, for the age-standardized YLD rate from 5th to 6th, for life expectancy at birth from 20th to 27th, and for HALE from 14th to 26th. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE:From 1990 to 2010, the United States made substantial progress in improving health. Life expectancy at birth and HALE increased, all-cause death rates at all ages decreased, and age-specific rates of years lived with disability remained stable. However, morbidity and chronic disability now account for nearly half of the US health burden, and improvements in population health in the United States have not kept pace with advances in population health in other wealthy nations.

SUBMITTER: Murray CJ

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5436627 | biostudies-literature | 2013 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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The state of US health, 1990-2010: burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors.

Murray Christopher J L CJ Atkinson Charles C Bhalla Kavi K Birbeck Gretchen G Burstein Roy R Chou David D Dellavalle Robert R Danaei Goodarz G Ezzati Majid M Fahimi A A Flaxman D D Foreman Gabriel Sherine S Gakidou Emmanuela E Kassebaum Nicholas N Khatibzadeh Shahab S Lim Stephen S Lipshultz Steven E SE London Stephanie S Lopez MacIntyre Michael F MF Mokdad A H AH Moran A A Moran Andrew E AE Mozaffarian Dariush D Murphy Tasha T Naghavi Moshen M Pope C C Roberts Thomas T Salomon Joshua J Schwebel David C DC Shahraz Saeid S Sleet David A DA Murray Abraham Jerry J Ali Mohammed K MK Atkinson Charles C Bartels David H DH Bhalla Kavi K Birbeck Gretchen G Burstein Roy R Chen Honglei H Criqui Michael H MH Dahodwala Jarlais Ding Eric L EL Dorsey E Ray ER Ebel Beth E BE Ezzati Majid M Fahami Flaxman S S Flaxman A D AD Gonzalez-Medina Diego D Grant Bridget B Hagan Holly H Hoffman Howard H Kassebaum Nicholas N Khatibzadeh Shahab S Leasher Janet L JL Lin John J Lipshultz Steven E SE Lozano Rafael R Lu Yuan Y Mallinger Leslie L McDermott Mary M MM Micha Renata R Miller Ted R TR Mokdad A A AA Mokdad A H AH Mozaffarian Dariush D Naghavi Mohsen M Narayan K M Venkat KM Omer Saad B SB Pelizzari Pamela M PM Phillips David D Ranganathan Dharani D Rivara Frederick P FP Roberts Thomas T Sampson Uchechukwu U Sanman Ella E Sapkota Amir A Schwebel David C DC Sharaz Saeid S Shivakoti Rupak R Singh Gitanjali M GM Singh David D Tavakkoli Mohammad M Towbin Jeffrey A JA Wilkinson James D JD Zabetian Azadeh A Murray Abraham Jerry J Ali Mohammad K MK Alvardo Miriam M Atkinson Charles C Baddour Larry M LM Benjamin Emelia J EJ Bhalla Kavi K Birbeck Gretchen G Bolliger Ian I Burstein Roy R Carnahan Emily E Chou David D Chugh Sumeet S SS Cohen Aaron A Colson K Ellicott KE Cooper Leslie T LT Couser William W Criqui Michael H MH Dabhadkar Kaustubh C KC Dellavalle Robert P RP Jarlais Dicker Daniel D Dorsey E Ray ER Duber Herbert H Ebel Beth E BE Engell Rebecca E RE Ezzati Majid M Felson David T DT Finucane Mariel M MM Flaxman Seth S Flaxman A D AD Fleming Thomas T Foreman Forouzanfar Mohammad H MH Freedman Greg G Freeman Michael K MK Gakidou Emmanuela E Gillum Richard F RF Gonzalez-Medina Diego D Gosselin Richard R Gutierrez Hialy R HR Hagan Holly H Havmoeller Rasmus R Hoffman Howard H Jacobsen Kathryn H KH James Spencer L SL Jasrasaria Rashmi R Jayarman Sudha S Johns Nicole N Kassebaum Nicholas N Khatibzadeh Shahab S Lan Qing Q Leasher Janet L JL Lim Stephen S Lipshultz Steven E SE London Stephanie S Lopez Lozano Rafael R Lu Yuan Y Mallinger Leslie L Meltzer Michele M Mensah George A GA Michaud Catherine C Miller Ted R TR Mock Charles C Moffitt Terrie E TE Mokdad A A AA Mokdad A H AH Moran A A Naghavi Mohsen M Narayan K M Venkat KM Nelson Robert G RG Olives Casey C Omer Saad B SB Ortblad Katrina K Ostro Bart B Pelizzari Pamela M PM Phillips David D Raju Murugesan M Razavi Homie H Ritz Beate B Roberts Thomas T Sacco Ralph L RL Salomon Joshua J Sampson Uchechukwu U Schwebel David C DC Shahraz Saeid S Shibuya Kenji K Silberberg Donald D Singh Jasvinder A JA Steenland Kyle K Taylor Jennifer A JA Thurston George D GD Vavilala Monica S MS Vos Theo T Wagner Gregory R GR Weinstock Martin A MA Weisskopf Marc G MG Wulf Sarah S Murray

