Dataset Information

Novel risk genes for systemic lupus erythematosus predicted by random forest classification.

ABSTRACT: Genome-wide association studies have identified risk loci for SLE, but a large proportion of the genetic contribution to SLE still remains unexplained. To detect novel risk genes, and to predict an individual's SLE risk we designed a random forest classifier using SNP genotype data generated on the "Immunochip" from 1,160 patients with SLE and 2,711 controls. Using gene importance scores defined by the random forest classifier, we identified 15 potential novel risk genes for SLE. Of them 12 are associated with other autoimmune diseases than SLE, whereas three genes (ZNF804A, CDK1, and MANF) have not previously been associated with autoimmunity. Random forest classification also allowed prediction of patients at risk for lupus nephritis with an area under the curve of 0.94. By allele-specific gene expression analysis we detected cis-regulatory SNPs that affect the expression levels of six of the top 40 genes designed by the random forest analysis, indicating a regulatory role for the identified risk variants. The 40 top genes from the prediction were overrepresented for differential expression in B and T cells according to RNA-sequencing of samples from five healthy donors, with more frequent over-expression in B cells compared to T cells.

SUBMITTER: Almlof JC

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5524838 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Novel risk genes for systemic lupus erythematosus predicted by random forest classification.

Almlöf Jonas Carlsson JC Alexsson Andrei A Imgenberg-Kreuz Juliana J Sylwan Lina L Bäcklin Christofer C Leonard Dag D Nordmark Gunnel G Tandre Karolina K Eloranta Maija-Leena ML Padyukov Leonid L Bengtsson Christine C Jönsen Andreas A Dahlqvist Solbritt Rantapää SR Sjöwall Christopher C Bengtsson Anders A AA Gunnarsson Iva I Svenungsson Elisabet E Rönnblom Lars L Sandling Johanna K JK Syvänen Ann-Christine AC

Scientific reports 20170724 1

Genome-wide association studies have identified risk loci for SLE, but a large proportion of the genetic contribution to SLE still remains unexplained. To detect novel risk genes, and to predict an individual's SLE risk we designed a random forest classifier using SNP genotype data generated on the "Immunochip" from 1,160 patients with SLE and 2,711 controls. Using gene importance scores defined by the random forest classifier, we identified 15 potential novel risk genes for SLE. Of them 12 are ...[more]

PMID: 28740209

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Project description:Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a latent, insidious autoimmune disease, and with the development of gene sequencing in recent years, our study aims to develop a gene-based predictive model to explore the identification of SLE at the genetic level. First, gene expression datasets of SLE whole blood samples were collected from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. After the datasets were merged, they were divided into training and validation datasets in the ratio of 7:3, where the SLE samples and healthy samples of the training dataset were 334 and 71, respectively, and the SLE samples and healthy samples of the validation dataset were 143 and 30, respectively. The training dataset was used to build the disease risk prediction model, and the validation dataset was used to verify the model identification ability. We first analyzed differentially expressed genes (DEGs) and then used Lasso and random forest (RF) to screen out six key genes (OAS3, USP18, RTP4, SPATS2L, IFI27 and OAS1), which are essential to distinguish SLE from healthy samples. With six key genes incorporated and five iterations of 10-fold cross-validation performed into the RF model, we finally determined the RF model with optimal mtry. The mean values of area under the curve (AUC) and accuracy of the models were over 0.95. The validation dataset was then used to evaluate the AUC performance and our model had an AUC of 0.948. An external validation dataset (GSE99967) with an AUC of 0.810, an accuracy of 0.836, and a sensitivity of 0.921 was used to assess the model's performance. The external validation dataset (GSE185047) of all SLE patients yielded an SLE sensitivity of up to 0.954. The final high-throughput RF model had a mean value of AUC over 0.9, again showing good results. In conclusion, we identified key genetic biomarkers and successfully developed a novel disease risk prediction model for SLE that can be used as a new SLE disease risk prediction aid and contribute to the identification of SLE.

Project description:Metabolic abnormalities constitute a significant characteristic of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). We utilised a two-sample Mendelian randomisation (MR) study to evaluate the potential causal association between 486 blood metabolites and SLE. Exposure data at the metabolite level were extracted from 7824 European Genome-wide association studies (GWAS). Preliminary analysis utilised SLE GWAS data from FinnGen. The primary method for causal analysis relied on random inverse variance weighting (IVW). To ensure robustness, sensitivity analyses included the Cochran Q test, MR-Egger intercept test, MR-PRESSO, and leave-one-out analysis. Steiger testing and linkage disequilibrium score regression were employed to validate the identified metabolites. This study identified 12 metabolites, comprising six known chemical structures: 1,5-anhydroglucitol(1,5-AG) [odds ratio (OR) = 0.100, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.015-0.773, P = 0.027), gamma-glutamylthreonine (OR = 0.077, 95% CI: 0.010-0.574, P = 0.012), 5-dodecenoate(12:1n7) (OR = 0.205, 95% CI: 0.061-0.685, P = 0.010), linoleoylglycerophosphoethanolamine * (OR = 0.159, 95% CI: 0.027-0.933, P = 0.044), erythrose (OR = 88.331,95% CI:1.098-63.214, P = 0.040) and 1-, adrenate (22:4n6) (OR = 9.876, 95% CI: 1.753-55.639, P = 0.001)]. Additionally, we found associations between SLE and six unknown chemical structures: X-06351 (OR = 0.071, 95% CI: 0.006-0.817, P = 0.034), X-10810 (OR = 4.268 95% CI: 1.260-14.459, P = 0.020), X-11412 (OR = 5.418 95% CI: 1.068-27.487, P = 0.041), X-11905 (OR = 0.551, 95%CI: 0.304-0.997, P = 0.049), X-12038 (OR = 0.178 95%CI: 0.032-0.988, P = 0.045), X-12217 (OR = 0.174 95%CI: 0.044-0.680, P = 0.014). This study offers evidence supporting a causal relationship between SLE and 12 circulating metabolites, six of which have known chemical structures and six that remain unidentified. These findings introduce a new perspective for further exploration of SLE mechanisms.

Dataset Information

Novel risk genes for systemic lupus erythematosus predicted by random forest classification.

Publications

Novel risk genes for systemic lupus erythematosus predicted by random forest classification.

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