JAMA 20130801 6

<h4>Importance</h4>Understanding the major health problems in the United States and how they are changing over time is critical for informing national health policy.<h4>Objectives</h4>To measure the burden of diseases, injuries, and leading risk factors in the United States from 1990 to 2010 and to compare these measurements with those of the 34 countries in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries.<h4>Design</h4>We used the systematic analysis of descriptive e ...[more]

PMID: 23842577

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Project description:IntroductionSeveral studies have measured health outcomes in the United States, but none have provided a comprehensive assessment of patterns of health by state.ObjectiveTo use the results of the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) to report trends in the burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors at the state level from 1990 to 2016.Design and settingA systematic analysis of published studies and available data sources estimates the burden of disease by age, sex, geography, and year.Main outcomes and measuresPrevalence, incidence, mortality, life expectancy, healthy life expectancy (HALE), years of life lost (YLLs) due to premature mortality, years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for 333 causes and 84 risk factors with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) were computed.ResultsBetween 1990 and 2016, overall death rates in the United States declined from 745.2 (95% UI, 740.6 to 749.8) per 100 000 persons to 578.0 (95% UI, 569.4 to 587.1) per 100 000 persons. The probability of death among adults aged 20 to 55 years declined in 31 states and Washington, DC from 1990 to 2016. In 2016, Hawaii had the highest life expectancy at birth (81.3 years) and Mississippi had the lowest (74.7 years), a 6.6-year difference. Minnesota had the highest HALE at birth (70.3 years), and West Virginia had the lowest (63.8 years), a 6.5-year difference. The leading causes of DALYs in the United States for 1990 and 2016 were ischemic heart disease and lung cancer, while the third leading cause in 1990 was low back pain, and the third leading cause in 2016 was chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Opioid use disorders moved from the 11th leading cause of DALYs in 1990 to the 7th leading cause in 2016, representing a 74.5% (95% UI, 42.8% to 93.9%) change. In 2016, each of the following 6 risks individually accounted for more than 5% of risk-attributable DALYs: tobacco consumption, high body mass index (BMI), poor diet, alcohol and drug use, high fasting plasma glucose, and high blood pressure. Across all US states, the top risk factors in terms of attributable DALYs were due to 1 of the 3 following causes: tobacco consumption (32 states), high BMI (10 states), or alcohol and drug use (8 states).Conclusions and relevanceThere are wide differences in the burden of disease at the state level. Specific diseases and risk factors, such as drug use disorders, high BMI, poor diet, high fasting plasma glucose level, and alcohol use disorders are increasing and warrant increased attention. These data can be used to inform national health priorities for research, clinical care, and policy.

Project description:ImportanceUnderstanding causes and correlates of health loss among children and adolescents can identify areas of success, stagnation, and emerging threats and thereby facilitate effective improvement strategies.ObjectiveTo estimate mortality and morbidity in children and adolescents from 1990 to 2017 by age and sex in 195 countries and territories.Design, setting, and participantsThis study examined levels, trends, and spatiotemporal patterns of cause-specific mortality and nonfatal health outcomes using standardized approaches to data processing and statistical analysis. It also describes epidemiologic transitions by evaluating historical associations between disease indicators and the Socio-Demographic Index (SDI), a composite indicator of income, educational attainment, and fertility. Data collected from 1990 to 2017 on children and adolescents from birth through 19 years of age in 195 countries and territories were assessed. Data analysis occurred from January 2018 to August 2018.ExposuresBeing under the age of 20 years between 1990 and 2017.Main outcomes and measuresDeath and disability. All-cause and cause-specific deaths, disability-adjusted life years, years of life lost, and years of life lived with disability.ResultsChild and adolescent deaths decreased 51.7% from 13.77 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 13.60-13.93 million) in 1990 to 6.64 million (95% UI, 6.44-6.87 million) in 2017, but in 2017, aggregate disability increased 4.7% to a total of 145 million (95% UI, 107-190 million) years lived with disability globally. Progress was uneven, and inequity increased, with low-SDI and low-middle-SDI locations experiencing 82.2% (95% UI, 81.6%-82.9%) of deaths, up from 70.9% (95% UI, 70.4%-71.4%) in 1990. The leading disaggregated causes of disability-adjusted life years in 2017 in the low-SDI quintile were neonatal disorders, lower respiratory infections, diarrhea, malaria, and congenital birth defects, whereas neonatal disorders, congenital birth defects, headache, dermatitis, and anxiety were highest-ranked in the high-SDI quintile.Conclusions and relevanceMortality reductions over this 27-year period mean that children are more likely than ever to reach their 20th birthdays. The concomitant expansion of nonfatal health loss and epidemiological transition in children and adolescents, especially in low-SDI and middle-SDI countries, has the potential to increase already overburdened health systems, will affect the human capital potential of societies, and may influence the trajectory of socioeconomic development. Continued monitoring of child and adolescent health loss is crucial to sustain the progress of the past 27 years.

Project description:ImportanceComprehensive and timely monitoring of disease burden in all age groups, including children and adolescents, is essential for improving population health.ObjectiveTo quantify and describe levels and trends of mortality and nonfatal health outcomes among children and adolescents from 1990 to 2015 to provide a framework for policy discussion.Evidence reviewCause-specific mortality and nonfatal health outcomes were analyzed for 195 countries and territories by age group, sex, and year from 1990 to 2015 using standardized approaches for data processing and statistical modeling, with subsequent analysis of the findings to describe levels and trends across geography and time among children and adolescents 19 years or younger. A composite indicator of income, education, and fertility was developed (Socio-demographic Index [SDI]) for each geographic unit and year, which evaluates the historical association between SDI and health loss.FindingsGlobal child and adolescent mortality decreased from 14.18 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 14.09 million to 14.28 million) deaths in 1990 to 7.26 million (95% UI, 7.14 million to 7.39 million) deaths in 2015, but progress has been unevenly distributed. Countries with a lower SDI had a larger proportion of mortality burden (75%) in 2015 than was the case in 1990 (61%). Most deaths in 2015 occurred in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. Global trends were driven by reductions in mortality owing to infectious, nutritional, and neonatal disorders, which in the aggregate led to a relative increase in the importance of noncommunicable diseases and injuries in explaining global disease burden. The absolute burden of disability in children and adolescents increased 4.3% (95% UI, 3.1%-5.6%) from 1990 to 2015, with much of the increase owing to population growth and improved survival for children and adolescents to older ages. Other than infectious conditions, many top causes of disability are associated with long-term sequelae of conditions present at birth (eg, neonatal disorders, congenital birth defects, and hemoglobinopathies) and complications of a variety of infections and nutritional deficiencies. Anemia, developmental intellectual disability, hearing loss, epilepsy, and vision loss are important contributors to childhood disability that can arise from multiple causes. Maternal and reproductive health remains a key cause of disease burden in adolescent females, especially in lower-SDI countries. In low-SDI countries, mortality is the primary driver of health loss for children and adolescents, whereas disability predominates in higher-SDI locations; the specific pattern of epidemiological transition varies across diseases and injuries.Conclusions and relevanceConsistent international attention and investment have led to sustained improvements in causes of health loss among children and adolescents in many countries, although progress has been uneven. The persistence of infectious diseases in some countries, coupled with ongoing epidemiologic transition to injuries and noncommunicable diseases, require all countries to carefully evaluate and implement appropriate strategies to maximize the health of their children and adolescents and for the international community to carefully consider which elements of child and adolescent health should be monitored.

Project description:BackgroundAlthough a preventable and treatable disease, tuberculosis causes more than a million deaths each year. As countries work towards achieving the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) target to end the tuberculosis epidemic by 2030, robust assessments of the levels and trends of the burden of tuberculosis are crucial to inform policy and programme decision making. We assessed the levels and trends in the fatal and non-fatal burden of tuberculosis by drug resistance and HIV status for 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2016.MethodsWe analysed 15 943 site-years of vital registration data, 1710 site-years of verbal autopsy data, 764 site-years of sample-based vital registration data, and 361 site-years of mortality surveillance data to estimate mortality due to tuberculosis using the Cause of Death Ensemble model. We analysed all available data sources, including annual case notifications, prevalence surveys, population-based tuberculin surveys, and estimated tuberculosis cause-specific mortality to generate internally consistent estimates of incidence, prevalence, and mortality using DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool. We assessed how the burden of tuberculosis differed from the burden predicted by the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a composite indicator of income per capita, average years of schooling, and total fertility rate.FindingsGlobally in 2016, among HIV-negative individuals, the number of incident cases of tuberculosis was 9·02 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 8·05-10·16) and the number of tuberculosis deaths was 1·21 million (1·16-1·27). Among HIV-positive individuals, the number of incident cases was 1·40 million (1·01-1·89) and the number of tuberculosis deaths was 0·24 million (0·16-0·31). Globally, among HIV-negative individuals the age-standardised incidence of tuberculosis decreased annually at a slower rate (-1·3% [-1·5 to -1·2]) than mortality did (-4·5% [-5·0 to -4·1]) from 2006 to 2016. Among HIV-positive individuals during the same period, the rate of change in annualised age-standardised incidence was -4·0% (-4·5 to -3·7) and mortality was -8·9% (-9·5 to -8·4). Several regions had higher rates of age-standardised incidence and mortality than expected on the basis of their SDI levels in 2016. For drug-susceptible tuberculosis, the highest observed-to-expected ratios were in southern sub-Saharan Africa (13·7 for incidence and 14·9 for mortality), and the lowest ratios were in high-income North America (0·4 for incidence) and Oceania (0·3 for mortality). For multidrug-resistant tuberculosis, eastern Europe had the highest observed-to-expected ratios (67·3 for incidence and 73·0 for mortality), and high-income North America had the lowest ratios (0·4 for incidence and 0·5 for mortality).InterpretationIf current trends in tuberculosis incidence continue, few countries are likely to meet the SDG target to end the tuberculosis epidemic by 2030. Progress needs to be accelerated by improving the quality of and access to tuberculosis diagnosis and care, by developing new tools, scaling up interventions to prevent risk factors for tuberculosis, and integrating control programmes for tuberculosis and HIV.FundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Project description:BackgroundNon-fatal health outcomes from diseases and injuries are a crucial consideration in the promotion and monitoring of individual and population health. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) studies done in 1990 and 2000 have been the only studies to quantify non-fatal health outcomes across an exhaustive set of disorders at the global and regional level. Neither effort quantified uncertainty in prevalence or years lived with disability (YLDs).MethodsOf the 291 diseases and injuries in the GBD cause list, 289 cause disability. For 1160 sequelae of the 289 diseases and injuries, we undertook a systematic analysis of prevalence, incidence, remission, duration, and excess mortality. Sources included published studies, case notification, population-based cancer registries, other disease registries, antenatal clinic serosurveillance, hospital discharge data, ambulatory care data, household surveys, other surveys, and cohort studies. For most sequelae, we used a Bayesian meta-regression method, DisMod-MR, designed to address key limitations in descriptive epidemiological data, including missing data, inconsistency, and large methodological variation between data sources. For some disorders, we used natural history models, geospatial models, back-calculation models (models calculating incidence from population mortality rates and case fatality), or registration completeness models (models adjusting for incomplete registration with health-system access and other covariates). Disability weights for 220 unique health states were used to capture the severity of health loss. YLDs by cause at age, sex, country, and year levels were adjusted for comorbidity with simulation methods. We included uncertainty estimates at all stages of the analysis.FindingsGlobal prevalence for all ages combined in 2010 across the 1160 sequelae ranged from fewer than one case per 1 million people to 350,000 cases per 1 million people. Prevalence and severity of health loss were weakly correlated (correlation coefficient -0·37). In 2010, there were 777 million YLDs from all causes, up from 583 million in 1990. The main contributors to global YLDs were mental and behavioural disorders, musculoskeletal disorders, and diabetes or endocrine diseases. The leading specific causes of YLDs were much the same in 2010 as they were in 1990: low back pain, major depressive disorder, iron-deficiency anaemia, neck pain, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, anxiety disorders, migraine, diabetes, and falls. Age-specific prevalence of YLDs increased with age in all regions and has decreased slightly from 1990 to 2010. Regional patterns of the leading causes of YLDs were more similar compared with years of life lost due to premature mortality. Neglected tropical diseases, HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, malaria, and anaemia were important causes of YLDs in sub-Saharan Africa.InterpretationRates of YLDs per 100,000 people have remained largely constant over time but rise steadily with age. Population growth and ageing have increased YLD numbers and crude rates over the past two decades. Prevalences of the most common causes of YLDs, such as mental and behavioural disorders and musculoskeletal disorders, have not decreased. Health systems will need to address the needs of the rising numbers of individuals with a range of disorders that largely cause disability but not mortality. Quantification of the burden of non-fatal health outcomes will be crucial to understand how well health systems are responding to these challenges. Effective and affordable strategies to deal with this rising burden are an urgent priority for health systems in most parts of the world.FundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Dataset Information

The state of US health, 1990-2010: burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors.

Publications

The state of US health, 1990-2010: burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors.

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